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Spatial models are used in a variety research areas, such as environmental sciences, epidemiology, or physics. A common phenomenon in many spatial regression models is spatial confounding. This phenomenon takes place when spatially indexed…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-08 Isa Marques , Thomas Kneib , Nadja Klein

Plasmodium falciparum is responsible for the majority of malaria morbidity and mortality each year. Malaria transmission rates vary by location and time of year due to climate and environmental conditions. We show the impact of these…

Malaria remains a significant global health challenge, necessitating rapid and accurate diagnostic methods. While computer-aided diagnosis (CAD) tools utilizing deep learning have shown promise, their generalization to diverse clinical…

This study addresses the challenges of symptom evolution complexity and insufficient temporal dependency modeling in Parkinson's disease progression prediction. It proposes a unified prediction framework that integrates structural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-22 Jiacheng Hu , Bo Zhang , Ting Xu , Haifeng Yang , Min Gao

Although machine learning is increasingly applied in control approaches, only few methods guarantee certifiable safety, which is necessary for real world applications. These approaches typically rely on well-understood learning algorithms,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-16 Armin Lederer , Markus Kessler , Sandra Hirche

Nonstationary and non-Gaussian spatial data are common in various fields, including ecology (e.g., counts of animal species), epidemiology (e.g., disease incidence counts in susceptible regions), and environmental science (e.g.,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-01 Remy MacDonald , Benjamin Seiyon Lee

In disease mapping, the aim is to estimate the spatial pattern in disease risk over an extended geographical region, so that areas with elevated risks can be identified. A Bayesian hierarchical approach is typically used to produce such…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2011-08-10 Duncan Lee , Richard Mitchell

In the infectious disease literature, significant effort has been devoted to studying dynamics at a single scale. For example, compartmental models describing population-level dynamics are often formulated using differential equations. In…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-16 Yuan Yin , Jennifer A. Flegg , Mark B. Flegg

Parameter inference and state estimation in stochastic and partially observed biological systems remain major problems in mathematical biology. In this work, we introduce a two-dimensional lattice graph model for the spread of infectious…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-29 Ihtisham Ul Haq , Serge Richard

Time-to-event models are commonly used to study associations between risk factors and disease outcomes in the setting of electronic health records (EHR). In recent years, focus has intensified on social determinants of health, highlighting…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-26 Yueming Shen , Christian Pean , David Dunson , Samuel Berchuck

We develop here a semiparametric Gaussian mixture model (SGMM) for unsupervised learning with valuable spatial information taken into consideration. Specifically, we assume for each instance a random location. Then, conditional on this…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-21 Baichen Yu , Jin Liu , Hansheng Wang

Measuring the impact of an environmental point source exposure on the risk of disease, like cancer or childhood asthma, is well-developed. Modeling how an environmental health hazard that is extensive in space, like a wastewater canal,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-29 Rob Trangucci , Jesse Contreras , Jon Zelner , Joseph N. S. Eisenberg , Yang Chen

Ability to quantify and predict progression of a disease is fundamental for selecting an appropriate treatment. Many clinical metrics cannot be acquired frequently either because of their cost (e.g. MRI, gait analysis) or because they are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-28 Guanyang Wang , Yumeng Zhang , Yong Deng , Xuxin Huang , Łukasz Kidziński

Complex biological processes are usually experimented along time among a collection of individuals. Longitudinal data are then available and the statistical challenge is to better understand the underlying biological mechanisms. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-11 Pierre Barbillon , Célia Barthélémy , Adeline Samson

Seasonal variations in the incidence of infectious diseases are a well-established phenomenon, driven by factors such as climate changes, social behaviors, and ecological interactions that influence host susceptibility and transmission…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-23 Mahmudul Bari Hridoy

Transmission dynamics of infectious diseases are often studied using compartmental mathematical models, which are commonly represented as systems of autonomous ordinary differential equations. A key step in the analysis of such models is to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-15 David J. D. Earn , C. Connell McCluskey

Gaussian processes are a key component of many flexible statistical and machine learning models. However, they exhibit cubic computational complexity and high memory constraints due to the need of inverting and storing a full covariance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-07 Teemu Härkönen , Sara Wade , Kody Law , Lassi Roininen

Infectious disease models can be of great use for understanding the underlying mechanisms that influence the spread of diseases and predicting future disease progression. Modeling has been increasingly used to evaluate the potential impact…

Applications · Statistics 2019-08-20 Md Mahsin , Rob Deardon , Patrick Brown

To date, we have seen the emergence of a large literature on multivariate disease mapping. That is, incidence of (or mortality from) multiple diseases is recorded at the scale of areal units where incidence (mortality) across the diseases…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-17 Garazi Retegui , María Dolores Ugarte , Jaione Etxeberria , Alan E. Gelfand

The literature on Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) contains two equally rich and equally significant domains of research efforts and interests. The first research domain relates to the problem of graph determination. That is, the underlying…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-25 Adrian Dobra