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This paper applies the functional sieve bootstrap (FSB) to estimate the distribution of the partial sum process for time series stemming from a weakly stationary functional process. Consistency of the FSB procedure under weak assumptions on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Efstathios Paparoditis , Lea Wegner , Martin Wendler

In preliminary analysis of control charts, one may encounter multiple shifts and/or outliers especially with a large number of observations. The following paper addresses this problem. A statistical model for detecting and estimating…

Applications · Statistics 2014-03-05 Issac Shams , Saeede Ajorlou , Kai Yang

A new bivariate partial sum process for locally stationary time series is introduced and its weak convergence to a Brownian sheet is established. This construction enables the development of a novel self-normalized CUSUM test statistic for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-15 Florian Heinrichs

From a sequence of similarity networks, with edges representing certain similarity measures between nodes, we are interested in detecting a change-point which changes the statistical property of the networks. After the change, a subset of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-06 Shanshan Cao , Yao Xie

This paper presents DRE-CUSUM, an unsupervised density-ratio estimation (DRE) based approach to determine statistical changes in time-series data when no knowledge of the pre-and post-change distributions are available. The core idea behind…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-28 Sudarshan Adiga , Ravi Tandon

This paper studies the unsupervised change point detection problem in time series of networks using the Separable Temporal Exponential-family Random Graph Model (STERGM). Inherently, dynamic network patterns are complex due to dyadic and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-01 Yik Lun Kei , Hangjian Li , Yanzhen Chen , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

It is quite common that the structure of a time series changes abruptly. Identifying these change points and describing the model structure in the segments between these change points is of interest. In this paper, time series data is…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-18 Lijing Ma , Andrew Grant , Georgy Sofronov

Change-point detection has garnered significant attention due to its broad range of applications, including epidemic disease outbreaks, social network evolution, image analysis, and wireless communications. In an online setting, where new…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-26 Zihan Wang

We propose the first Bayesian methods for detecting change points in high-dimensional mean and covariance structures. These methods are constructed using pairwise Bayes factors, leveraging modularization to identify significant changes in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-25 Jaehoon Kim , Kyoungjae Lee , Lizhen Lin

Cumulative sum (CUSUM) charts are typically used to detect changes in a stream of observations e.g. shifts in the mean. Usually, after signalling, the chart is restarted by setting it to some value below the signalling threshold. We propose…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-07-30 Axel Gandy , F. Din-Houn Lau

Classical moment based change point tests like the cusum test are very powerful in case of Gaussian time series with one change point but behave poorly under heavy tailed distributions and corrupted data. A new class of robust change point…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-16 Alexander Dürre , Roland Fried

The q-weighted CUSUM and their corresponding estimator are well known statistics for change-point detection and estimation. They have the difficulty that the performance is highly dependent on the location of the change. An adaptive…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-26 Stefanie Schwaar

This paper tackles the problem of detecting abrupt changes in the mean of a heteroscedastic signal by model selection, without knowledge on the variations of the noise. A new family of change-point detection procedures is proposed, showing…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-02-01 Sylvain Arlot , Alain Celisse

A generalized multisensor sequential change detection problem is considered, in which a number of (possibly correlated) sensors monitor an environment in real time, the joint distribution of their observations is determined by a global…

Applications · Statistics 2016-01-12 Georgios Fellouris , Grigory Sokolov

We establish the convergence rates and asymptotic distributions of the common break change-point estimators, obtained by least squares and maximum likelihood in panel data models and compare their asymptotic variances. Our model assumptions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-22 Monika Bhattacharjee , Moulinath Banerjee , George Michailidis

In this work, we aim to provide a new and efficient recursive detection method for temporarily monitored signals. Motivated by the case of the propagation of an event over a field of sensors, we assumed that the change in the statistical…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-17 V. Watson , F. Septier , P. Armand , C. Duchenne

We introduce a framework for online changepoint detection and simultaneous model learning which is applicable to highly parametrized models, such as deep neural networks. It is based on detecting changepoints across time by sequentially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-08 Michalis K. Titsias , Jakub Sygnowski , Yutian Chen

We show optimality, in a well-defined sense, using cumulative sum (CUSUM) charts for detecting changes in distributions. We consider a setting with multiple changes between two known distributions. This result advocates the use of…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-05-10 F. Din-Houn Lau , Axel Gandy

We propose a new class of sequential change point tests, both for changes in the mean parameter and in the overall distribution function. The methodology builds on a two-window inspection scheme (TWIN), which aggregates data into symmetric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-14 Patrick Bastian , Tim Kutta

Consider $d$ dependent change point tests, each based on a CUSUM-statistic. We provide an asymptotic theory that allows us to deal with the maximum over all test statistics as both the sample size $n$ and $d$ tend to infinity. We achieve…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-07 Moritz Jirak
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