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We quantify uncertainties in the location and magnitude of extreme pressure spots revealed from large scale multi-phase flow simulations of cloud cavitation collapse. We examine clouds containing 500 cavities and quantify uncertainties…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2017-11-09 Jonas Šukys , Ursula Rasthofer , Fabian Wermelinger , Panagiotis Hadjidoukas , Petros Koumoutsakos

We propose a multi-index algorithm for the Monte Carlo (MC) discretization of a linear, elliptic PDE with affine-parametric input. We prove an error vs. work analysis which allows a multi-level finite-element approximation in the physical…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-07-18 Josef Dick , Michael Feischl , Christoph Schwab

We present a new method for conducting Monte Carlo inference in graphical models which combines explicit search with generalized importance sampling. The idea is to reduce the variance of importance sampling by searching for significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Dale Schuurmans , Finnegan Southey

Self-learning Monte Carlo method [arXiv:1610.03137, 1611.09364] is a powerful general-purpose numerical method recently introduced to simulate many-body systems. In this work, we implement this method in the framework of determinantal…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2018-07-12 Xiao Yan Xu , Yang Qi , Junwei Liu , Liang Fu , Zi Yang Meng

This article reviews the application of advanced Monte Carlo techniques in the context of Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC). MLMC is a strategy employed to compute expectations which can be biased in some sense, for instance, by using the…

Computation · Statistics 2017-04-25 Ajay Jasra , Kody Law , Carina Suciu

We introduce Preconditioned Monte Carlo (PMC), a novel Monte Carlo method for Bayesian inference that facilitates efficient sampling of probability distributions with non-trivial geometry. PMC utilises a Normalising Flow (NF) in order to…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-08-24 Minas Karamanis , Florian Beutler , John A. Peacock , David Nabergoj , Uros Seljak

We construct Monte Carlo methods for the $L^2$-approximation in Hilbert spaces of multivariate functions sampling no more than $n$ function values of the target function. Their errors catch up with the rate of convergence and the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-03-16 David Krieg

We develop a theoretical framework for studying numerical estimation of lower previsions, generally applicable to two-level Monte Carlo methods, importance sampling methods, and a wide range of other sampling methods one might devise. We…

Computation · Statistics 2018-07-12 Matthias C. M. Troffaes

We propose to use deep neural networks for generating samples in Monte Carlo integration. Our work is based on non-linear independent components estimation (NICE), which we extend in numerous ways to improve performance and enable its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-04 Thomas Müller , Brian McWilliams , Fabrice Rousselle , Markus Gross , Jan Novák

When solving stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) driven by additive spatial white noise, the efficient sampling of white noise realizations can be challenging. Here, we present a new sampling technique that can be used to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-01-10 Matteo Croci , Michael B. Giles , Marie E. Rognes , Patrick E. Farrell

We propose a modified power method for computing the subdominant eigenvalue $\lambda_2$ of a matrix or continuous operator. Here we focus on defining simple Monte Carlo methods for its application. The methods presented use random walkers…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-12-04 B. M. Rubenstein , J. E. Gubernatis , J. D. Doll

We describe a novel approach to accelerating Monte Carlo Markov Chains. Our focus is cosmological parameter estimation, but the algorithm is applicable to any problem for which the likelihood surface is a smooth function of the free…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-20 Adam Bouland , Richard Easther , Katherine Rosenfeld

In many problems, complex non-Gaussian and/or nonlinear models are required to accurately describe a physical system of interest. In such cases, Monte Carlo algorithms are remarkably flexible and extremely powerful approaches to solve such…

Computation · Statistics 2015-04-23 Thi Le Thu Nguyen , Francois Septier , Gareth W. Peters , Yves Delignon

This paper extends the Multilevel Monte Carlo variance reduction technique to nonlinear filtering. In particular, Multilevel Monte Carlo is applied to a certain variant of the particle filter, the Ensemble Transform Particle Filter. A key…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-02-24 Alastair Gregory , Colin Cotter , Sebastian Reich

Engineering problems are often characterized by significant uncertainty in their material parameters. A typical example coming from geotechnical engineering is the slope stability problem where the soil's cohesion is modeled as a random…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-09-30 Philippe Blondeel , Pieterjan Robbe , Stijn François , Geert Lombaert , Stefan Vandewalle

A class of Monte Carlo algorithms which incorporate absorbing Markov chains is presented. In a particular limit, the lowest-order of these algorithms reduces to the $n$-fold way algorithm. These algorithms are applied to study the escape…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-22 M. A. Novotny

Monte Carlo simulations are a powerful tool to investigate the thermodynamic properties of atomic systems. In practice however, sampling of the complete configuration space is often hindered by high energy barriers between different regions…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-05-04 Jonas A. Finkler , Stefan Goedecker

Quasi-Monte Carlo methods have become the industry standard in computer graphics. For that purpose, efficient algorithms for low discrepancy sequences are discussed. In addition, numerical pitfalls encountered in practice are revealed. We…

Graphics · Computer Science 2023-07-31 Alexander Keller , Carsten Wächter , Nikolaus Binder

Traditional gradient-based sampling methods, like standard Hamiltonian Monte Carlo, require that the desired target distribution is continuous and differentiable. This limits the types of models one can define, although the presented models…

Computation · Statistics 2025-04-28 Jimmy Huy Tran , Tore Selland Kleppe

In this paper, we propose a new stochastic optimization algorithm for Bayesian inference based on multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) methods. In Bayesian statistics, biased estimators of the model evidence have been often used as stochastic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-26 Kei Ishikawa , Takashi Goda
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