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In many real-world applications we are interested in approximating costly functions that are analytically unknown, e.g. complex computer codes. An emulator provides a fast approximation of such functions relying on a limited number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-02 Hossein Mohammadi , Peter Challenor , Marc Goodfellow , Daniel Williamson

This paper presents an adaptive high performance control method for autonomous miniature race cars. Racing dynamics are notoriously hard to model from first principles, which is addressed by means of a cautious nonlinear model predictive…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-12-19 Lukas Hewing , Alexander Liniger , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Learning for control in repeated tasks allows for well-designed experiments to gather the most useful data. We consider the setting in which we use a data-driven controller that does not have access to the true system dynamics. Rather, the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-21 Sean Anderson , Katie Byl , João P. Hespanha

This paper proposes a new class of real-time optimization schemes to overcome system-model mismatch of uncertain processes. This work's novelty lies in integrating derivative-free optimization schemes and multi-fidelity Gaussian processes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-11 Panagiotis Petsagkourakis , Benoit Chachuat , Ehecatl Antonio del Rio-Chanona

Multi-output regression models must exploit dependencies between outputs to maximise predictive performance. The application of Gaussian processes (GPs) to this setting typically yields models that are computationally demanding and have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-27 James Requeima , Will Tebbutt , Wessel Bruinsma , Richard E. Turner

The reliability assessment of a machine learning model's prediction is an important quantity for the deployment in safety critical applications. Not only can it be used to detect novel sceneries, either as out-of-distribution or anomaly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-12 Steve Dias Da Cruz , Bertram Taetz , Thomas Stifter , Didier Stricker

In head-to-head racing, an accurate model of interactive behavior of the opposing target vehicle (TV) is required to perform tightly constrained, but highly rewarding maneuvers such as overtaking. However, such information is not typically…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-03-02 Edward L. Zhu , Finn Lukas Busch , Jake Johnson , Francesco Borrelli

Gaussian Process (GP) models are a powerful tool in probabilistic machine learning with a solid theoretical foundation. Thanks to current advances, modeling complex data with GPs is becoming increasingly feasible, which makes them an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Sarem Seitz

The recent development of statistical methods that can distinguish between stellar activity and dynamical signals in radial velocity (RV) observations has facilitated the discovery and characterization of planets orbiting young stars. One…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-09-25 Quang H. Tran , Brendan P. Bowler

We present a planning framework for minimising the deterministic worst-case error in sparse Gaussian process (GP) regression. We first derive a universal worst-case error bound for sparse GP regression with bounded noise using interpolation…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-01-25 Jennifer Wakulicz , Ki Myung Brian Lee , Chanyeol Yoo , Teresa Vidal-Calleja , Robert Fitch

Gaussian processes (GPs) provide a framework for Bayesian inference that can offer principled uncertainty estimates for a large range of problems. For example, if we consider regression problems with Gaussian likelihoods, a GP model enjoys…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-21 Felix Leibfried , Vincent Dutordoir , ST John , Nicolas Durrande

We consider chance constrained optimization where it is sought to optimize a function while complying with constraints, both of which are affected by uncertainties. The high computational cost of realistic simulations strongly limits the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-18 Julien Pelamatti , Rodolphe Le Riche , Céline Helbert , Christophette Blanchet-Scalliet

Computational models of complex physical systems often rely on simplifying assumptions which inevitably introduce model error, with consequent predictive errors. Given data on model observables, the estimation of parameterized model-error…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-23 Mridula Kuppa , Khachik Sargsyan , Marco Panesi , Habib N. Najm

Applying model predictive control on embedded systems remains challenging due to the high computational cost of solving optimal control problems. To address this limitation, computationally efficient Gaussian process approximations of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-14 Alexander Rose , Lukas Theiner , Rolf Findeisen

Unpredictable and complex aerodynamic effects pose significant challenges to achieving precise flight control, such as the downwash effect from upper vehicles to lower ones. Conventional methods often struggle to accurately model these…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-09-30 Yuan Gao , Yinyi Lai , Jun Wang , Yini Fang

We examine an analytic variational inference scheme for the Gaussian Process State Space Model (GPSSM) - a probabilistic model for system identification and time-series modelling. Our approach performs variational inference over both the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-11 Alessandro Davide Ialongo , Mark van der Wilk , Carl Edward Rasmussen

We introduce a novel probabilistic group testing framework, termed Poisson group testing, in which the number of defectives follows a right-truncated Poisson distribution. The Poisson model has a number of new applications, including…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-07-19 Amin Emad , Olgica Milenkovic

Model predictive control allows to provide high performance and safety guarantees in the form of constraint satisfaction. These properties, however, can be satisfied only if the underlying model, used for prediction, of the controlled…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-25 Michael Maiworm , Daniel Limon , Rolf Findeisen

Inertial-aided systems require continuous motion excitation among other reasons to characterize the measurement biases that will enable accurate integration required for localization frameworks. This paper proposes the use of informative…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Mitchell Usayiwevu , Fouad Sukkar , Chanyeol Yoo , Robert Fitch , Teresa Vidal-Calleja

In this paper we address the problem of detecting differences or anomalies in a dynamical system, based on historical data of nominal operations. This problem encompasses quality control, where newly manufactured systems are tested against…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-14 Alejandro Penacho Riveiros , Nicola Bastianello , Matthieu Barreau