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1) The annual cycle of atmospheric methane in southern high latitudes is extremely highly correlated with Antarctic sea ice extent. 2) The annual cycle of atmospheric methane in the Arctic is highly correlated with Antarctic or Arctic plus…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-12-03 Clive Hambler , Peter A. Henderson

Learning spatio-temporal patterns of polar ice layers is crucial for monitoring the change in ice sheet balance and evaluating ice dynamic processes. While a few researchers focus on learning ice layer patterns from echogram images captured…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Zesheng Liu , Maryam Rahnemoonfar

Flexure of Antarctic ice shelves under excitation from long ocean waves induces mechanical ice shelf stresses that amplify fractures and, hence, contribute to calving events. Here, a solution method is developed for a hydroelastic…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-05-22 T. K. Papathanasiou , L. G. Bennetts , M. H. Meylan

In ecology, climate and other fields, (sub)systems have been identified that can transition into a qualitatively different state when a critical threshold or tipping point in a driving process is crossed. An understanding of those tipping…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-09-16 Ann Kristin Klose , Volker Karle , Ricarda Winkelmann , Jonathan F. Donges

We analyze the numerical solutions of a stochastic Arctic sea ice model with constant additive noise over a wide range of external heat-fluxes, $\Delta F_0$, which correspond to greenhouse gas forcing. The variability that the stochasticity…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-05-05 Woosok Moon , John S. Wettlaufer

The structure of the icy shells of ocean worlds is important for understanding the stability of their underlying oceans as it controls the rate at which heat can be transported outward and radiated to space. Future spacecraft exploration of…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-05-27 Ryunosuke Akiba , Anton I. Ermakov , Burkhard Militzer

In large lakes, ice cover plays an important role in shipping and navigation, coastal erosion, regional weather and climate, and aquatic ecosystem function. In this study, a novel deep learning model for ice cover concentration prediction…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-07-09 Hazem Abdelhady , Cary Troy

Given multi-model ensemble climate projections, the goal is to accurately and reliably predict future sea-level rise while lowering the uncertainty. This problem is important because sea-level rise affects millions of people in coastal…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-25 Subhankar Ghosh , Shuai An , Arun Sharma , Jayant Gupta , Shashi Shekhar , Aneesh Subramanian

Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) of the climate and economy aim to analyze the impact and efficacy of policies that aim to control climate change, such as carbon taxes and subsidies. A major characteristic of IAMs is that their…

General Economics · Economics 2020-10-20 Yongyang Cai

Bayesian hierarchical models are proposed for modeling tropical cyclone characteristics and their damage potential in the Atlantic basin. We model the joint probability distribution of tropical cyclone characteristics and their damage…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-13 Lindsey Dietz , Sakshi Arya , Vishal Subedi , Auroop R. Ganguly , Snigdhansu Chatterjee

Seasonal frosting and defrosting on the surface of Mars is hypothesized to drive both climate processes and the formation and evolution of geomorphological features such as gullies. Past studies have focused on manually analyzing the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-20 Gary Doran , Serina Diniega , Steven Lu , Mark Wronkiewicz , Kiri L. Wagstaff

Understanding Greenland's subglacial topography is critical for projecting the future mass loss of the ice sheet and its contribution to global sea-level rise. However, the complex and sparse nature of observational data, particularly…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-04 Bayu Adhi Tama , Mansa Krishna , Homayra Alam , Mostafa Cham , Omar Faruque , Gong Cheng , Jianwu Wang , Mathieu Morlighem , Vandana Janeja

Spatial data are often derived from multiple sources (e.g. satellites, in-situ sensors, survey samples) with different supports, but associated with the same properties of a spatial phenomenon of interest. It is common for predictors to…

We make the first steps towards diffusion models for unconditional generation of multivariate and Arctic-wide sea-ice states. While targeting to reduce the computational costs by diffusion in latent space, latent diffusion models also offer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-23 Tobias Sebastian Finn , Charlotte Durand , Alban Farchi , Marc Bocquet , Julien Brajard

I describe a semi-empirical molecular model of the surface attachment kinetics governing ice crystal growth from water vapor as a function of temperature, supersaturation, and crystal mesostructure. An important new hypothesis in this model…

Materials Science · Physics 2019-11-14 Kenneth G. Libbrecht

The GAIA satellite will provide unprecedented phase-space information for our Galaxy and enable a new era of Galactic dynamics. We may soon see successful realizations of Galactoseismology, i.e., inferring the characteristics of the…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2017-03-29 Sukanya Chakrabarti

Modeling buildings' heat dynamics is a complex process which depends on various factors including weather, building thermal capacity, insulation preservation, and residents' behavior. Gray-box models offer a causal inference of those…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-20 Nilavra Pathak , James Foulds , Nirmalya Roy , Nilanjan Banerjee , Ryan Robucci

We describe how surface interactions can affect the growth of ice crystal facets in contact with a substrate by lowering the normal nucleation barrier on the ice surface. We also describe how the resulting enhanced growth rates can produce…

Materials Science · Physics 2012-08-28 Kenneth G. Libbrecht

By arguing that the surface pressure field over the Arctic Ocean can be treated as an isotropic, stationary, homogeneous, Gaussian random field, Thorndike estimated a number of covariance functions from two years of data (1979 and 1980).…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-06-28 Sahil Agarwal , John S. Wettlaufer

A glacier table consists of a rock supported by a slender column of ice and form naturally on glaciers. We investigate the onset of their formation at a smaller scale in a controlled environment. Depending on the size and thermal…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-09-10 Marceau Hénot , Nicolas Plihon , Nicolas Taberlet