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We study the approximation of a (finite) continuous-time Markov chain by a Markov chain on a reduced state space, and we provide formal error bounds for the approximated transient distributions in the Wasserstein distance. These bounds…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-19 Fabian Michel

We propose a methodology for intercomparing climate models and evaluating their performance against benchmarks based on the use of the Wasserstein distance (WD). This distance provides a rigorous way to measure quantitatively the difference…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-11-16 Gabriele Vissio , Valerio Lembo , Valerio Lucarini , Michael Ghil

Motivated by statistical inference problems in high-dimensional time series data analysis, we first derive non-asymptotic error bounds for Gaussian approximations of sums of high-dimensional dependent random vectors on hyper-rectangles,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-05 Jinyuan Chang , Xiaohui Chen , Mingcong Wu

This paper presents a new approach to the classical problem of quantifying posterior contraction rates (PCRs) in Bayesian statistics. Our approach relies on Wasserstein distance, and it leads to two main contributions which improve on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Emanuele Dolera , Stefano Favaro , Edoardo Mainini

We propose an efficient federated dual decomposition algorithm for calculating the Wasserstein barycenter of several distributions, including choosing the support of the solution. The algorithm does not access local data and uses only…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Zhengqi Lin , Andrzej Ruszczyński

We propose to align distributional data from the perspective of Wasserstein means. We raise the problem of regularizing Wasserstein means and propose several terms tailored to tackle different problems. Our formulation is based on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-24 Liang Mi , Wen Zhang , Yalin Wang

Wasserstein autoregression provides a robust framework for modeling serial dependence among probability distributions, with wide-ranging applications in economics, finance, and climate science. In this paper, we develop portmanteau-type…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-01 Chenxiao Dai , Feiyu Jiang , Dong Li , Xiaofeng Shao

We provide statistical theory for conditional and unconditional Wasserstein generative adversarial networks (WGANs) in the framework of dependent observations. We prove upper bounds for the excess Bayes risk of the WGAN estimators with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-09 Moritz Haas , Stefan Richter

We study the problem of minimizing the Wasserstein distance between a probability distribution and an algebraic variety. We consider the setting of finite state spaces and describe the solution depending on the choice of the ground metric…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-15 T. Ö. Çelik , A. Jamneshan , G. Montúfar , B. Sturmfels , L. Venturello

Consider the empirical measure, $\hat{\mathbb{P}}_N$, associated to $N$ i.i.d. samples of a given probability distribution $\mathbb{P}$ on the unit interval. For fixed $\mathbb{P}$ the Wasserstein distance between $\hat{\mathbb{P}}_N$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-04 Samuel N. Cohen , Martin N. A. Tegnér , Johannes Wiesel

In this paper, we address a fundamental limitation of the classical Wasserstein barycenter -- its sensitivity to outliers and its reliance on finite first/second moment assumptions. To overcome these issues, we propose the robust…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Zixiong Cheng , Hang Liu

Computing Wasserstein barycenters of discrete measures has recently attracted considerable attention due to its wide variety of applications in data science. In general, this problem is NP-hard, calling for practical approximative…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-01-25 Johannes von Lindheim

We prove a general normal approximation theorem for local graph statistics in the configuration model, together with an explicit bound on the error in the approximation with respect to the Wasserstein metric. Such statistics take the form…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-19 A. D. Barbour , Adrian Röllin

This short paper presents a general approach for computing robust Wasserstein barycenters of persistence diagrams. The classical method consists in computing assignment arithmetic means after finding the optimal transport plans between the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-22 Keanu Sisouk , Eloi Tanguy , Julie Delon , Julien Tierny

In this paper we provide conditions for a Wasserstein barycenter to be absolutely continuous with respect to its Hausdorff measure away from the vertices of the graph.

Metric Geometry · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Jérôme Bertrand , Jianyu Ma

We extend the celebrated Stone's theorem to the framework of distributional regression. More precisely, we prove that weighted empirical distribution with local probability weights satisfying the conditions of Stone's theorem provide…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-03 Clément Dombry , Thibault Modeste , Romain Pic

In Change point detection task Likelihood Ratio Test (LRT) is sequentially applied in a sliding window procedure. Its high values indicate changes of parametric distribution in the data sequence. Correspondingly LRT values require…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-23 Nazar Buzun , Valeriy Avanesov

We define a modified Wasserstein distance for distribution clustering which inherits many of the properties of the Wasserstein distance but which can be estimated easily and computed quickly. The modified distance is the sum of two terms.…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-31 Isabella Verdinelli , Larry Wasserman

Optimal Transport (OT) metrics allow for defining discrepancies between two probability measures. Wasserstein distance is for longer the celebrated OT-distance frequently-used in the literature, which seeks probability distributions to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-14 Mokhtar Z. Alaya , Gilles Gasso , Maxime Berar , Alain Rakotomamonjy

Split conformal prediction provides finite-sample marginal coverage under exchangeability, but this guarantee averages over the random calibration sample. We study instead the law of the calibration-conditional coverage induced by a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-20 Thiago R. Ramos , Helton Graziadei , Luben M. C. Cabezas
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