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A method is presented to tackle the sign problem in the simulations of systems having indefinite or complex-valued measures. In general, this new approach is shown to yield statistical errors smaller than the crude Monte Carlo using…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2008-11-26 T D Kieu , C J Griffin

We propose a novel $hp$-multilevel Monte Carlo method for the quantification of uncertainties in the compressible Navier-Stokes equations, using the Discontinuous Galerkin method as deterministic solver. The multilevel approach exploits…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-25 A. Beck , J. Dürrwächter , T. Kuhn , F. Meyer , C. -D. Munz , C. Rohde

Standard approaches for uncertainty quantification in cardiovascular modeling pose challenges due to the large number of uncertain inputs and the significant computational cost of realistic three-dimensional simulations. We propose an…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-20 Casey M. Fleeter , Gianluca Geraci , Daniele E. Schiavazzi , Andrew M. Kahn , Alison L. Marsden

We consider a class of stochastic control problems where the state process is a probability measure-valued process satisfying an additional martingale condition on its dynamics, called measure-valued martingales (MVMs). We establish the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-29 Alexander M. G. Cox , Sigrid Källblad , Martin Larsson , Sara Svaluto-Ferro

A method for making realistic estimates of the density of levels in even-even nuclei is presented making use of the Monte Carlo shell model (MCSM). The procedure follows three basic steps: (1) computation of the thermal energy with the…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2009-10-30 W. E. Ormand

Multi-fidelity Monte Carlo (MFMC) is a variance reduction method that leverages a multi-fidelity ensemble of models of varying cost and accuracy levels. Constructing an MFMC estimator with optimal variance requires knowledge of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-25 Michael Stanley , Thomas Coons , Geoffrey Bomarito , Patrick Leser , Joshua Pribe , James Warner

For the system of polyconvex adiabatic thermoelasticity, we define a notion of dissipative measure-valued solution, which can be considered as the limit of a viscosity approximation. We embed the system into a symmetrizable hyperbolic one…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-08-28 Cleopatra Christoforou , Myrto Galanopoulou , Athanasios E. Tzavaras

Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) and unbiased estimators recently proposed by McLeish (Monte Carlo Methods Appl., 2011) and Rhee and Glynn (Oper. Res., 2015) are closely related. This connection is elaborated by presenting a new general class…

Computation · Statistics 2017-05-12 Matti Vihola

A new computational method for finite-temperature properties of strongly correlated electrons is proposed by extending the variational Monte Carlo method originally developed for the ground state. The method is based on the path integral in…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2016-06-10 Kensaku Takai , Kota Ido , Takahiro Misawa , Youhei Yamaji , Masatoshi Imada

The Self-Learning Monte Carlo (SLMC) method is a Monte Carlo approach that has emerged in recent years by integrating concepts from machine learning with conventional Monte Carlo techniques. Designed to accelerate the numerical study of…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2025-07-18 Gaopei Pan , Chuang Chen , Zi Yang Meng

We consider the problem of estimating a nested structure of two expectations taking the form $U_0 = E[\max\{U_1(Y), \pi(Y)\}]$, where $U_1(Y) = E[X\ |\ Y]$. Terms of this form arise in financial risk estimation and option pricing. When…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-16 Abdul-Lateef Haji-Ali , Jonathan Spence

Local volatility models usually capture the surface of implied volatilities more accurately than other approaches, such as stochastic volatility models. We present the results of application of Monte Carlo (MC) and Quasi Monte Carlo (QMC)…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-17 Julien Hok , Sergei Kucherenko

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) has emerged as a powerful Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method to sample from complex continuous distributions. However, a fundamental limitation of HMC is that it can not be applied to distributions with…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-10 Guangyao Zhou

A two level sampling method is applied to variational Monte Carlo (VMC) that samples the one and two body parts of the wave function separately. The method is demonstrated on a single Li_2 molecule in free space and 32 H_2 molecules in a…

Computational Physics · Physics 2016-09-08 Mark Dewing

Stochastic PDE eigenvalue problems often arise in the field of uncertainty quantification, whereby one seeks to quantify the uncertainty in an eigenvalue, or its eigenfunction. In this paper we present an efficient multilevel quasi-Monte…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-10-07 Alexander D. Gilbert , Robert Scheichl

We introduce a Monte Carlo Virtual Element estimator based on Virtual Element discretizations for stochastic elliptic partial differential equations with random diffusion coefficients. We prove estimates for the statistical approximation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-16 Paola F. Antonietti , Francesca Bonizzoni , Ilaria Perugia , Marco Verani

We consider the computational efficiency of Monte Carlo (MC) and Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) methods applied to partial differential equations with random coefficients. These arise, for example, in groundwater flow modelling, where a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-12 Anastasia Istratuca , Aretha Teckentrup

While generally considered computationally expensive, Uncertainty Quantification using Monte Carlo sampling remains beneficial for applications with uncertainties of high dimension. As an extension of the naive Monte Carlo method, the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Robert Hahn , Sebastian Schöps

In this paper, we examine the Sample Average Approximation (SAA) procedure within a framework where the Monte Carlo estimator of the expectation is biased. We also introduce Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) in the SAA setup to enhance the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-29 Devang Sinha , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty

The Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) method allows sampling from continuous densities. Favorable scaling with dimension has led to wide adoption of HMC by the statistics community. Modern auto-differentiating software should allow more…

Computation · Statistics 2022-08-17 Ian Langmore , Michael Dikovsky , Scott Geraedts , Peter Norgaard , Rob von Behren