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We present a finite element framework for the numerical prediction of cavitating turbulent flows interacting with flexible structures. The vapor-fluid phases are captured through a homogeneous mixture model, with a scalar transport equation…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-01-01 Nihar B. Darbhamulla , Rajeev K. Jaiman

In this work, we quantify the time scales and information flow associated with multiscale energy transfer in a weakly turbulent system. This is done through a greedy optimization algorithm which finds the maximum conditional-mutual…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-13 Christopher W. Curtis , Erik M. Bollt

We develop a systemic risk framework to explore cascading systemic failures in networked control systems. A time-delayed version of the vehicle platooning problem is used as a benchmark to study the interplay among network connectivity,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-15 Guangyi Liu , Christoforos Somarakis , Nader Motee

Measures of linear dependence (coherence) and nonlinear dependence (phase synchronization) between any number of multivariate time series are defined. The measures are expressed as the sum of lagged dependence and instantaneous dependence.…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-11-12 Roberto D. Pascual-Marqui

A new method is introduced for analysis of interactions between time-dependent coupled oscillators, based on the signals they generate. It distinguishes unsynchronized dynamics from noise-induced phase slips, and enables the evolution of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-08-09 Tomislav Stankovski , Andrea Duggento , Peter V. E. McClintock , Aneta Stefanovska

An extensive empirical literature documents a generally negative correlation, named the "leverage effect," between asset returns and changes of volatility. It is more challenging to establish such a return-volatility relationship for jumps…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-11 Markus Bibinger , Christopher Neely , Lars Winkelmann

We develop a perturbation-based frequency-response framework for analyzing amplification mechanisms that are central to subcritical routes to transition in wall-bounded shear flows. By systematically expanding the input-output dynamics of…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-05-04 Dušan Božić , Anubhav Dwivedi , Mihailo R. Jovanović

This article introduces a novel Bayesian method for asynchronous change-point detection in multivariate time series. This method allows for change-points to occur earlier in some (leading) series followed, after a short delay, by…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-28 Carson McKee , Maria Kalli

Given a stationary point process, an intensity burst is defined as a short time period during which the number of counts is larger than the typical count rate. It might signal a local non-stationarity or the presence of an external…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-04 Marcello Rambaldi , Vladimir Filimonov , Fabrizio Lillo

This paper derives practical algorithms, based on Bayesian inference methods, for several data analysis problems common in time series analysis of astronomical and other data. One problem is the determination of the lag between two time…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-20 Jeffrey D. Scargle

The long therm behavior of chaotic flows is investigated by means of time dependent frequency analysis. The system under test consists of an electrically conducting fluid, confined between two differentially rotating spheres. The spherical…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-02-24 Ferran Garcia , Martin Seilmayer , André Giesecke , Frank Stefani

This paper proposes Fourier-based and wavelet-based techniques for analyzing periodic financial time series. Conventional models such as the periodic autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic (PGARCH) and periodic autoregressive…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-12 Rhea Davis , N. Balakrishna

This paper introduces one new multivariate volatility model that can accommodate an appropriately defined network structure based on low-frequency and high-frequency data. The model reduces the number of unknown parameters and the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-28 Huiling Yuan , Guodong Li , Junhui Wang

This study evaluates the performance of analog-based methodologies to predict, in a statistical way, the longitudinal velocity in a turbulent flow. The data used comes from hot wire experimental measurements from the Modane wind tunnel. We…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-12-03 Ewen Frogé , Carlos Granero-Belinchon , Stéphane G. Roux , Nicolas B. Garnier , Thierry Chonavel

We report an instability exhibited by a fluid system when coupling two distinct types of waves, both linearly damped. While none of them is unstable on its own, they amplify one another, resulting in a previously unreported convective…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2025-03-05 Grégoire Le Lay , Adrian Daerr

We propose a new model-free method to detect change points between distinct phases in a single random trajectory of an intermittent stochastic process. The local convex hull (LCH) is constructed for each trajectory point, while its…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-11-05 Y. Lanoiselée , D. S. Grebenkov

We propose an optimal-transport-based matching method to nonparametrically estimate linear models with independent latent variables. The method consists in generating pseudo-observations from the latent variables, so that the Euclidean…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-01-01 Manuel Arellano , Stephane Bonhomme

This manuscript introduces deep learning models that simultaneously describe the dynamics of several yield curves. We aim to learn the dependence structure among the different yield curves induced by the globalization of financial markets…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-20 Ronald Richman , Salvatore Scognamiglio

Abstract. Detecting anomalies in patterns of sensor data is important in many practical applications, including domestic activity monitoring for Active Assisted Living (AAL). How to represent and analyse these patterns, however, remains a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-01-23 Manuel Fernandez-Carmona , Sariah Mghames , Nicola Bellotto

The extended Hubbard Hamiltonian is a widely accepted model for uncovering the effects of strong correlations on the phase diagram of low-dimensional systems, and a variety of theoretical techniques have been applied to it. In this paper…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2007-09-07 H. A. Craig , C. N. Varney , W. E. Pickett , R. T. Scalettar