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Adaptive experiments are becoming increasingly popular in real-world applications for effectively maximizing in-sample welfare and efficiency by data-driven sampling. Despite their growing prevalence, however, the statistical foundations…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-15 Ziang Niu , Zhimei Ren

This paper studies alpha testing in a high-dimensional conditional time-varying factor model with temporally dependent observations. Both factor loadings and alpha processes are allowed to vary smoothly over time, and the cross-sectional…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-16 Long Feng , Huifang Ma , Zhaojun Wang

For decades researchers have studied the On/Off counting problem, where a measured rate consists of two parts. One due to a signal process and another due to a background process, of which both magnitudes are unknown. While most frequentist…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-01-24 Max L. Knoetig

Conditional independence (CI) testing is frequently used in data analysis and machine learning for various scientific fields and it forms the basis of constraint-based causal discovery. Oftentimes, CI testing relies on strong, rather…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-21 Wiebke Günther , Urmi Ninad , jonas Wahl , Jakob Runge

Testing for white noise has been well studied in the literature of econometrics and statistics. For most of the proposed test statistics, such as the well-known Box-Pierce's test statistic with fixed lag truncation number, the asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-30 Xiaofeng Shao

Measuring conditional dependence is an important topic in statistics with broad applications including graphical models. Under a factor model setting, a new conditional dependence measure based on projection is proposed. The corresponding…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-14 Jianqing Fan , Yang Feng , Lucy Xia

We consider a general statistical estimation problem wherein binary labels across different observations are not independent conditioned on their feature vectors, but dependent, capturing settings where e.g. these observations are collected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-22 Yuval Dagan , Constantinos Daskalakis , Nishanth Dikkala , Surbhi Goel , Anthimos Vardis Kandiros

The dynamics based on information transfer is proposed as an underlying mechanism for the scale-invariant dynamic critical behavior observed in a variety of systems. We apply the dynamics to the globally-coupled Ising model, which is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 M. Y. Choi , B. J. Kim , B. -G. Yoon , H. Park

In this paper, we study the task of detecting the edge dependency between two weighted random graphs. We formulate this task as a simple hypothesis testing problem, where under the null hypothesis, the two observed graphs are statistically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-25 Mor Oren , Vered Paslev , Wasim Huleihel

In this paper, an over-sampled periodogram higher criticism (OPHC) test is proposed for the global detection of sparse periodic effects in a complex-valued time series. An explicit minimax detection boundary is established between the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-28 T. Tony Cai , Yonina C. Eldar , Xiaodong Li

Sparse additive models are an attractive choice in circumstances calling for modelling flexibility in the face of high dimensionality. We study the signal detection problem and establish the minimax separation rate for the detection of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-03 Subhodh Kotekal , Chao Gao

Describing dynamic medical systems using machine learning is a challenging topic with a wide range of applications. In this work, the possibility of modeling the blood glucose level of diabetic patients purely on the basis of measured data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-10 David Jödicke , Daniel Parra , Gabriel Kronberger , Stephan Winkler

This paper studies a generalization of the Curie-Weiss model (the Ising model on a complete graph) to quantum mechanics. Using a natural probabilistic representation of this model, we give a complete picture of the phase diagram of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-13 Lincoln Chayes , Nicholas Crawford , Dmitry Ioffe , Anna Levit

To determine the universality class of critical phenomena, we propose a method of statistical inference in the scaling analysis of critical phenomena. The method is based on Bayesian statistics, most specifically, the Gaussian process…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-11-21 Kenji Harada

Intelligent reflecting surface (IRS) that enables the control of the wireless propagation environment has been looked upon as a promising technology for boosting the spectrum and energy efficiency in future wireless communication systems.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-02-26 Samith Abeywickrama , Rui Zhang , Chau Yuen

Identifying dependency between two random variables is a fundamental problem. The clear interpretability and ability of a procedure to provide information on the form of possible dependence is particularly important when exploring…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-27 Bogdan Ćmiel , Teresa Ledwina

Detecting weak, systematic distribution shifts and quantitatively modeling individual, heterogeneous responses to policies or incentives have found increasing empirical applications in social and economic sciences. Given two probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-29 YoonHaeng Hur , Tengyuan Liang

Consider a two-class classification problem where the number of features is much larger than the sample size. The features are masked by Gaussian noise with mean zero and covariance matrix $\Sigma$, where the precision matrix…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-11-21 Yingying Fan , Jiashun Jin , Zhigang Yao

Modeling the interference effect is an important issue in the field of causal inference. Existing studies rely on explicit and often homogeneous assumptions regarding interference structures. In this paper, we introduce a low-rank and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-31 Wei Zhang , Ying Yang , Fang Yao

Choice models, which capture popular preferences over objects of interest, play a key role in making decisions whose eventual outcome is impacted by human choice behavior. In most scenarios, the choice model, which can effectively be viewed…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-09-22 Vivek F. Farias , Srikanth Jagabathula , Devavrat Shah