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We analyse a multilevel Monte Carlo method for the approximation of distribution functions of univariate random variables. Since, by assumption, the target distribution is not known explicitly, approximations have to be used. We provide an…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-22 Mike B. Giles , Tigran Nagapetyan , Klaus Ritter

In the following article we provide an exposition of exact computational methods to perform parameter inference from partially observed network models. In particular, we consider the duplication attachment (DA) model which has a likelihood…

Computation · Statistics 2013-06-20 Junshan Wang , Ajay Jasra , Maria De Iorio

In this paper we consider Bayesian parameter inference associated to a class of partially observed stochastic differential equations (SDE) driven by jump processes. Such type of models can be routinely found in applications, of which we…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-03 Mohamed Maama , Ajay Jasra , Kengo Kamatani

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms have become powerful tools for Bayesian inference. However, they do not scale well to large-data problems. Divide-and-conquer strategies, which split the data into batches and, for each batch, run…

Computation · Statistics 2017-07-18 Christopher Nemeth , Chris Sherlock

We study Bayesian methods for large-scale linear inverse problems, focusing on the challenging task of hyperparameter estimation. Typical hierarchical Bayesian formulations that follow a Markov Chain Monte Carlo approach are possible for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-01-05 Khalil A Hall-Hooper , Arvind K Saibaba , Julianne Chung , Scot M Miller

We consider the simulation of Bayesian statistical inverse problems governed by large-scale linear and nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs). Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are standard techniques to solve such…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-02-09 Harbir Antil , Howard C Elman , Akwum Onwunta , Deepanshu Verma

We introduce a novel Multi-Order Monte Carlo approach for uncertainty quantification in the context of multiscale time-dependent partial differential equations. The new framework leverages Implicit-Explicit Runge-Kutta time integrators to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-08 Giulia Bertaglia , Walter Boscheri , Lorenzo Pareschi

The multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method is highly efficient for estimating expectations of a functional of a solution to a stochastic differential equation (SDE). However, MLMC estimators may be unstable and have a poor (noncanonical)…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-07 Christian Bayer , Chiheb Ben Hammouda , Raul Tempone

Monte Carlo and Quasi-Monte Carlo methods present a convenient approach for approximating the expected value of a random variable. Algorithms exist to adaptively sample the random variable until a user defined absolute error tolerance is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-11-14 Aleksei G. Sorokin , Jagadeeswaran Rathinavel

A statistical learning approach for parametric PDEs related to Uncertainty Quantification is derived. The method is based on the minimization of an empirical risk on a selected model class and it is shown to be applicable to a broad range…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-01-07 Martin Eigel , Reinhold Schneider , Philipp Trunschke , Sebastian Wolf

In recent years, tremendous progress has been made on numerical algorithms for solving partial differential equations (PDEs) in a very high dimension, using ideas from either nonlinear (multilevel) Monte Carlo or deep learning. They are…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-12-13 Weinan E , Jiequn Han , Arnulf Jentzen

Numerical methods for random parametric PDEs can greatly benefit from adaptive refinement schemes, in particular when functional approximations are computed as in stochastic Galerkin and stochastic collocations methods. This work is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-05-03 Martin Eigel , Nando Farchmin , Sebastian Heidenreich , Philipp Trunschke

In this article we present and analyse new multilevel adaptations of stochastic approximation algorithms for the computation of a zero of a function $f\colon D \to \mathbb R^d$ defined on a convex domain $D\subset \mathbb R^d$, which is…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-04 Steffen Dereich , Thomas Mueller-Gronbach

Multilevel models (MLMs) are a central building block of the Bayesian workflow. They enable joint, interpretable modeling of data across hierarchical levels and provide a fully probabilistic quantification of uncertainty. Despite their…

Monte Carlo methods are widely used for approximating complicated, multidimensional integrals for Bayesian inference. Population Monte Carlo (PMC) is an important class of Monte Carlo methods, which utilizes a population of proposals to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-30 Chaofan Huang , V. Roshan Joseph , Simon Mak

Monte Carlo sampling has become a major vehicle for approximate inference in Bayesian networks. In this paper, we investigate a family of related simulation approaches, known collectively as quasi-Monte Carlo methods based on deterministic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Jian Cheng , Marek J. Druzdzel

We introduce the multivariate decomposition finite element method for elliptic PDEs with lognormal diffusion coefficient $a=\exp(Z)$ where $Z$ is a Gaussian random field defined by an infinite series expansion $Z(\boldsymbol{y}) =…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-09-28 Dong T. P. Nguyen , Dirk Nuyens

We present a Multi-Index Quasi-Monte Carlo method for the solution of elliptic partial differential equations with random coefficients. By combining the multi-index sampling idea with randomly shifted rank-1 lattice rules, the algorithm…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-06-20 Pieterjan Robbe , Dirk Nuyens , Stefan Vandewalle

Due to the importance of uncertainty quantification (UQ), Bayesian approach to inverse problems has recently gained popularity in applied mathematics, physics, and engineering. However, traditional Bayesian inference methods based on Markov…

Computation · Statistics 2022-04-26 Shiwei Lan , Shuyi Li , Babak Shahbaba

Neural networks are increasingly recognized as a powerful numerical solution technique for partial differential equations (PDEs) arising in diverse scientific computing domains, including quantum many-body physics. In the context of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-11-22 Chuhao Sun , Asaf Cohen , James Stokes , Shravan Veerapaneni