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This report compares two tests of second-order stationarity through simulation. It also provides several examples of localised autocovariances and their approximate confidence intervals on different real and simulated data sets. An…
In this paper we focus on a general type of mean-field stochastic control problem with partial observation, in which the coefficients depend in a non-linear way not only on the state process $X_t$ and its control $u_t$ but also on the…
This paper is about statistical properties of quasistatic dynamical systems. These are a class of non-stationary systems that model situations where the dynamics change very slowly over time due to external influence. We focus on the case…
We study the long-time behavior of stochastic models with an absorbing state, conditioned on survival. For a large class of processes, in which saturation prevents unlimited growth, statistical properties of the surviving sample attain…
We obtain non-uniform Edgeworth expansions for several classes of weakly dependent (non-stationary) sequences of random variables, including uniformly elliptic inhomogeneous Markov chains, random and time-varying (partially) hyperbolic or…
Dynamics of many-body Hamiltonian systems with long range interactions is studied, in the context of the so called $\alpha-$HMF model. Building on the analogy with the related mean field model, we construct stationary states of the…
In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the properties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly start…
We observe n possibly dependent random variables, the distribution of which is presumed to be stationary even though this might not be true, and we aim at estimating the stationary distribution. We establish a non-asymptotic deviation bound…
Bootstrap for nonlinear statistics like U-statistics of dependent data has been studied by several authors. This is typically done by producing a bootstrap version of the sample and plugging it into the statistic. We suggest an alternative…
One of the main problem in prediction theory of discrete-time second-order stationary processes $X(t)$ is to describe the asymptotic behavior of the best linear mean squared prediction error in predicting $X(0)$ given $ X(t),$ $-n\le…
Analytical stability calculation is done to prove stability properties for systems with parameters that do not have explicit values. For systems with three components, the usual method of finding the characteristic polynomial as the…
The time-dependent probability density function of a system evolving towards a stationary state exhibits an oscillatory behavior if the eigenvalues of the corresponding evolution operator are complex. The frequencies \omega_n, with which…
Neural networks are traditionally trained under the assumption that data come from a stationary distribution. However, settings which violate this assumption are becoming more popular; examples include supervised learning under…
We consider statistical learning question for $\psi$-weakly dependent processes, that unifies a large class of weak dependence conditions such as mixing, association,$\cdots$ The consistency of the empirical risk minimization algorithm is…
For symmetric random matrices with correlated entries, which are functions of independent random variables, we show that the asymptotic behavior of the empirical eigenvalue distribution can be obtained by analyzing a Gaussian matrix with…
We offer an umbrella type result which extends weak convergence of the classical empirical process on the line to that of more general processes indexed by functions of bounded variation. This extension is not contingent on the type of…
We examine the time-dependent behavior of a nonlinear system driven by a two-frequency forcing. By using a non-perturbative approach, we are able to derive an asymptotic expression, valid in the long-time limit, for the time average of the…
Suppose we observe a trajectory of length $n$ from an exponentially $\alpha$-mixing stochastic process over a finite but potentially large state space. We consider the problem of estimating the probability mass placed by the stationary…
Ordinal pattern dependence is a multivariate dependence measure based on the co-movement of two time series. In strong connection to ordinal time series analysis, the ordinal information is taken into account to derive robust results on the…
To use control charts in practice, the in-control state usually has to be estimated. This estimation has a detrimental effect on the performance of control charts, which is often measured for example by the false alarm probability or the…