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Motivated by an increasing demand for models that can effectively describe features of complex multivariate time series, e.g. from sensor data in biomechanics, motion analysis, and sports science, we introduce a novel state-space modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-23 Alice Giampino , Bernardo Nipoti , Marina Vannucci , Michele Guindani

It is increasingly being realised that many real world time series are not stationary and exhibit evolving second-order autocovariance or spectral structure. This article introduces a Bayesian approach for modelling the evolving wavelet…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-09-11 Guy P. Nason , Kara N. Stevens

We propose a new semi-parametric approach to the joint segmentation of multiple series corrupted by a functional part. This problem appears in particular in geodesy where GPS permanent station coordinate series are affected by undocumented…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-06-26 Karine Bertin , Xavier Collilieux , Emilie Lebarbier , Cristian Meza

We consider the problem of inference for non-stationary time series with heavy-tailed error distribution. Under a time-varying linear process framework we show that there exists a suitable local approximation by a stationary process with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-09 Fumiya Akashi , Konstantinos Fokianos , Junichi Hirukawa

Change point detection for time series analysis is a difficult and important problem in applied statistics, for which a variety of approaches have been developed in the past several decades. Here, the Wasserstein metric is employed as a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-03 David Gentile , Joshua Huang , James M. Murphy

We present the Wavelet-based Edge Multiscale Parareal (WEMP) Algorithm, recently proposed in [Li and Hu, {\it J. Comput. Phys.}, 2021], for efficiently solving subdiffusion equations with heterogeneous coefficients in long time. This…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-06-14 Guanglian Li

Change point detection in time series has attracted substantial interest, but most of the existing results have been focused on detecting change points in the time domain. This paper considers the situation where nonlinear time series have…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-22 Yan Cui , Jun Yang , Zhou Zhou

We propose a new statistical test to identify non-stationary frequency-modulated stochastic processes from time series data. Our method uses the instantaneous phase as a discriminatory statistics with reliable critical values derived from…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-08-08 Adrian L. Hauber , Christian Sigloch , Jens Timmer

The continuous wavelet transform (CWT) is a linear time-frequency representation and a powerful tool for analyzing non-stationary signals. The synchrosqueezing transform (SST) is a special type of the reassignment method which not only…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-27 Lin Li , Haiyan Cai , Qingtang Jiang

We present a convex approach to probabilistic segmentation and modeling of time series data. Our approach builds upon recent advances in multivariate total variation regularization, and seeks to learn a separate set of parameters for the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-17 Matt Wytock , J. Zico Kolter

In this paper, we consider the estimation and inference of precision matrices of a rich class of locally stationary and nonlinear time series assuming that only one realization of the time series is observed. Using a Cholesky decomposition…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-15 Xiucai Ding , Zhou Zhou

Modern time series data often exhibit complex dependence and structural changes which are not easily characterised by shifts in the mean or model parameters. We propose a nonparametric data segmentation methodology for multivariate time…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-06 Euan T. McGonigle , Haeran Cho

We develop an estimator for the high-dimensional covariance matrix of a locally stationary process with a smoothly varying trend and use this statistic to derive consistent predictors in non-stationary time series. In contrast to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-08 Holger Dette , Weichi Wu

Image segmentation is an important median level vision topic. Accurate and efficient multiphase segmentation for images with intensity inhomogeneity is still a great challenge. We present a new two-stage multiphase segmentation method…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-15 Xueyan Guo , Yunhua Xue , Chunlin Wu

Temporally locating and classifying action segments in long untrimmed videos is of particular interest to many applications like surveillance and robotics. While traditional approaches follow a two-step pipeline, by generating frame-wise…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-04-03 Yazan Abu Farha , Juergen Gall

When analysing time series an important issue is to decide whether the time series is stationary or a random walk. Relaxing these notions, we consider the problem to decide in favor of the I(0)- or I(1)-property. Fixed-sample statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-01 Ansgar Steland

Nonparametric density estimation is considered for a discretely observed stationary continuous-time process. For each of three given time sampling procedures either random or deterministic, we establish that histograms and frequency…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-01-19 François-Xavier Lejeune

We consider the prediction problem of a continuous-time stochastic process on an entire time-interval in terms of its recent past. The approach we adopt is based on functional kernel nonparametric regression estimation techniques where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Anestis Antoniadis , Efstathios Paparoditis , Theofanis Sapatinas

Sequence segmentation is a well-studied problem, where given a sequence of elements, an integer K, and some measure of homogeneity, the task is to split the sequence into K contiguous segments that are maximally homogeneous. A classic…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-02-12 Nikolaj Tatti

Changepoint models typically assume the data within each segment are independent and identically distributed conditional on some parameters which change across segments. This construction may be inadequate when data are subject to local…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-10 Karl L. Hallgren , Nicholas A. Heard , Niall M. Adams