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A central concern of network operators is to estimate the probability of an incident that affects a significant part and thus may yield to a breakdown. We answer this question by modeling how a failure of either a node or an edge will…

Applications · Statistics 2018-02-22 Sandra König

Network cascade refers to diffusion processes in which outcome changes within part of an interconnected population trigger a sequence of changes across the entire network. These cascades are governed by underlying diffusion networks, which…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-06-25 Yubai Yuan , Siyu Huang , Abdul Basit Adeel

We propose an online detection procedure for cascading failures in the network from sequential data, which can be modeled as multiple correlated change-points happening during a short period. We consider a temporal diffusion network model…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2021-02-09 Rui Zhang , Yao Xie , Rui Yao , Feng Qiu

The prediction of information diffusion or cascade has attracted much attention over the last decade. Most cascade prediction works target on predicting cascade-level macroscopic properties such as the final size of a cascade. Existing…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-12-24 Cheng Yang , Maosong Sun , Haoran Liu , Shiyi Han , Zhiyuan Liu , Huanbo Luan

We study the problem of inferring network topology from information cascades, in which the amount of time taken for information to diffuse across an edge in the network follows an unknown distribution. Unlike previous studies, which assume…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-03-05 Feng Ji , Wenchang Tang , Wee Peng Tay , Edwin K. P. Chong

Information diffusion, spreading of infectious diseases, and spreading of rumors are fundamental processes occurring in real-life networks. In many practical cases, one can observe when nodes become infected, but the underlying network,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-03-31 Liudmila Prokhorenkova , Alexey Tikhonov , Nelly Litvak

Can evolving networks be inferred and modeled without directly observing their nodes and edges? In many applications, the edges of a dynamic network might not be observed, but one can observe the dynamics of stochastic cascading processes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-26 Elahe Ghalebi , Baharan Mirzasoleiman , Radu Grosu , Jure Leskovec

We consider the problem of answering observational, interventional, and counterfactual queries in a causally sufficient setting where only observational data and the causal graph are available. Utilizing the recent developments in diffusion…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-11 Patrick Chao , Patrick Blöbaum , Sapan Patel , Shiva Prasad Kasiviswanathan

Morphogen profiles allow cells to determine their position within a developing organism, but the mechanisms behind the formation of these profiles are still not well agreed upon. Here we derive fundamental limits to the precision of…

Biological Physics · Physics 2018-06-26 Sean Fancher , Andrew Mugler

In many complex networked systems, such as online social networks, activity originates at certain nodes and subsequently spreads on the network through influence. In this work, we consider the problem of modeling the spread of influence and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-07-18 Arun Sathanur , Mahantesh Halappanavar , Yi Shi , Walin Sagduyu

Social and biological contagions are influenced by the spatial embeddedness of networks. Historically, many epidemics spread as a wave across part of the Earth's surface; however, in modern contagions long-range edges -- for example, due to…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-07-31 Dane Taylor , Florian Klimm , Heather A. Harrington , Miroslav Kramar , Konstantin Mischaikow , Mason A. Porter , Peter J. Mucha

The spreading dynamics in social networks are often studied under the assumption that individuals' statuses, whether informed or infected, are fully observable. However, in many real-world situations, such statuses remain unobservable,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Derrick Gilchrist Edward Manoharan , Anubha Goel , Alexandros Iosifidis , Henri Hansen , Juho Kanniainen

Many works have been proposed in the literature to capture the dynamics of diffusion in networks. While some of them define graphical markovian models to extract temporal relationships between node infections in networks, others consider…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-12-31 Sylvain Lamprier

A growing set of applications consider the process of network formation by using subgraphs as a tool for generating the network topology. One of the pressing research challenges is thus to be able to use these subgraphs to understand the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-04-11 Soumajyoti Sarkar , Hamidreza Alvari , Paulo Shakarian

The Origin-Destination~(OD) networks provide an estimation of the flow of people from every region to others in the city, which is an important research topic in transportation, urban simulation, etc. Given structural regional urban…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-12 Can Rong , Jingtao Ding , Zhicheng Liu , Yong Li

In the context of epidemic spreading, many intricate dynamical patterns can emerge due to the cooperation of different types of pathogens or the interaction between the disease spread and other failure propagation mechanism. To unravel such…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-05-07 Bo Li , David Saad

Diffusion processes are instrumental to describe the movement of a continuous quantity in a generic network of interacting agents. Here, we present a probabilistic framework for diffusion in networks and propose to classify agent…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-08-28 Wai Hong Ronald Chan , Matthias Wildemeersch , Tony Q. S. Quek

Spatio-temporal extensions of familiar compartment models for disease transmission incorporating diffusive behavior, or interactions between individuals at separate locations, are explored. The models considered have the character of…

Biological Physics · Physics 2022-06-28 Joseph Rudnick , David Jasnow , Jorge Vinals

We propose a novel learning framework based on neural mean-field dynamics for inference and estimation problems of diffusion on networks. Our new framework is derived from the Mori-Zwanzig formalism to obtain an exact evolution of the node…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-20 Shushan He , Hongyuan Zha , Xiaojing Ye

Causal effect estimation in networked systems is central to data-driven decision making. In such settings, interventions on one unit can spill over to others, and in complex physical or social systems, the interaction pathways driving these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-27 Sadegh Shirani , Mohsen Bayati