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Temporal point processes have been widely applied to model event sequence data generated by online users. In this paper, we consider the problem of how to design the optimal control policy for point processes, such that the stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-13 Yichen Wang , Grady Williams , Evangelos Theodorou , Le Song

We apply the theory of continuous time random walks to study some aspects of the extreme value problem applied to financial time series. We focus our attention on extreme times, specifically the mean exit time and the mean first-passage…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Jaume Masoliver , Miquel Montero , Josep Perello

We introduce tests for the goodness of fit of point patterns via methods from topological data analysis. More precisely, the persistent Betti numbers give rise to a bivariate functional summary statistic for observed point patterns that is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-19 Christophe Ange Napoléon Biscio , Nicolas Chenavier , Christian Hirsch , Anne Marie Svane

When passing from the univariate to the multivariate setting, modelling extremes becomes much more intricate. In this introductory exposition, classical multivariate extreme value theory is presented from the point of view of multivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-25 Philippe Naveau , Johan Segers

This paper establishes that an MDP with a unique optimal policy and ergodic associated transition matrix ensures the convergence of various versions of the Value Iteration algorithm at a geometric rate that exceeds the discount factor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-17 Arsenii Mustafin , Alex Olshevsky , Ioannis Ch. Paschalidis

Machine learning methods based on statistical principles have proven highly successful in dealing with a wide variety of data analysis and analytics tasks. Traditional data models are mostly concerned with independent identically…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-09-02 Jun Li , Wanrong Hong , Yusheng Xiang

We construct and study branching Markov processes on the space of finite configurations of the state space of a given standard process, controlled by a branching kernel and a killing one. In particular, we may start with a superprocess,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-03 Lucian Beznea , Oana Lupascu

Fueled in part by recent applications in neuroscience, the multivariate Hawkes process has become a popular tool for modeling the network of interactions among high-dimensional point process data. While evaluating the uncertainty of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-16 Xu Wang , Mladen Kolar , Ali Shojaie

A set of discrete individual points located in an embedding continuum space can be seen as percolating or non-percolating, depending on the radius of the discs/spheres associated with each of them. This problem is relevant in theoretical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-07-21 Pablo Villegas , Tommaso Gili , Andrea Gabrielli , Guido Caldarelli

We prove a sequence of limiting results about weakly dependent stationary and regularly varying stochastic processes in discrete time. After deducing the limiting distribution for individual clusters of extremes, we present a new type of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-05 Bojan Basrak , Hrvoje Planinic , Philippe Soulier

Point cloud analysis has a wide range of applications in many areas such as computer vision, robotic manipulation, and autonomous driving. While deep learning has achieved remarkable success on image-based tasks, there are many unique…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-21 Sushmita Sarker , Prithul Sarker , Gunner Stone , Ryan Gorman , Alireza Tavakkoli , George Bebis , Javad Sattarvand

In this work, we deal with extreme value theory in the context of continued fractions using techniques from probability theory, ergodic theory and real analysis. We give an upper bound for the rate of convergence in the Doeblin-Iosifescu…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-06 Anish Ghosh , Maxim Kirsebom , Parthanil Roy

Typically, in the dynamical theory of extremal events, the function that gauges the intensity of a phenomenon is assumed to be convex and maximal, or singular, at a single, or at most a finite collection of points in phase--space. In this…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-09-21 Giorgio Mantica , Luca Perotti

Due to complex physical phenomena, the distribution of heavy rainfall events is difficult to model spatially. Physically based numerical models can often provide physically coherent spatial patterns, but may miss some important…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-13 Marco Oesting , Philippe Naveau

There is currently a gap in theory for point patterns that lie on the surface of objects, with researchers focusing on patterns that lie in a Euclidean space, typically planar and spatial data. Methodology for planar and spatial data thus…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-11 Scott Ward , Edward A. K. Cohen , Niall Adams

We give a characterization of the invariant measures for the exclusion process on the integers with certain reversible transition kernels. Some examples include all nearest-neighbor kernels with asymptotic mean zero. One tool used is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Paul Jung

Estimation of the intensity of a point process is considered within a nonparametric framework. The intensity measure is unknown and depends on covariates, possibly many more than the observed number of jumps. Only a single trajectory of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-20 Alessio Sancetta

Using Bayesian methods for extreme value analysis offers an alternative to frequentist ones, with several advantages such as easily dealing with parametric uncertainty or studying irregular models. However, computations can be challenging…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-12 Théo Moins , Julyan Arbel , Stéphane Girard , Anne Dutfoy

We consider random variables observed at arrival times of a renewal process, which possibly depends on those observations and has regularly varying steps with infinite mean. Due to the dependence and heavy tailed steps, the limiting…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-08 Bojan Basrak , Drago Špoljarić

The spectrum and coherency are useful quantities for characterizing the temporal correlations and functional relations within and between point processes. This paper begins with a review of these quantities, their interpretation and how…

Biological Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 M. R. Jarvis , P. P. Mitra