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Survival analysis is a widely used statistical framework for modeling time-to-event data under censoring. Classical methods, such as the Cox proportional hazards (Cox PH) model, offer a semiparametric approach to estimating the effects of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-23 Yang Xu , Wenbin Lu , Rui Song

Detecting anomalies in a temporal sequence of graphs can be applied is areas such as the detection of accidents in transport networks and cyber attacks in computer networks. Existing methods for detecting abnormal graphs can suffer from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Sevvandi Kandanaarachchi , Conrad Sanderson , Rob J. Hyndman

Hazard models are the most commonly used tool to analyse time-to-event data. If more than one time scale is relevant for the event under study, models are required that can incorporate the dependence of a hazard along two (or more) time…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-14 Angela Carollo , Paul H. C. Eilers , Hein Putter , Jutta Gampe

This paper considers a variant of the online paging problem, where the online algorithm has access to multiple predictors, each producing a sequence of predictions for the page arrival times. The predictors may have occasional prediction…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-11-20 Yuval Emek , Shay Kutten , Yangguang Shi

We provide the first formal definition of reward hacking, a phenomenon where optimizing an imperfect proxy reward function leads to poor performance according to the true reward function. We say that a proxy is unhackable if increasing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-07 Joar Skalse , Nikolaus H. R. Howe , Dmitrii Krasheninnikov , David Krueger

In this paper we propose a recursive online algorithm for estimating the parameters of a time-varying ARCH process. The estimation is done by updating the estimator at time point $t-1$ with observations about the time point $t$ to yield an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Rainer Dahlhaus , Suhasini Subba Rao

Recently, we can observe a significant increase of the phishing attacks in the Internet. In a typical phishing attack, the attacker sets up a malicious website that looks similar to the legitimate website in order to obtain the end-users'…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-08-14 Zijiang Yang

We study online algorithms with predictions using distributional advice, a type of prediction that arises when leveraging expert knowledge or historical data. To demonstrate the usefulness and versatility of this framework, we focus on the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Clément L. Canonne , Kenny Chen , Julián Mestre

We propose an indirect inference strategy for estimating heterogeneous-agent business cycle models with micro data. At its heart is a first-order vector autoregression that is grounded in linear filtering theory as the cross-section grows…

General Economics · Economics 2024-02-20 Man Chon Iao , Yatheesan J. Selvakumar

With rise in security breaches over the past few years, there has been an increasing need to mine insights from social media platforms to raise alerts of possible attacks in an attempt to defend conflict during competition. We use…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-11-16 Soumajyoti Sarkar , Mohammad Almukaynizi , Jana Shakarian , Paulo Shakarian

In intrusion detection systems, classifiers still suffer from several drawbacks such as data dimensionality and dominance, different network feature types, and data impact on the classification. In this paper two significant enhancements…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2012-12-12 Maher Salem , Ulrich Buehler

Motivated by the need to analyze continuously updated data sets in the context of time-to-event modeling, we propose a novel nonparametric approach to estimate the conditional hazard function given a set of continuous and discrete…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-03 Daphné Aurouet , Valentin Patilea

The Proportional Hazards (PH) model is one of the most widely used models in survival analysis, typically assuming a log-linear relationship between covariates and the hazard function. However, in the context of spatial survival data, where…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-17 Lorenzo Tedesco , Francesco Finazzi

To understand how the interconnected and interdependent world of the twenty-first century operates and make model-based predictions, joint probability models for networks and interdependent outcomes are needed. We propose a comprehensive…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-03 Cornelius Fritz , Michael Schweinberger , Subhankar Bhadra , David R. Hunter

In many real-world learning scenarios, features are only acquirable at a cost constrained under a budget. In this paper, we propose a novel approach for cost-sensitive feature acquisition at the prediction-time. The suggested method…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-19 Mohammad Kachuee , Orpaz Goldstein , Kimmo Karkkainen , Sajad Darabi , Majid Sarrafzadeh

In many real-world machine learning problems, feature values are not readily available. To make predictions, some of the missing features have to be acquired, which can incur a cost in money, computational time, or human time, depending on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-20 Kimmo Kärkkäinen , Mohammad Kachuee , Orpaz Goldstein , Majid Sarrafzadeh

Prognostic models in survival analysis are aimed at understanding the relationship between patients' covariates and the distribution of survival time. Traditionally, semi-parametric models, such as the Cox model, have been assumed. These…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-06 Denise Rava , Jelena Bradic

In many real-world scenarios, it is nearly impossible to collect explicit social network data. In such cases, whole networks must be inferred from underlying observations. Here, we formulate the problem of inferring latent social networks…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2010-10-28 Seth A. Myers , Jure Leskovec

This paper investigates the vulnerability of the nearest neighbors search, which is a pivotal tool in data analysis and machine learning. The vulnerability is gauged as the relative amount of perturbation that an attacker needs to add onto…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-23 Teddy Furon

In real-world machine learning applications, there is a cost associated with sampling of different features. Budgeted learning can be used to select which feature-values to acquire from each instance in a dataset, such that the best model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-14 Eran Fainman , Bracha Shapira , Lior Rokach , Yisroel Mirsky