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We establish a practical and easy-to-implement sequential stopping rule for the martingale central limit theorem, focusing on Monte Carlo methods for estimating the mean of a non-iid sequence of martingale difference type. Starting with an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-24 Jiezhong Wu , Reiichiro Kawai

We investigate robust parameter estimation and testing procedure for multivariate diffusion processes observed at high frequency via the minimum density power divergence estimator (MDPDE). Within a general diffusion framework and under…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Sourojyoti Barick

Convection-diffusion equations arise in a variety of applications such as particle transport, electromagnetics, and magnetohydrodynamics. Simulation of the convection-dominated regime for these problems, even with high-fidelity techniques,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-05-24 James H. Adler , Casey Cavanaugh , Xiaozhe Hu , Andy Huang , Nathaniel Trask

We study the problem of parameter estimation using maximum likelihood for fast/slow systems of stochastic differential equations. Our aim is to shed light on the problem of model/data mismatch at small scales. We consider two classes of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-06-20 A. Papavasiliou , G. A. Pavliotis , A. M. Stuart

We establish a moderate deviations principle (MDP) for the log-determinant $\log | \det (M_n) |$ of a Wigner matrix $M_n$ matching four moments with either the GUE or GOE ensemble. Further we establish Cram\'er--type moderate deviations and…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-16 Hanna Döring , Peter Eichelsbacher

This paper establishes a quantitative, uniform-in-time diffusion approximation for the joint law of a broad class of fully coupled multiscale stochastic systems. We derive a precise characterization of the limiting joint distribution as a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Longjie Xie , Xicheng Zhang

In this paper, we consider a class of nonautonomous multi-scale stochastic partial differential equations with fully local monotone coefficients. By introducing the evolution system of measures for time-inhomogeneous Markov semigroups, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Mengyu Cheng , Xiaobin Sun , Yingchao Xie

In this paper, we establish a moderate deviation principle for stochastic models of two-dimensional second grade fluids driven by L\'evy noise. We will adopt the weak convergence approach. Because of the appearance of jumps, this result is…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-26 Wuting Zheng , Jianliang Zhai , Tusheng Zhang

This work studies the averaging principle for a fully coupled two time-scale system, whose slow process is a diffusion process and fast process is a purely jumping process on an infinitely countable state space. The ergodicity of the fast…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-13 Yong-Hua Mao , Jinghai Shao

In this paper, we aim to study the asymptotic behaviour for a class of McKean-Vlasov stochastic partial differential equations with slow and fast time-scales. Using the variational approach and classical Khasminskii time discretization, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-21 Wei Hong , Shihu Li , Wei Liu

In high dimensions, reflective Hamiltonian Monte Carlo with inexact reflections exhibits slow mixing when the particle ensemble is initialised from a Dirac delta distribution and the uniform distribution is targeted. By quantifying the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-20 Namu Kroupa , Gábor Csányi , Will Handley

This paper is concerned with the general theme of relating the Large Deviation Principle (LDP) for the invariant measures of stochastic processes to the associated sample path LDP. It is shown that if the sample path deviation function…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-10 Anatolii A. Puhalskii

We study the validity of an averaging principle for a slow-fast system of stochastic reaction diffusion equations. We assume here that the coefficients of the fast equation depend on time, so that the classical formulation of the averaging…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-19 Sandra Cerrai , Alessandra Lunardi

We consider a two-dimensional Hamiltonian system perturbed by a small diffusion term, whose coefficient is state-dependent and non-degenerate. As a result, the process consists of the fast motion along the level curves and slow motion…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-24 Shuo Yan

In this paper we consider parameter estimation for discretely observed diffusion processes. In particular, we focus on data that are observed at low frequency and methodology that can estimate parameters with uncertainty quantification.…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-01 Jingning Yao , Ajay Jasra , Sheng Jiang

In this paper, we study a class of multiscale McKean-Vlasov stochastic systems where the entire system depends on the distribution of the fast component. First of all, by the Poisson equation method we prove that the slow component…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Jie Xiang , Huijie Qiao

We study the weakly asymmetric simple exclusion process in one dimension. We prove sample path moderate deviation principles for the current and the tagged particle when the process starts from one of its stationary measures. We simplify…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-05 Xiaofeng Xue , Linjie Zhao

In this paper we introduce a simple Monte Carlo method for simulating the dynamics of a crowd. Within our model a collection of hard-disk agents is subjected to a series of two-stage steps, implying (i) the displacement of one specific…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-19 Francesco Piazza

We investigate the systematic mechanism for designing fast mixing Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms to sample from discrete point processes under the Dobrushin uniqueness condition for Gibbs measures. Discrete point processes are defined…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-09 Patrick Rebeschini , Amin Karbasi

We give sufficient Gordin-type criteria for the iterated (enhanced) weak invariance principle to hold for deterministic dynamical systems. Such an invariance principle is intrinsically related to the interpretation of stochastic integrals.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-05-30 Matt Galton , Ian Melbourne
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