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We present average performance results for dynamical inference problems in large networks, where a set of nodes is hidden while the time trajectories of the others are observed. Examples of this scenario can occur in signal transduction and…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2017-01-18 Barbara Bravi , Manfred Opper , Peter Sollich

We consider the problem of a subnetwork of observed nodes embedded into a larger bulk of unknown (i.e. hidden) nodes, where the aim is to infer these hidden states given information about the subnetwork dynamics. The biochemical networks…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-06-23 Barbara Bravi , Peter Sollich

We study inference and reconstruction of couplings in a partially observed kinetic Ising model. With hidden spins, calculating the likelihood of a sequence of observed spin configurations requires performing a trace over the configurations…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2021-04-13 Benjamin Dunn , Yasser Roudi

Predicting the future behaviour of complex systems exhibiting critical-like dynamics is often considered to be an intrinsically hard task. Here, we study the predictability of the depinning dynamics of elastic interfaces in random media…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-03 Valtteri Haavisto , Marcin Mińkowski , Lasse Laurson

Inspired by problems in biochemical kinetics, we study statistical properties of an overdamped Langevin process whose friction coefficient depends on the state of a similar, unobserved process. Integrating out the latter, we derive the long…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-08-13 Golan Bel , Ilya Nemenman

We describe a stochastic, dynamical system capable of inference and learning in a probabilistic latent variable model. The most challenging problem in such models - sampling the posterior distribution over latent variables - is proposed to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-26 Michael Y. -S. Fang , Mayur Mudigonda , Ryan Zarcone , Amir Khosrowshahi , Bruno A. Olshausen

In principle, the probability of configurations, determined by the system's partition function or wave function, encapsulates essential information about phases and phase transitions. Despite the exponentially large configuration space, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-11-26 Wen-Yu Su , Yu-Jing Liu , Nvsen Ma , Chen Cheng

We study the Langevin dynamics of diffusive particles with regular pairwise interactions under mean-field scaling. By approximating empirical distributions with conditional distributions, we establish coercive and contractive properties for…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Songbo Wang

In stochastic quantisation, quantum mechanical expectation values are computed as averages over the time history of a stochastic process described by a Langevin equation. Complex stochastic quantisation, though theoretically not rigorously…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2014-08-18 Amel Durakovic , Emil Cortes Andre , Anders Tranberg

We study the dynamics of the contact-process, one of the simplest nonequilibrium stochastic processes, taking place on a scale-free network. We consider the network topology as annealed, i.e. all links are rewired at each microscopic time…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-13 Marian Boguna , Claudio Castellano , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras

We propose a novel discrete Poisson equation approach to estimate the statistical error of a broad class of numerical integrators for the underdamped Langevin dynamics. The statistical error refers to the mean square error of the estimator…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-05-14 Xuda Ye , Zhennan Zhou

Anticipating bifurcation-induced transitions in dynamical systems has gained relevance in various fields of the natural, social, and economic sciences. Before the annihilation of a system's equilibrium point by means of a bifurcation, the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-09-06 Andreas Morr , Keno Riechers , Leonardo Rydin Gorjão , Niklas Boers

We propose a unified framework that extends the inference methods for classical hidden Markov models to continuous settings, where both the hidden states and observations occur in continuous time. Two different settings are analyzed: hidden…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-18 Qingcan Wang , Weinan E

It is non-trivial to recognize phase transitions and track dynamics inside a stochastic process because of its intrinsic stochasticity. In this paper, we employ the deep learning method to classify the phase orders and predict the damping…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2021-06-30 Lijia Jiang , Lingxiao Wang , Kai Zhou

We present simulations of stochastic fluid dynamics in the vicinity of a critical endpoint belonging to the universality class of the Ising model. This study is motivated by the challenge of modeling the dynamics of critical fluctuations…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2024-07-23 Chandrodoy Chattopadhyay , Josh Ott , Thomas Schaefer , Vladimir V. Skokov

We show that nonequilibrium dynamics can play a constructive role in unsupervised machine learning by inducing the spontaneous emergence of latent-state cycles. We introduce a model in which visible and hidden variables interact through two…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-05 Marco Baiesi , Alberto Rosso

Models of complex networks often incorporate node-intrinsic properties abstracted as hidden variables. The probability of connections in the network is then a function of these variables. Real-world networks evolve over time, and many…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-19 Harrison Hartle , Fragkiskos Papadopoulos , Dmitri Krioukov

Many complex systems, ranging from migrating cells to animal groups, exhibit stochastic dynamics described by the underdamped Langevin equation. Inferring such an equation of motion from experimental data can provide profound insight into…

Biological Physics · Physics 2026-04-17 David B. Brückner , Pierre Ronceray , Chase P. Broedersz

We consider the behaviour of a critical system in the presence of a gradient perturbation of the couplings. In the direction of the gradient an interface region separates the ordered phase from the disordered one. We develop a scaling…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-06 Thierry Platini , Dragi Karevski , Loïc Turban

Cross-sectional studies are widely prevalent since they are more feasible to conduct compared to longitudinal studies. However, cross-sectional data lack the temporal information required to study the evolution of the underlying processes.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-02-24 Pritha Dutta , Rick Quax , Loes Crielaard , Peter M. A. Sloot
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