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Probability integral transforms (PITs) and empirical $p$-values are widely used to assess the calibration of predictive distributions. While exact PIT values are uniformly distributed under correct model specification, practical…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-18 Jakub Lis

We propose an iterative estimating equations procedure for analysis of longitudinal data. We show that, under very mild conditions, the probability that the procedure converges at an exponential rate tends to one as the sample size…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-12-18 Jiming Jiang , Yihui Luan , You-Gan Wang

A stochastic algorithm is proposed, finding the set of generalized means associated to a probability measure on a compact Riemannian manifold M and a continuous cost function on the product of M by itself. Generalized means include p-means…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-28 Marc Arnaudon , Laurent Miclo

Given a compactly supported probability measure on a Riemannian manifold, we study the asymptotic speed at which it can be approximated (in Wasserstein distance of any exponent p) by finitely supported measure. This question has been…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-07-17 Benoit Kloeckner

We consider robust estimation of wrapped models to multivariate circular data that are points on the surface of a $p$-torus based on the weighted likelihood methodology.Robust model fitting is achieved by a set of weighted likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-10 Claudio Agostinelli , Luca Greco , Giovanni Saraceno

This work deals with systems of interacting reinforced stochastic processes, where each process $X^j=(X_{n,j})_n$ is located at a vertex $j$ of a finite weighted direct graph, and it can be interpreted as the sequence of "actions" adopted…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-26 Giacomo Aletti , Irene Crimaldi , Andrea Ghiglietti

It has been conjectured that the relative phase between strong and electromagnetic amplitudes is universally $-90^{\circ}$ in charmonium decays. $\psi^{\prime}$ decaying into pseudoscalar pair provides a possibility to test this conjecture.…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2011-05-18 Wang Bo-Qun , Mo Xiao-Hu , Wang Ping , Ban Yong

We investigate the complete $p$-th moment convergence for weighted sums of independent, identically distributed random variables under sublinear expectations space. Using moment inequality and truncation methods, we prove the equivalent…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-12 MIngzhou Xu , Kun Cheng

Let $X$ be the number of $k$-term arithmetic progressions contained in the $p$-biased random subset of the first $N$ positive integers. We give asymptotically sharp estimates on the logarithmic upper-tail probability $\log \Pr(X \ge E[X] +…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-16 Matan Harel , Frank Mousset , Wojciech Samotij

A tail empirical process for heavy-tailed and right-censored data is introduced and its Gaussian approximation is established. In this context, a (weighted) new Hill-type estimator for positive extreme value index is proposed and its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-06 Brahim Brahimi , Djamel Meraghni , Abdelhakim Necir , Louiza Soltane

We propose and test a method to interpolate sparsely sampled signals by a stochastic process with a broad range of spatial and/or temporal scales. To this end, we extend the notion of a fractional Brownian bridge, defined as fractional…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-01-05 J. Friedrich , S. Gallon , A. Pumir , R. Grauer

A large class of goodness-of-fit test statistics based on sup-functionals of weighted empirical processes is proposed and studied. The weight functions employed are Erd\H{o}s-Feller-Kolmogorov-Petrovski upper-class functions of a Brownian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-04 Natalia Stepanova , Tatjana Pavlenko

In this article we present very intuitive, easy to follow, yet mathematically rigorous, approach to the so called data fitting process. Rather than minimizing the distance between measured and simulated data points, we prefer to find such…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-08-07 Marek W. Gutowski

The probabilistic satisfiability of a logical expression is a fundamental concept known as the partition function in statistical physics and field theory, an evaluation of a related graph's Tutte polynomial in mathematics, and the…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2022-06-09 Stephen Eubank , Madhurima Nath , Yihui Ren , Abhijin Adiga

The purpose of this paper is to prove a weak convergence result for empirical processes indexed in general classes of functions and with an underlying $\alpha$-mixing sequence of random variables. In particular the uniformly boundedness…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-09 Maria Mohr

We establish a strong Gaussian approximation for high-dimensional non-degenerate U-statistics with diverging dimension. Under mild assumptions, we construct, on a sufficiently rich probability space, a Gaussian process that uniformly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-12 Weijia Li , Leheng Cai , Qirui Hu

The estimation of a probability p from repeated Bernoulli trials is considered in this paper. A sequential approach is followed, using a simple stopping rule. A closed-form expression and an upper bound are obtained for the mean absolute…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-19 Luis Mendo

The declining response rates in probability surveys along with the widespread availability of unstructured data has led to growing research into non-probability samples. Existing robust approaches are not well-developed for non-Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-29 Ali Rafei , Michael R. Elliott , Carol A. C. Flannagan

The Wasserstein distance between two probability measures on a metric space is a measure of closeness with applications in statistics, probability, and machine learning. In this work, we consider the fundamental question of how quickly the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-04 Jonathan Weed , Francis Bach

Given a random sample of size $n$ from a $p$ dimensional random vector, where both $n$ and $p$ are large, we are interested in testing whether the $p$ components of the random vector are mutually independent. This is the so-called complete…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-24 Yongcheng Qi , Yingchao Zhou
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