Related papers: Strong approximations for the $p$-fold integrated …
We study the random acceleration model, which is perhaps one of the simplest, yet nontrivial, non-Markov stochastic processes, and is key to many applications. For this non-Markov process, we present exact analytical results for the…
We investigate generically applicable and intuitively appealing prediction intervals based on $k$-fold cross validation. We focus on the conditional coverage probability of the proposed intervals, given the observations in the training…
The paper deals with the asymptotic behavior of the bridge of a Gaussian process conditioned to stay in $n$ fixed points at $n$ fixed past instants. In particular, functional large deviation results are stated for small time. Several…
We prove that if a rectangular matrix with uniformly small entries and approximately orthogonal rows is applied to the independent standardized random variables with uniformly bounded third moments, then the empirical CDF of the resulting…
Expectations of path integrals of killed stochastic processes play a central role in several applications across physics, chemistry, and finance. Simulation-based evaluation of these functionals is often biased and numerically expensive due…
Strong embeddings, that is, couplings between a partial sum process of a sequence of random variables and a Brownian motion, have found numerous applications in probability and statistics. We extend Chatterjee's novel use of Stein's method…
We present an iterative sampling method which delivers upper and lower bounding processes for the Brownian path. We develop such processes with particular emphasis on being able to unbiasedly simulate them on a personal computer. The…
A stochastic algorithm is proposed, finding some elements from the set of intrinsic $p$-mean(s) associated to a probability measure $\nu$ on a compact Riemannian manifold and to $p\in[1,\infty)$. It is fed sequentially with independent…
Strong invariance principles describe the error term of a Brownian approximation of the partial sums of a stochastic process. While these strong approximation results have many applications, the results for continuous-time settings have…
We consider empirical measures of $\R^{d}$-valued stochastic process in finite discrete-time. We show that the adapted empirical measure introduced in the recent work \cite{backhoff2022estimating} by Backhoff et al. in compact spaces can be…
The problem of finding the expected value of a statistic of a locally stable point process in a bounded region is addressed. We propose an adaptive importance sampling for solving the problem. In our proposal, we restrict the importance…
We propose a class of tests for linear regression on concomitants (induced order statistics). These tests are based on sequential sums of regression residuals. We self-center and self-normalize these sums. The resulting process is called an…
Computing the probability of evidence even with known error bounds is NP-hard. In this paper we address this hard problem by settling on an easier problem. We propose an approximation which provides high confidence lower bounds on…
We study the behavior of bivariate empirical copula process $\mathbb{G}_n(\cdot,\cdot)$ on pavements $[0,k_n/n]^2$ of $[0,1]^2,$ where $k_n$ is a sequence of positive constants fulfilling some conditions. We provide a upper bound for the…
A reinforcement algorithm introduced by H.A. Simon \cite{Simon} produces a sequence of uniform random variables with memory as follows. At each step, with a fixed probability $p\in(0,1)$, $\hat U_{n+1}$ is sampled uniformly from $\hat U_1,…
This article derives quantitative limit theorems for multivariate Poisson and Poisson process approximations. Employing the solution of Stein's equation for Poisson random variables, we obtain an explicit bound for the multivariate Poisson…
We study random points on the real line generated by the eigenvalues in unitary invariant random matrix ensembles or by more general repulsive particle systems. As the number of points tends to infinity, we prove convergence of the…
Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) methods are applicable to statistical models specified by generative processes with analytically intractable likelihoods. These methods try to approximate the posterior density of a model parameter by…
Based on Stein's method, we derive upper bounds for Poisson process approximation in the $L_1$-Wasserstein metric $d_2^{(p)}$, which is based on a slightly adapted $L_p$-Wasserstein metric between point measures. For the case $p=1$, this…
Bayesian predictive probabilities are commonly used for interim monitoring of clinical trials through efficacy and futility stopping rules. Despite their usefulness, calculation of predictive probabilities, particularly in pre-experiment…