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This article studies the quasi-stationary behaviour of multidimensional birth and death processes, modeling the interaction between several species, absorbed when one of the coordinates hits 0. We study models where the absorption rate is…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-14 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

We study the probabilistic evolution of a birth and death continuous time measure-valued process with mutations and ecological interactions. The individuals are characterized by (phenotypic) traits that take values in a compact metric…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-04-23 Pierre Collet , Servet Martinez , Sylvie Méléard , Jaime San Martin

We consider a class of birth-and-death processes describing a population made of $d$ sub-populations of different types which interact with one another. The state space is $\mathbb{Z}_+^d$ (unbounded). We assume that the population goes…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-20 J. -R. Chazottes , P. Collet , S. Méléard

For general, almost surely absorbed Markov processes, we obtain necessary and sufficient conditions for exponential convergence to a unique quasi-stationary distribution in the total variation norm. These conditions also ensure the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-25 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

This survey concerns the study of quasi-stationary distributions with a specific focus on models derived from ecology and population dynamics. We are concerned with the long time behavior of different stochastic population size processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-05 Sylvie Méléard , Denis Villemonais

We study the long time behaviour of a Markov process evolving in $\mathbb{N}$ and conditioned not to hit 0. Assuming that the process comes back quickly from infinity, we prove that the process admits a unique quasi-stationary distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-04 Servet Martinez , Jaime San Martin , Denis Villemonais

In a first part, we prove a Lyapunov-type criterion for the $\xi\_1$-positive recurrence of absorbed birth and death processes and provide new results on the domain of attraction of the minimal quasi-stationary distribution. In a second…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-29 Denis Villemonais

Extinction of a long-lived isolated stochastic population can be described as an exponentially slow decay of quasi-stationary probability distribution of the population size. We address extinction of a population in a two-population system…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-14 Michael Khasin , Baruch Meerson , Pavel V. Sasorov

We establish sufficient conditions for exponential convergence to a unique quasi-stationary distribution in the total variation norm. These conditions also ensure the existence and exponential ergodicity of the Q-process, the process…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Aurélien Velleret

We study a general class of birth-and-death processes with state space $\mathbb{N}$ that describes the size of a population going to extinction with probability one. This class contains the logistic case. The scale of the population is…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-20 J. -R. Chazottes , P. Collet , S. Méléard

This article studies the quasi-stationary behaviour of absorbed one-dimensional diffusion processes with killing on $[0,\infty)$. We obtain criteria for the exponential convergence to a unique quasi-stationary distribution in total…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-12 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

We consider stochastic population processes that are almost surely absorbed at the origin within finite time. Our interest is in the quasistationary distribution, $\boldsymbol{u}$, and the expected time, $\tau$, from quasistationarity to…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-11 Damian Clancy

This paper studies the quasi-stationary distributions for a single death process (or downwardly skip-free process) with killing defined on the non-negative integers, corresponding to a non-conservative transition rate matrix. The set…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-13 Zhe-Kang Fang , Yong-Hua Mao

In the setting of stochastic dynamical systems that eventually go extinct, the quasi-stationary distributions are useful to understand the long-term behavior of a system before evanescence. For a broad class of applicable continuous-time…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-22 Mads Christian Hansen , Carsten Wiuf

In this paper, we study the quasi-stationary behavior of the one-dimensional diffusion process with a regular or exit boundary at 0 and an entrance boundary at $\infty$. By using the Doob's $h$-transform, we show that the conditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-15 Guoman He , Hanjun Zhang

We study the long-time behavior of stochastic models with an absorbing state, conditioned on survival. For a large class of processes, in which saturation prevents unlimited growth, statistical properties of the surviving sample attain…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Ronald Dickman , Ronaldo Vidigal

We study a class of multi-species birth-and-death processes going almost surely to extinction and admitting a unique quasi-stationary distribution (qsd for short). When rescaled by $K$ and in the limit $K\to+\infty$, the realizations of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-22 J. -R. Chazottes , P. Collet , S. Martínez , S. Méléard

Subcritical population processes are attracted to extinction and do not have non-trivial stationary distributions, which prompts the study of quasi-stationary distributions (QSDs) instead. In contrast to what generally happens for…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-12 Pablo Groisman , Leonardo T. Rolla , Célio Terra

We study the behavior of an infinite system of ordinary differential equations modeling the dynamics of a metapopulation, a set of (discrete) populations subject to local catastrophes and connected via migration under a mean field rule; the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 A. D. Barbour , A. Pugliese

We study stochastic extinction for a class of Markov processes motivated by models in ecology and epidemiology. Extinction is often characterized by a boundedness condition and a condition on boundary Lyapunov exponents (invasion rates).…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-23 Nhu Nguyen , Dang H. Nguyen
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