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This paper studies natural disasters and the psychological costs of climate change. It presents what we believe to be the first evidence that higher temperature variability and not a higher level of temperature is what predicts natural…

General Economics · Economics 2024-09-24 Aatishya Mohanty , Nattavudh Powdthavee , Cheng Keat Tang , Andrew J. Oswald

Earth's climate can be understood as a dynamical system that changes due to external forcing and internal couplings. Essential climate variables, such as surface air temperature, describe this dynamics. Our current interglacial, the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-01-24 Beatrice Ellerhoff , Kira Rehfeld

What is certain is that surface temperatures around the globe vary considerably, regardless of the time scales or underlying causes. Since 1850, we have observed an average increase in global surface temperature anomalies of 1.2$^{\circ}$…

The last decades have seen an unprecedented increase in the availability of data sets that are inherently global and temporally evolving, from remotely sensed networks to climate model ensembles. This paper provides a view of statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-29 Emilio Porcu , Alfredo Alegría , Reinhard Furrer

We directly determine the sensitivity and time delay of Earth's surface temperature response to annual solar irradiance variations from 60 years of data. A two-layer energy balance model is developed to interpret the results. Explaining…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 David H. Douglass , Eric G. Blackman , Robert S. Knox

The Waldmeier Effect is the observation that the rise time of a sunspot cycle varies inversely with the cycle amplitude: strong cycles rise to their maximum faster than weak cycles. The shape of the cycle and thus the rise time does not…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-11-04 Leif Svalgaard , David H. Hathaway

During the solar magnetic activity cycle the emergence latitudes of sunspots change, leading to the well-known butterfly diagram. This phenomenon is poorly understood for other stars as starspot latitudes are generally unknown. The related…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-02-06 M. B. Nielsen , L. Gizon , R. H. Cameron , M. Miesch

Continuum emission, also called white-light emission (WLE), and permanent changes of the magnetic field ($\Delta{B}_{{\rm{LOS}}}$) are often observed during solar flares. But their relation and their precise mechanisms are still unknown. We…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-12-02 J. S. Castellanos Durán , L. Kleint

The goal of this paper is to explore the potential multistability of the climate of a planet around the habitable zone. A thorough investigation of the thermodynamics of the climate system is performed for very diverse conditions of energy…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-06-05 Robert Boschi , Valerio Lucarini , Salvatore Pascale

The energy balance for an atmospheric layer near the soil is evaluated. By integrating it over the whole day period a linear relationship between the global daily solar radiation incident on a horizontal surface and the product of the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-01-31 Antonio Dumas , Andrea Andrisani , Maurizio Bonnici , Mauro Madonia , Michele Trancossi

Increases in atmospheric CO2 and CH4 result from a combination of forcing from anthropogenic emissions and Earth System feedbacks that reduce or amplify the effects of those emissions on atmospheric concentrations. Despite decades of…

The Sun provides the energy required to sustain life on Earth and drive our planet's atmospheric circulation. However, establishing a solid physical connection between solar and tropospheric variability has posed a considerable challenge…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-02-06 Robert J Leamon , Scott W. McIntosh , Daniel R. Marsh

The structure of the surface layers of the Sun is changed by magnetic activity which, in turn, changes the eigenfrequencies of the acoustic modes. These frequency shifts have been observed both in low- and high-degree data, and are found to…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 M. Cunha , M. Bruggen , D. O. Gough

The Sun's outer atmosphere is heated to temperatures of millions of degrees, and solar plasma flows out into interplanetary space at supersonic speeds. This paper reviews our current understanding of these interrelated problems: coronal…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-10-11 Steven R. Cranmer , Sarah E. Gibson , Pete Riley

The Sun exhibits episodic surges of magnetic activity across a range of temporal and spatial scales, the most prominent of which is the 11-ish year modulation of sunspot production. Beside the ~170 (min to max) decadal variation in sunspot…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-08-21 Scott W. McIntosh , Robert J. Leamon

The Sunspot Number, created by R.Wolf in 1849, provides a direct long-term record of solar activity from 1700 to the present. In spite of its central role in multiple studies of the solar dynamo and of the past Sun-Earth relations, it was…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-01-06 Frédéric , Clette , Laure Lefèvre

Callebaut et al. (2012)'s claim that Scafetta (2010)'s results about a correlation between 20-year and 60-year temperature cycles and the orbital motion of Jupiter and Saturn were not confirmed by Humlum et al. (2011) is erroneous and…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2013-04-09 Nicola Scafetta , O. Humlum , J. -E. Solheim , K. Stordahl

Climate change is a reality of today. Paleoclimatic proxies and climate predictions based on coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation models provide us with temperature data. Using Detrended Fluctuation Analysis, we are investigating…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2008-03-05 Bora Akgun , Zeynep Isvan , Levent Tuter , Mehmet Levent Kurnaz

We show that the continuous wavelet transform can provide a unique decomposition of a timeseries in to 'signal-like' and 'noise-like' components: From the overall wavelet spectrum two mutually independent skeleton spectra can be extracted,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 J. Polygiannakis , P. Preka-Papadema , X. Moussas

We use numerical climate simulations, paleoclimate data, and modern observations to study the effect of growing ice melt from Antarctica and Greenland. Meltwater tends to stabilize the ocean column, inducing amplifying feedbacks that…