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We consider the optimal value of information (VoI) problem, where the goal is to sequentially select a set of tests with a minimal cost, so that one can efficiently make the best decision based on the observed outcomes. Existing algorithms…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-07-18 Yuxin Chen , Jean-Michel Renders , Morteza Haghir Chehreghani , Andreas Krause

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) offer a principled and natural framework for proper uncertainty quantification in the context of deep learning. They address the typical challenges associated with conventional deep learning methods, such as…

Computation · Statistics 2024-11-13 Zahra Moslemi , Yang Meng , Shiwei Lan , Babak Shahbaba

Much recent research has been conducted in the area of Bayesian learning, particularly with regard to the optimization of hyper-parameters via Gaussian process regression. The methodologies rely chiefly on the method of maximizing the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-05-13 James Brofos

Given a supervised machine learning problem where the training set has been subject to a known sampling bias, how can a model be trained to fit the original dataset? We achieve this through the Bayesian inference framework by altering the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-16 Max Sklar

Correctly setting the parameters of a production machine is essential to improve product quality, increase efficiency, and reduce production costs while also supporting sustainability goals. Identifying optimal parameters involves an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-24 Philipp Wagner , Tobias Nagel , Philipp Leube , Marco F. Huber

We consider the classical problem of learning, with arbitrary accuracy, the natural parameters of a $k$-parameter truncated \textit{minimal} exponential family from i.i.d. samples in a computationally and statistically efficient manner. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-13 Abhin Shah , Devavrat Shah , Gregory W. Wornell

This paper studies the problem of learning Bayesian networks from continuous observational data, generated according to a linear Gaussian structural equation model. We consider an $\ell_0$-penalized maximum likelihood estimator for this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-14 Tong Xu , Simge Küçükyavuz , Ali Shojaie , Armeen Taeb

Likelihood-free Bayesian inference algorithms are popular methods for calibrating the parameters of complex, stochastic models, required when the likelihood of the observed data is intractable. These algorithms characteristically rely…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-23 Thomas P Prescott , David J Warne , Ruth E Baker

Using observation data to estimate unknown parameters in computational models is broadly important. This task is often challenging because solutions are non-unique due to the complexity of the model and limited observation data. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-18 Jiacheng Wu , Jian-Xun Wang , Shawn C. Shadden

We consider the problem of jointly testing multiple hypotheses and estimating a random parameter of the underlying distribution. This problem is investigated in a sequential setup under mild assumptions on the underlying random process. The…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-07 Dominik Reinhard , Michael Fauß , Abdelhak M. Zoubir

In this work we introduce a novel approach, based on sampling, for finding assignments that are likely to be solutions to stochastic constraint satisfaction problems and constraint optimisation problems. Our approach reduces the size of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-09-22 Roberto Rossi , Brahim Hnich , S. Armagan Tarim , Steven Prestwich

We study a budgeted hyper-parameter tuning problem, where we optimize the tuning result under a hard resource constraint. We propose to solve it as a sequential decision making problem, such that we can use the partial training progress of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-05 Zhiyun Lu , Chao-Kai Chiang , Fei Sha

For many tasks of data analysis, we may only have the information of the explanatory variable and the evaluation of the response values are quite expensive. While it is impractical or too costly to obtain the responses of all units, a…

Computation · Statistics 2023-04-07 Wei Zheng , Ting Tian , Xueqin Wang

Variational inference approximates the posterior distribution of a probabilistic model with a parameterized density by maximizing a lower bound for the model evidence. Modern solutions fit a flexible approximation with stochastic gradient…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-13 Joseph Sakaya , Arto Klami

Bayesian optimization is a powerful tool for expensive stochastic black-box optimization problems such as simulation-based optimization or machine learning hyperparameter tuning. Many stochastic objective functions implicitly require a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-22 Michael Pearce , Matthias Poloczek , Juergen Branke

Addressing uncertainty is critical for autonomous systems to robustly adapt to the real world. We formulate the problem of model uncertainty as a continuous Bayes-Adaptive Markov Decision Process (BAMDP), where an agent maintains a…

Stochastic gradient descent algorithms for training linear and kernel predictors are gaining more and more importance, thanks to their scalability. While various methods have been proposed to speed up their convergence, the model selection…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-06-17 Francesco Orabona

We address the problem of learning to benchmark the best achievable classifier performance. In this problem the objective is to establish statistically consistent estimates of the Bayes misclassification error rate without having to learn a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-17 Morteza Noshad , Li Xu , Alfred Hero

Some statistical models are specified via a data generating process for which the likelihood function cannot be computed in closed form. Standard likelihood-based inference is then not feasible but the model parameters can be inferred by…

Computation · Statistics 2015-02-20 Michael U. Gutmann , Jukka Corander , Ritabrata Dutta , Samuel Kaski

Optimization in machine learning typically deals with the minimization of empirical objectives defined by training data. However, the ultimate goal of learning is to minimize the error on future data (test error), for which the training…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-08 Bernhard Stankewitz , Nicole Mücke , Lorenzo Rosasco
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