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Detecting rare events, those defined to give rise to high impact but have a low probability of occurring, is a challenge in a number of domains including meteorological, environmental, financial and economic. The use of machine learning to…

Applications · Statistics 2022-09-13 Santhosh Narayanan , Carsten Maple , Mark Hooper

We describe and develop three recent novelties in network research which are particularly useful for studying social systems. The first one concerns the discovery of some basic dynamical laws that enable the emergence of the fundamental…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-03-22 Pedro G. Lind , Hans J. Herrmann

Three events in a probability space form a conjunctive fork if they satisfy specific constraints on conditional independence and covariances. Patterns of conjunctive forks within collections of events are characterized by means of systems…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-30 Vašek Chvátal , František Matúš , Yori Zwólš

We review some of our recent results (with collaborators) on information processing in an ordered linear spaces framework for probabilistic theories. These include demonstrations that many "inherently quantum" phenomena are in reality quite…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-08-18 Howard Barnum , Alexander Wilce

Repetitive spatio-temporal propagation patterns are encountered in fields as wide-ranging as climatology, social communication and network science. In neuroscience, perfectly consistent repetitions of the same global propagation pattern are…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-05-24 Thomas Kreuz , Eero Satuvuori , Martin Pofahl , Mario Mulansky

The standard formulation of quantum theory relies on a fixed space-time metric determining the localisation and causal order of events. In general relativity, the metric is influenced by matter, and is expected to become indefinite when…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-06-08 Esteban Castro-Ruiz , Flaminia Giacomini , Alessio Belenchia , Časlav Brukner

Prediction and control of the dynamics of complex networks is a central problem in network science. Structural and dynamical similarities of different real networks suggest that some universal laws might accurately describe the dynamics of…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2012-11-28 Dmitri Krioukov , Maksim Kitsak , Robert S. Sinkovits , David Rideout , David Meyer , Marian Boguna

Understanding the relation of events plays an important role in different domains, such as identifying the reasons for users' certain actions from application logs as well as explaining sports players' behaviors according to historical…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2020-08-28 Xiao Xie , Moqi He , Yingcai Wu

Interactions between internet users are mediated by their devices and the common support infrastructure in data centres. Keeping track of causality amongst actions that take place in this distributed system is key to provide a seamless…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2016-08-12 Seyed Hossein Haeri , Peter Van Roy , Carlos Baquero , Christopher Meiklejohn

We develop a new interpretation of quantum theory by combining insights from extended Wigner's friend scenarios and quantum causal modelling. In this interpretation, which synthesizes ideas from relational quantum mechanics and consistent…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-02-01 Nick Ormrod , Jonathan Barrett

Many biological phenomena or social events critically depend on how information evolves in complex networks. However, a general theory to characterize information evolution is yet absent. Consequently, numerous unknowns remain about the…

Biological Physics · Physics 2022-07-20 Yang Tian , Guoqi Li , Pei Sun

We develop a rigorous theory of external influences on finite discrete dynamical systems, going beyond the perturbation paradigm, in that the external influence need not be a small contribution. Indeed, the covariance condition can be…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2023-02-09 Carlo Maria Scandolo , Gilad Gour , Barry C. Sanders

In recent years, there has been an increased need for the use of active systems - systems required to act automatically based on events, or changes in the environment. Such systems span many areas, from active databases to applications that…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Segev Wasserkrug , Avigdor Gal , Opher Etzion

We examine the mutual synchronization of a one dimensional chain of chaotic identical objects in the presence of a stimulus applied to the first site. We first describe the characteristics of the local elements, and then the process whereby…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-10 F. T. Arecchi , E. Allaria , I. Leyva

In complex systems, events occur at irregular intervals that inherently encode the underlying dynamics of the system. Analyzing the temporal clustering of these events reveals critical insights into the non-random patterns and the temporal…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-03-20 Ambedkar Sanket Sukdeo , K. Shri Vignesh , Sachin S. Gunthe , T Narayan Rao , Amit Kumar Patra , R. I. Sujith

From pedestrians to Kuramoto oscillators, interactions between agents govern how dynamical systems evolve in space and time. Discovering how these agents relate to each other has the potential to improve our understanding of the often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Yulong Yang , Bowen Feng , Keqin Wang , Naomi Ehrich Leonard , Adji Bousso Dieng , Christine Allen-Blanchette

Networks often represent systems that do not have a long history of studies in traditional fields of physics, albeit there are some notable exceptions such as energy landscapes and quantum gravity. Here we consider networks that naturally…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2014-10-21 Marian Boguna , Maksim Kitsak , Dmitri Krioukov

Extreme events can come either from point processes, when the size or energy of the events is above a certain threshold, or from time series, when the intensity of a signal surpasses a threshold value. We are particularly concerned by the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-07-26 Alvaro Corral

We propose a model of random diffusion to investigate flow fluctuations in complex networks. We derive an analytical law showing that the dependence of fluctuations with the mean traffic in a network is ruled by the delicate interplay of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-05-21 S. Meloni , J. Gomez-Gardenes , V. Latora , Y. Moreno

Threshold models of cascades in the social sciences and economics explain the spread of opinion and innovation due to social influence. In threshold cascade models, fads or innovations spread between agents as determined by their…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-26 Fariba Karimi , Petter Holme