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Consider a continuous-time binary branching process conditioned to have population size n at some time t, and with a chance p for recording each extinct individual in the process. Within the family tree of this process, we consider the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Lea Popovic

As a first step toward a characterization of the limiting extremal process of branching Brownian motion, we proved in a recent work [Comm. Pure Appl. Math. 64 (2011) 1647-1676] that, in the limit of large time $t$, extremal particles…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-25 Louis-Pierre Arguin , Anton Bovier , Nicola Kistler

We study the limiting extremal and cluster point processes of branching Brownian motion. The former records the heights of all extreme values of the process, while the latter records the relative heights of extreme values in a genealogical…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-29 Lisa Hartung , Oren Louidor , Tianqi Wu

In this paper, we study a class of self-exciting point processes. The intensity of the point process has a nonlinear dependence on the past history and time. When a new jump occurs, the intensity increases and we expect more jumps to come.…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-12 Tzu-Wei Yang , Lingjiong Zhu

It is well known that a simple, supercritical Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson process turns into a subcritical such process, if conditioned to die out. We prove that the corresponding holds true for general, multi-type branching, where…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-12-13 Peter Jagers , Andreas Nordvall Lagerås

We study branching processes in an i.i.d. random environment, where the associated random walk is of the oscillating type. This class of processes generalizes the classical notion of criticality. The main properties of such branching…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 V. I. Afanasyev , J. Geiger , G. Kersting , V. A. Vatutin

We construct a flow of continuous time and discrete state branching processes. Some scaling limit theorems for the flow are proved, which lead to the path-valued branching processes and nonlocal branching superprocesses over the positive…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-13 Hui He , Rugang Ma

We derive some key extremal features for $k$th order Markov chains that can be used to understand how the process moves between an extreme state and the body of the process. The chains are studied given that there is an exceedance of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-27 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Adrian Casey , Jonathan A. Tawn

Percolation refers to the emergence of a giant connected cluster in a disordered system when the number of connections between nodes exceeds a critical value. The percolation phase transitions were believed to be continuous until recently…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-02-13 R. A. da Costa , S. N. Dorogovtsev , A. V. Goltsev , J. F. F. Mendes

We investigate the limit behavior of supercritical multitype branching processes in random environments with linear fractional offspring distributions and show that there exists a phase transition in the behavior of local probabilites of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-25 Wenming Hong , Minzhi Liu , Vladimir Vatutin

The extremal behaviour of a Markov chain is typically characterized by its tail chain. For asymptotically dependent Markov chains existing formulations fail to capture the full evolution of the extreme event when the chain moves out of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-07 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Kirstin Strokorb , Jonathan A. Tawn , Adam Butler

Markov branching systems form a fundamental class of stochastic models that are extensively applied in biology, physics, finance, and other domains. These systems are distinguished by their continuous-time evolution and inherent branching…

We consider a critical branching particle system in $\R^d$, composed of individuals of a finite number of types $i\in\{1,...,K\}$. Each individual of type $i$ moves independently according to a symmetric $\alpha_i$-stable motion. We assume…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-04 Peter Kevei , Jose Alfredo Lopez Mimbela

The stable-regenerative multiple-stable model has been shown recently to have distinct candidate extremal index and extremal index. To understand further this rare phenomenon, two more results are established here for the double-stable…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-10 Shuyang Bai , Rafał Kulik , Yizao Wang

We construct a class of superprocesses by taking the high density limit of a sequence of interacting-branching particle systems. The spatial motion of the superprocess is determined by a system of interacting diffusions, the branching…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-19 Donald A. Dawson , Zenghu Li , Hao Wang

In this article, we study the extremal processes of branching Brownian motions conditioned on having an unusually large maximum. The limiting point measures form a one-parameter family and are the decoration point measures in the extremal…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-01 Julien Berestycki , Éric Brunet , Aser Cortines , Bastien Mallein

We consider continuous space-time decay-surge population models which are semi- stochastic processes for which deterministically declining populations, bound to fade away, are rein- vigorated at random times by bursts or surges of random…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-09 Branda Goncalves , Thierry Huillet , Eva Löcherbach

We derive some additional results on the Bienyam\'e-Galton-Watson branching process with $\theta -$linear fractional branching mechanism, as studied in \cite{Sag}. This includes: the explicit expression of the limit laws in both the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-07-08 Nicolas Grosjean , Thierry Huillet

We consider a branching random walk in a random space-time environment of disasters where each particle is killed when meeting a disaster. This extends the model of the "random walk in a disastrous random environment" introduced by [15]. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-13 Nina Gantert , Stefan Junk

Consider a two-type reducible branching Brownian motion in which particles' diffusion coefficients and branching rates are influenced by their types. Here reducible means that type 1 particles can produce particles of type 1 and type 2, but…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-19 Heng Ma , Yan-Xia Ren