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Regression trees and their ensemble methods are popular methods for nonparametric regression: they combine strong predictive performance with interpretable estimators. To improve their utility for locally smooth response surfaces, we study…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-13 Sören R. Künzel , Theo F. Saarinen , Edward W. Liu , Jasjeet S. Sekhon

It is possible to represent each of a number of Markov chains as an evolving sequence of connected subsets of a directed acyclic graph that grow in the following way: initially, all vertices of the graph are unoccupied, particles are fed in…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Steven N. Evans , Rudolf Gruebel , Anton Wakolbinger

We study a generalization of the affine preferential attachment model where triangles are randomly added to the graph. We show that the model exhibits an asymptotically power-law degree distribution with adjustable parameter $\gamma\in…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-04 Angelica Pachon , Robin Stephenson

Markov chains for probability distributions related to matrix product states and 1D Hamiltonians are introduced. With appropriate 'inverse temperature' schedules, these chains can be combined into a random approximation scheme for ground…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2014-05-14 S. Iblisdir

We study the growth of a directed network, in which the growth is constrained by the cost of adding links to the existing nodes. We propose a new preferential-attachment scheme, in which a new node attaches to an existing node i with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Volkan Sevim , Per Arne Rikvold

Survival models are used to analyze time-to-event data in a variety of disciplines. Proportional hazard models provide interpretable parameter estimates, but proportional hazards assumptions are not always appropriate. Non-parametric models…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-08 Richard D. Payne , Nilabja Guha , Bani K. Mallick

The Aldous diffusion is a conjectured Markov process on the space of real trees that is the continuum analogue of discrete Markov chains on binary trees. We construct this conjectured process via a consistent system of stationary evolutions…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-21 Noah Forman , Soumik Pal , Douglas Rizzolo , Matthias Winkel

We study an irreducible Markov chain on the category of finite abelian $p$-groups, whose stationary measure is the Cohen-Lenstra distribution. This Markov chain arises when one studies the cokernel of a random matrix $M$, after conditioning…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-14 Nikita Lvov

The goal of these lectures is to review some mathematical aspects of random tree models used in evolutionary biology to model gene trees or species trees. We start with stochastic models of tree shapes (finite trees without edge lengths),…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-30 Amaury Lambert

This paper analyzes key properties of networks generated by geometric preferential attachment. We establish that the expected number of triangles is proportional to that of the standard preferential attachment model, with a proportionality…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Chenxu Feng , Yifan Li

We propose a simple preferential attachment model of growing network using the complementary probability of Barab\'asi-Albert (BA) model, i.e., $\Pi(k_i) \propto 1-\frac{k_i}{\sum_j k_j}$. In this network, new nodes are preferentially…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-01-20 A. Lachgar , A. Achahbar

We study the convergence rate to stationarity for a class of exchangeable partition-valued Markov chains called cut-and-paste chains. The law governing the transitions of a cut-and-paste chain are determined by products of i.i.d. stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-25 Harry Crane , Steven P. Lalley

Strongly Rayleigh distributions are a class of negatively dependent distributions of binary-valued random variables [Borcea, Branden, Liggett JAMS 09]. Recently, these distributions have played a crucial role in the analysis of algorithms…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-22 Rasmus Kyng , Zhao Song

A learning algorithm is presented which given the structure of a causal tree, will estimate its link probabilities by sequential measurements on the leaves only. Internal nodes of the tree represent conceptual (hidden) variables…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-12 Igor Roizer , Judea Pearl

Suppose that we are given two independent sets $I_b$ and $I_r$ of a graph such that $|I_b|=|I_r|$, and imagine that a token is placed on each vertex in $I_b$. Then, the sliding token problem is to determine whether there exists a sequence…

We prove almost sure convergence of the maximum degree in an evolving graph model combining a growing number of local choices with sublinear preferential attachment. At each step in the growth of the graph, a new vertex is introduced. Then…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-19 Yury Malyshkin

Self-similar Markov trees constitute a remarkable family of random compact real trees carrying a decoration function that is positive on the skeleton. As the terminology suggests, they are self-similar objects that further satisfy a Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-16 Jean Bertoin , Nicolas Curien , Armand Riera

We consider the following Markovian dynamic on point processes: at constant rate and with equal probability, either the rightmost atom of the current configuration is removed, or a new atom is added at a random distance from the rightmost…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-22 Peter Lakner , Josh Reed , Florian Simatos

Multivariate extreme value distributions are a common choice for modelling multivariate extremes. In high dimensions, however, the construction of flexible and parsimonious models is challenging. We propose to combine bivariate max-stable…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-25 Shuang Hu , Zuoxiang Peng , Johan Segers

A Markov tree is a random vector indexed by the nodes of a tree whose distribution is determined by the distributions of pairs of neighbouring variables and a list of conditional independence relations. Upon an assumption on the tails of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-05 Johan Segers