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Decision-making pipelines are generally characterized by tradeoffs among various risk functions. It is often desirable to manage such tradeoffs in a data-adaptive manner. As we demonstrate, if this is done naively, state-of-the art…

We consider the problem of designing policies for Markov decision processes (MDPs) with dynamic coherent risk objectives and constraints. We begin by formulating the problem in a Lagrangian framework. Under the assumption that the risk…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Mohamadreza Ahmadi , Ugo Rosolia , Michel D. Ingham , Richard M. Murray , Aaron D. Ames

This paper studies continuous-time Markov decision processes under the risk-sensitive average cost criterion. The state space is a finite set, the action space is a Borel space, the cost and transition rates are bounded, and the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-12-22 Qingda Wei , Xian Chen

We consider statistical Markov Decision Processes where the decision maker is risk averse against model ambiguity. The latter is given by an unknown parameter which influences the transition law and the cost functions. Risk aversion is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-21 Nicole Bäuerle , Ulrich Rieder

In this paper we consider long-run risk sensitive average cost impulse control applied to a continuous-time Feller-Markov process. Using the probabilistic approach, we show how to get a solution to a suitable continuous-time Bellman…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-01 Damian Jelito , Marcin Pitera , Łukasz Stettner

This paper gives an overview of the theory of dynamic convex risk measures for random variables in discrete time setting. We summarize robust representation results of conditional convex risk measures, and we characterize various time…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-02-22 Beatrice Acciaio , Irina Penner

We consider risk-averse contextual optimization problems where the decision maker (DM) faces two types of uncertainties: problem data uncertainty (PDU) and contextual uncertainty (CU) associated with PDU, the DM makes an optimal decision by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Yuan Tao , Erick Delage , Huifu Xu

In this paper we present an algorithm to compute risk averse policies in Markov Decision Processes (MDP) when the total cost criterion is used together with the average value at risk (AVaR) metric. Risk averse policies are needed when large…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-02-17 Stefano Carpin , Yin-Lam Chow , Marco Pavone

This paper deals with multidimensional dynamic risk measures induced by conditional $g$-expectations. A notion of multidimensional $g$-expectation is proposed to provide a multidimensional version of nonlinear expectations. By a technical…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-03-09 Yuhong Xu

This paper is devoted to proposing a new asymmetric risk-sensitive criterion involving different risk attitudes toward varying risk sources. The criterion can only be defined through the initial value of the minimal solutions of quadratic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-23 Mingshang Hu , Shaolin Ji , Rundong Xu , Xiaole Xue

In this paper we present a framework for risk-averse model predictive control (MPC) of linear systems affected by multiplicative uncertainty. Our key innovation is to consider time-consistent, dynamic risk metrics as objective functions to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-11-24 Yin-Lam Chow , Marco Pavone

Recently, literature on dynamic coherent risk measures has broadened the choices for risk-sensitive performance evaluation. A running example includes Cumulative prospect theory and Conditional variance at risk. Most of them can be can be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-14 Weixin Wang

The financial crisis has dramatically demonstrated that the traditional approach to apply univariate monetary risk measures to single institutions does not capture sufficiently the perilous systemic risk that is generated by the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-04-27 Francesca Biagini , Jean-Pierre Fouque , Marco Frittelli , Thilo Meyer-Brandis

In this paper, we study properties of certain risk measures associated with acceptance sets. These sets describe regulatory preconditions that have to be fulfilled by financial institutions to pass a given acceptance test. If the financial…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-07 Marcel Marohn , Christiane Tammer

In many sequential decision-making problems we may want to manage risk by minimizing some measure of variability in rewards in addition to maximizing a standard criterion. Variance related risk measures are among the most common…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-19 Prashanth L. A. , Mohammad Ghavamzadeh

In this paper we present a theoretical framework for studying coherent acceptability indices in a dynamic setup. We study dynamic coherent acceptability indices and dynamic coherent risk measures, and we establish a duality between them. We…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-05-23 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Igor Cialenco , Zhao Zhang

For controlled discrete-time stochastic processes we introduce a new class of dynamic risk measures, which we call process-based. Their main features are that they measure risk of processes that are functions of the history of a base…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-30 Jingnan Fan , Andrzej Ruszczynski

In this work, we address risk-averse Bayes-adaptive reinforcement learning. We pose the problem of optimising the conditional value at risk (CVaR) of the total return in Bayes-adaptive Markov decision processes (MDPs). We show that a policy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Marc Rigter , Bruno Lacerda , Nick Hawes

We consider the problem of Adverse Selection and optimal derivative design within a Principal-Agent framework. The principal's income is exposed to non-hedgeable risk factors arising, for instance, from weather or climate phenomena. She…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-10-31 U. Horst , S. Moreno

This paper studies the problem of risk-averse receding horizon motion planning for agents with uncertain dynamics, in the presence of stochastic, dynamic obstacles. We propose a model predictive control (MPC) scheme that formulates the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-02 Anushri Dixit , Mohamadreza Ahmadi , Joel W. Burdick