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The estimation of probability density functions is a fundamental problem in science and engineering. However, common methods such as kernel density estimation (KDE) have been demonstrated to lack robustness, while more complex methods have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-30 Anna Mészáros , Julian F. Schumann , Javier Alonso-Mora , Arkady Zgonnikov , Jens Kober

Pseudo log-likelihood is a type of maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) method used in various fields including contextual bandits, influence maximization of social networks, and causal bandits. However, in previous literature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-28 Shi Feng , Nuoya Xiong , Zhijie Zhang , Wei Chen

Latent class model (LCM), which is a finite mixture of different categorical distributions, is one of the most widely used models in statistics and machine learning fields. Because of its non-continuous nature and the flexibility in shape,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-23 Hao Chen , Lanshan Han , Alvin Lim

We study nonparametric isotonic confidence intervals for monotone functions. In Banerjee and Wellner (2001) pointwise confidence intervals, based on likelihood ratio tests for the restricted and unrestricted MLE in the current status model,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-17 Piet Groeneboom , Geurt Jongbloed

The saddlepoint approximation gives an approximation to the density of a random variable in terms of its moment generating function. When the underlying random variable is itself the sum of $n$ unobserved i.i.d. terms, the basic classical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-25 Jesse Goodman

We introduce a new smooth estimator of the ROC curve based on log-concave density estimates of the constituent distributions. We show that our estimate is asymptotically equivalent to the empirical ROC curve if the underlying densities are…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-17 Kaspar Rufibach

We find the local rate of convergence of the least squares estimator (LSE) of a one dimensional convex regression function when (a) a certain number of derivatives vanish at the point of interest, and (b) the true regression function is…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-17 Promit Ghosal , Bodhisattva Sen

In this work, we explore the theoretical properties of conditional deep generative models under the statistical framework of distribution regression where the response variable lies in a high-dimensional ambient space but concentrates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-02 Shivam Kumar , Yun Yang , Lizhen Lin

We study the distribution of the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) in high-dimensional logistic models, extending the recent results from Sur (2019) to the case where the Gaussian covariates may have an arbitrary covariance structure. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-05 Qian Zhao , Pragya Sur , Emmanuel J. Candès

A famous characterization theorem due to C.F. Gauss states that the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the parameter in a location family is the sample mean for all samples of all sample sizes if and only if the family is Gaussian. There…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-13 Mitia Duerinckx , Christophe Ley , Yvik Swan

Although deep learning models have driven state-of-the-art performance on a wide array of tasks, they are prone to spurious correlations that should not be learned as predictive clues. To mitigate this problem, we propose a causality-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Xinyi Wang , Wenhu Chen , Michael Saxon , William Yang Wang

This paper considers the asymptotic properties of the recursive maximum likelihood estimation in hidden Markov models. The paper is focused on the asymptotic behavior of the log-likelihood function and on the point-convergence and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-24 Vladislav B. Tadić

Mixtures of factor analyzers are becoming more and more popular in the area of model based clustering of high-dimensional data. According to the likelihood approach in data modeling, it is well known that the unconstrained log-likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-01-09 Francesca Greselin , Salvatore Ingrassia

We discuss nonparametric estimators of the distribution of the incubation time of a disease. The classical approach in these models is to use parametric families like Weibull, log-normal or gamma in the estimation procedure. We analyze…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-01 Piet Groeneboom

When a population exhibits heterogeneity, we often model it via a finite mixture: decompose it into several different but homogeneous subpopulations. Contemporary practice favors learning the mixtures by maximizing the likelihood for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-06 Qiong Zhang , Jiahua Chen

We consider the problem of computing the maximum likelihood multivariate log-concave distribution for a set of points. Specifically, we present an algorithm which, given $n$ points in $\mathbb{R}^d$ and an accuracy parameter $\epsilon>0$,…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-07-22 Brian Axelrod , Ilias Diakonikolas , Anastasios Sidiropoulos , Alistair Stewart , Gregory Valiant

We develop and analyze $M$-estimation methods for divergence functionals and the likelihood ratios of two probability distributions. Our method is based on a non-asymptotic variational characterization of $f$-divergences, which allows the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-18 XuanLong Nguyen , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan

Profile likelihood provides a general framework to infer on a scalar parameter of a statistical model. A confidence interval is obtained by numerically finding the two abscissas where the profile log-likelihood curve intersects an…

Computation · Statistics 2024-04-04 Yves Deville

State-space models have been used in many applications, including econometrics, engineering, medical research, etc. The maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) of the static parameter of general state-space models is not straightforward because…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Yuxiong Gao , Wentao Li , Rong Chen

This paper considers the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for the joint distribution function of an interval censored survival time and a continuous mark variable. We provide a new explicit formula for the MLE in this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-01-12 Marloes H. Maathuis , Jon A. Wellner
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