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The Log-Gaussian Cox Process is a commonly used model for the analysis of spatial point patterns. Fitting this model is difficult because of its doubly-stochastic property, i.e., it is an hierarchical combination of a Poisson process at the…

Computation · Statistics 2017-01-05 Ming Teng , Farouk S. Nathoo , Timothy D. Johnson

We investigate the spatiotemporal dynamics of traffic accidents in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, using 2016--2019 data. We formulate the traffic accident intensity as a log-Gaussian Cox Process and model it as a spatiotemporal point process with…

Applications · Statistics 2024-08-06 Yassin Tesfaw Abebe , Abdu Mohammed Seid , Lassi Roininen

The life course perspective in criminology has become prominent last years, offering valuable insights into various patterns of criminal offending and pathways. The study of criminal trajectories aims to understand the beginning,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-30 Alisson C. C. Silva , Fábio N. Demarqui , Bráulio F. Silva , Marcos O. Prates

Generalized evolutionary point processes offer a class of point process models that allows for either excitation or inhibition based upon the history of the process. In this regard, we propose modeling which comprises generalization of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-06 Philip A. White , Alan E. Gelfand

A new discrete-time shot noise Cox process for spatiotemporal data is proposed. The random intensity is driven by a dependent sequence of latent gamma random measures. Some properties of the latent process are derived, such as an…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-17 Federico Bassetti , Roberto Casarin , Matteo Iacopini

The aim of this paper is to analyze a class of random motions which models the motion of a particle on the real line with random velocity and subject to the action of the friction. The speed randomly changes when a Poissonian event occurs.…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-31 Alessandro De Gregorio

Crime prediction plays an impactful role in enhancing public security and sustainable development of urban. With recent advances in data collection and integration technologies, a large amount of urban data with rich crime-related…

Applications · Statistics 2020-01-23 Xiangyu Zhao , Jiliang Tang

An important task in the statistical analysis of inhomogeneous point processes is to investigate the influence of a set of covariates on the point-generating mechanism. In this article, we consider the nonparametric Bayesian approach to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-19 Patric Dolmeta , Matteo Giordano

Understanding the spread of infectious diseases such as COVID-19 is crucial for informed decision-making and resource allocation. A critical component of disease behavior is the velocity with which disease spreads, defined as the rate of…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-23 Fernando Rodriguez Avellaneda , Jorge Mateu , Paula Moraga

Event of the same type occurring several times for one individual (recurrent events) are present in various domains (industrial systems reliability, episodes of unemployment, political conflicts, chronic diseases episodes). Analysis of such…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-24 Génia Babykina , Vincent Vandewalle

Random fields are useful mathematical tools for representing natural phenomena with complex dependence structures in space and/or time. In particular, the Gaussian random field is commonly used due to its attractive properties and…

This work studies nonparametric Bayesian estimation of the intensity function of an inhomogeneous Poisson point process in the important case where the intensity depends on covariates, based on the observation of a single realisation of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-09 Matteo Giordano , Alisa Kirichenko , Judith Rousseau

We investigate spatio-temporal event analysis using point processes. Inferring the dynamics of event sequences spatiotemporally has many practical applications including crime prediction, social media analysis, and traffic forecasting. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-17 Fatih Ilhan , Suleyman Serdar Kozat

We generalize the log Gaussian Cox process (LGCP) framework to model multiple correlated point data jointly. The observations are treated as realizations of multiple LGCPs, whose log intensities are given by linear combinations of latent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-18 Virginia Aglietti , Theodoros Damoulas , Edwin Bonilla

Modelling the first-order intensity function is one of the main aims in point process theory, and it has been approached so far from different perspectives. One appealing model describes the intensity as a function of a spatial covariate.…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-03 M. I. Borrajo , W. González-Manteiga , M. D. Martínez-Miranda

We study adaptive sensing of Cox point processes, a widely used model from spatial statistics. We introduce three tasks: maximization of captured events, search for the maximum of the intensity function and learning level sets of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-31 Mojmír Mutný , Andreas Krause

Complex behaviour in many systems arises from the stochastic interactions of spatially distributed particles or agents. Stochastic reaction-diffusion processes are widely used to model such behaviour in disciplines ranging from biology to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-23 David Schnoerr , Ramon Grima , Guido Sanguinetti

We suggest a novel method of clustering and exploratory analysis of temporal event sequences data (also known as categorical time series) based on three-dimensional data grid models. A data set of temporal event sequences can be represented…

Databases · Computer Science 2015-05-07 Dominique Gay , Romain Guigourès , Marc Boullé , Fabrice Clérot

We propose a scalable framework for inference in an inhomogeneous Poisson process modeled by a continuous sigmoidal Cox process that assumes the corresponding intensity function is given by a Gaussian process (GP) prior transformed with a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-10 Virginia Aglietti , Edwin V. Bonilla , Theodoros Damoulas , Sally Cripps

We observe $n$ inhomogeneous Poisson processes with covariates and aim at estimating their intensities. We assume that the intensity of each Poisson process is of the form $s (\cdot, x)$ where $x$ is the covariate and where $s$ is an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-14 Mathieu Sart