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Chaos arises in many complex dynamical systems, from weather to power grids, but is difficult to accurately model using data-driven emulators, including neural operator architectures. For chaotic systems, the inherent sensitivity to initial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-24 Gabriel Melo , Leonardo Santiago , Peter Y. Lu

This paper introduces an efficient sparse recovery approach for Polynomial Chaos (PC) expansions, which promotes the sparsity by breaking the dimensionality of the problem. The proposed algorithm incrementally explores sub-dimensional…

Computation · Statistics 2017-04-05 Negin Alemazkoor , Hadi Meidani

Using a hierarchical construction, we develop methods for a wide and flexible class of models by taking a fully parametric approach to generalized linear mixed models with complex covariance dependence. The Laplace approximation is used to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-31 Jay M. Ver Hoef , Eryn Blagg , Michael Dumelle , Philip M. Dixon , Dale L. Zimmerman , Paul Conn

We propose a generalization of the random matrix theory following the basic prescription of the recently suggested concept of superstatistics. Spectral characteristics of systems with mixed regular-chaotic dynamics are expressed as weighted…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 A. Y. Abul-Magd

We consider a family of continuous processes $\{X^\varepsilon\}_{\varepsilon>0}$ which are measurable with respect to a white noise measure, take values in the space of continuous functions $C([0,1]^d:\mathbb{R})$, and have the Wiener chaos…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-01 Alexandre Pannier

This paper formulates a new approach to the study of chaos in discrete dynamical systems based on the notions of inverse ill-posed problems, set-valued mappings, generalized and multivalued inverses, graphical convergence of a net of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 A. Sengupta

We use so-called geometrical approach in description of transition from regular motion to chaotic in Hamiltonian systems with potential energy surface that has several local minima. Distinctive feature of such systems is coexistence of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 V. P. Berezovoj , Yu. L. Bolotin , G. I. Ivashkevych

We derive quantitative sufficient conditions for rotational chaos and diffusion in annular homeomorphisms, building on the topological criteria established in [31]. These conditions depend only on basic properties of the maps, making their…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-06-10 M. J. Capiński , M. Gröger , A. Passeggi , F. A. Tal

This work describes a novel data-driven latent space inference framework built on paired autoencoders to handle observational inconsistencies when solving inverse problems. Our approach uses two autoencoders, one for the parameter space and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-19 Emma Hart , Bas Peters , Julianne Chung , Matthias Chung

This paper extends the subjects dicussed in the Data Analysis and Dynamical Systems courses by looking at the subject of modelling data. This task is nontrivial as the underlying process could be non-linear. In the paper some common…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-08-02 Vincent Mellor

The variational auto-encoder (VAE) is a popular method for learning a generative model and embeddings of the data. Many real datasets are hierarchically structured. However, traditional VAEs map data in a Euclidean latent space which cannot…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-27 Emile Mathieu , Charline Le Lan , Chris J. Maddison , Ryota Tomioka , Yee Whye Teh

Heterogeneity is an unwanted variation when analyzing aggregated datasets from multiple sources. Though different methods have been proposed for heterogeneity adjustment, no systematic theory exists to justify these methods. In this work,…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-18 Jianqing Fan , Han Liu , Weichen Wang , Ziwei Zhu

We consider linear dynamical systems of ordinary differential equations or differential algebraic equations. Physical parameters are substituted by random variables for an uncertainty quantification. We expand the state variables as well as…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-05-24 Roland Pulch

Spatial models are used in a variety research areas, such as environmental sciences, epidemiology, or physics. A common phenomenon in many spatial regression models is spatial confounding. This phenomenon takes place when spatially indexed…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-08 Isa Marques , Thomas Kneib , Nadja Klein

The variational autoencoder (VAE) is a popular deep latent variable model used to analyse high-dimensional datasets by learning a low-dimensional latent representation of the data. It simultaneously learns a generative model and an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Mine Öğretir , Siddharth Ramchandran , Dimitrios Papatheodorou , Harri Lähdesmäki

Polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) is an increasingly popular technique for uncertainty propagation and quantification in systems and control. Based on the theory of Hilbert spaces and orthogonal polynomials, PCE allows for a unifying…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-09 Tillmann Mühlpfordt , Frederik Zahn , Veit Hagenmeyer , Timm Faulwasser

Scattering is an important phenomenon which is observed in systems ranging from the micro- to macroscale. In the context of nuclear reaction theory the Heidelberg approach was proposed and later demonstrated to be applicable to many chaotic…

Bayesian inverse problems use observed data to update a prior probability distribution for an unknown state or parameter of a scientific system to a posterior distribution conditioned on the data. In many applications, the unknown parameter…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Josie König , Elizabeth Qian , Melina A. Freitag

We present several new phenomena about almost sure convergence on homogeneous chaoses that include Gaussian Wiener chaos and homogeneous sums in independent random variables. Concretely, we establish the fact that almost sure convergence on…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-25 Guillaume Poly , Guangqu Zheng

The study of chaos has long relied on computationally intensive methods to quantify unpredictability and design control strategies. Recent advances in machine learning, from convolutional neural networks to transformer architectures,…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-30 David Valle , Alexandre Wagemakers , Miguel A. F. Sanjuán