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This paper introduces a new type of probabilistic semiparametric model that takes advantage of data binning to reduce the computational cost of kernel density estimation in nonparametric distributions. Two new conditional probability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Rafael Sojo , Javier Díaz-Rozo , Concha Bielza , Pedro Larrañaga

This paper proposes a new method for estimating high-dimensional binary choice models. We consider a semiparametric model that places no distributional assumptions on the error term, allows for heteroskedastic errors, and permits endogenous…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-15 Fu Ouyang , Thomas Tao Yang

Important information concerning a multivariate data set, such as clusters and modal regions, is contained in the derivatives of the probability density function. Despite this importance, nonparametric estimation of higher order derivatives…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-04 José E. Chacón , Tarn Duong

In this work we give new density estimators by averaging classical density estimators such as the histogram, the frequency polygon and the kernel density estimators obtained over different bootstrap samples of the original data. We prove…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-24 Mathias Bourel , Jairo Cugliari

We are interested in the rate of consistency of kernel density estimators with respect to the weighted sup-norm determined by some unbounded weight function. This problem has been considered by Gine, Koltchinskii and Zinn (2004) for a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Julia Dony , Uwe Einmahl

Kernel density estimation is a well known method involving a smoothing parameter (the bandwidth) that needs to be tuned by the user. Although this method has been widely used the bandwidth selection remains a challenging issue in terms of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-05 Suzanne Varet , Claire Lacour , Pascal Massart , Vincent Rivoirard

We consider the problem of bandwidth selection by cross-validation from a sequential point of view in a nonparametric regression model. Having in mind that in applications one often aims at estimation, prediction and change detection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-20 Ansgar Steland

Density estimation is a crucial component of many machine learning methods, and manifold learning in particular, where geometry is to be constructed from data alone. A significant practical limitation of the current density estimation…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2016-01-06 Tyrus Berry , Timothy Sauer

This paper develops a general asymptotic theory for nonparametric kernel regression in the presence of cluster dependence. We examine nonparametric density estimation, Nadaraya-Watson kernel regression, and local linear estimation. Our…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-31 Yuya Shimizu

The paper considers nonparametric kernel density/regression estimation from a stochastic optimization point of view. The estimation problem is represented through a family of stochastic optimization problems. Recursive constrained…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-05 Vladimir Norkin , Vladimir Kirilyuk

The performance of kernel density estimators is usually studied via Taylor expansions and asymptotic approximation arguments, in which the bandwidth parameter tends to zero with increasing sample size. In contrast, this paper focusses…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-25 Nils Lid Hjort , Nikolai G. Ushakov

In this paper, we consider the problem of estimating a conditional density in moderately large dimensions. Much more informative than regression functions, conditional densities are of main interest in recent methods, particularly in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-22 Minh-Lien Jeanne Nguyen

Modern Bayesian optimization and adaptive sampling methods increasingly rely on nonlinear parametric models, yet theoretical guarantees for such models under adaptive data collection remain limited. Existing analyses largely focus on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-14 Rafael Oliveira

We present an updated version of lookout -- an algorithm for detecting anomalies using kernel density estimates with bandwidth based on Rips death diameters -- with theoretical guarantees. The kernel density estimator for updated lookout is…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-25 Rob J Hyndman , Sevvandi Kandanaarachchi , Katharine Turner

In this paper we propose an automatic selection of the bandwidth of the semi-recursive kernel estimators of a regression function defined by the stochastic approximation algorithm. We showed that, using the selected bandwidth and some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-05 Yousri Slaoui

In the regression model $Y = b(X) +\sigma(X)\varepsilon$, where $X$ has a density $f$, this paper deals with an oracle inequality for an estimator of $bf$, involving a kernel in the sense of Lerasle et al. (2016), selected via the PCO…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-07 Hélène Halconruy , Nicolas Marie

Variational methods are widely used for approximate posterior inference. However, their use is typically limited to families of distributions that enjoy particular conjugacy properties. To circumvent this limitation, we propose a family of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-22 Samuel Gershman , Matt Hoffman , David Blei

Conditional density estimation generalizes regression by modeling a full density f(yjx) rather than only the expected value E(yjx). This is important for many tasks, including handling multi-modality and generating prediction intervals.…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-06-26 Michael P. Holmes , Alexander G. Gray , Charles Lee Isbell

Practical applications of kernel methods often use variable bandwidth kernels, also known as self-tuning kernels, however much of the current theory of kernel based techniques is only applicable to fixed bandwidth kernels. In this paper, we…

Spectral Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-15 Tyrus Berry , John Harlim

This paper introduces the kernel mixture network, a new method for nonparametric estimation of conditional probability densities using neural networks. We model arbitrarily complex conditional densities as linear combinations of a family of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-22 Luca Ambrogioni , Umut Güçlü , Marcel A. J. van Gerven , Eric Maris