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This work is concerned with nonparametric goodness-of-fit testing in the context of nonlinear inverse problems with random observations. Bayesian posterior distributions based upon a Gaussian process prior distribution are proven to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Remo Kretschmann , Han Cheng Lie

We study the problem of estimating a distribution over a finite alphabet from an i.i.d. sample, with accuracy measured in relative entropy (Kullback-Leibler divergence). While optimal bounds on the expected risk are known, high-probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Jaouad Mourtada

In this work, we are concerned with the estimation of the predictive density of a Gaussian random vector where both the mean and the variance are unknown. In such a context, we prove the inadmissibility of the best equivariant predictive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-27 Aurélie Boisbunon , Yuzo Maruyama

In this paper the Gaussian quasi maximum likelihood estimator (GQMLE) is generalized by applying a transform to the probability distribution of the data. The proposed estimator, called measure-transformed GQMLE (MT-GQMLE), minimizes the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-19 Koby Todros , Alfred O. Hero

The families of $f$-divergences (e.g. the Kullback-Leibler divergence) and Integral Probability Metrics (e.g. total variation distance or maximum mean discrepancies) are widely used to quantify the similarity between probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-08 Rohit Agrawal , Thibaut Horel

This paper deals with the problem of quantifying the approximation a probability measure by means of an empirical (in a wide sense) random probability measure, depending on the first n terms of a sequence of random elements. In Section 2,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-23 Emanuele Dolera , Eugenio Regazzini

We address the problem of continual learning in multi-task Gaussian process (GP) models for handling sequential input-output observations. Our approach extends the existing prior-posterior recursion of online Bayesian inference, i.e.\ past…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-04 Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Antonio Artés-Rodríguez , Mauricio A. Álvarez

This paper deals with the taking into account a given set of realizations as constraints in the Kullback-Leibler minimum principle, which is used as a probabilistic learning algorithm. This permits the effective integration of data into…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-09 Christian Soize

Let $X| \mu \sim N_p(\mu,v_xI)$ and $Y| \mu \sim N_p(\mu,v_yI)$ be independent p-dimensional multivariate normal vectors with common unknown mean $\mu$. Based on only observing $X=x$, we consider the problem of obtaining a predictive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Edward I. George , Feng Liang , Xinyi Xu

We derive new and improved non-asymptotic deviation inequalities for the sample average approximation (SAA) of an optimization problem. Our results give strong error probability bounds that are "sub-Gaussian"~even when the randomness of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-28 Roberto I. Oliveira , Philip Thompson

We investigate small deviation properties of Gaussian random fields in the space $L_q(\R^N,\mu)$ where $\mu$ is an arbitrary finite compactly supported Borel measure. Of special interest are hereby "thin" measures $\mu$, i.e., those which…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Mikhail Lifshits , Werner Linde , Zhan Shi

The results of a series of theoretical studies are reported, examining the convergence rate for different approximate representations of $\alpha$-stable distributions. Although they play a key role in modelling random processes with jumps…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-03 Marina Riabiz , Tohid Ardeshiri , Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Simon Godsill

We study Bayesian inference methods for solving linear inverse problems, focusing on hierarchical formulations where the prior or the likelihood function depend on unspecified hyperparameters. In practice, these hyperparameters are often…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-08-01 Qingping Zhou , Wenqing Liu , Jinglai Li , Youssef M. Marzouk

In Bayesian statistics probability distributions express beliefs. However, for many problems the beliefs cannot be computed analytically and approximations of beliefs are needed. We seek a loss function that quantifies how "embarrassing" it…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-07 Reimar H. Leike , Torsten A. Enßlin

Mixture models, such as Gaussian mixture models, are widely used in machine learning to represent complex data distributions. A key challenge, especially in high-dimensional settings, is to determine the mixture order and estimate the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Srećko Đurašinović , Jean-Bernard Lasserre , Victor Magron

We consider the problem of estimating an input signal from noisy measurements in both parallel scalar Gaussian channels and linear mixing systems. The performance of the estimation process is quantified by the $\ell_\infty$ norm error…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-04-23 Jin Tan , Dror Baron , Liyi Dai

We study frequentist asymptotic properties of Bayesian procedures for high-dimensional Gaussian sparse regression when unknown nuisance parameters are involved. Nuisance parameters can be finite-, high-, or infinite-dimensional. A mixture…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-18 Seonghyun Jeong , Subhashis Ghosal

We consider estimating the predictive density under Kullback-Leibler loss in a high-dimensional Gaussian model. Decision theoretic properties of the within-family prediction error -- the minimal risk among estimates in the class…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-04 Gourab Mukherjee , Iain M. Johnstone

The classical parametric and semiparametric Bernstein -- von Mises (BvM) results are reconsidered in a non-classical setup allowing finite samples and model misspecification. In the case of a finite dimensional nuisance parameter we obtain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-24 Maxim Panov , Vladimir Spokoiny

We study the convergence rate of the optimal quantization for a probability measure sequence $(\mu_{n})_{n\in\mathbb{N}^{*}}$ on $\mathbb{R}^{d}$ converging in the Wasserstein distance in two aspects: the first one is the convergence rate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-20 Yating Liu , Gilles Pagès