English
Related papers

Related papers: Robust change-point detection in panel data

200 papers

Under a regularity assumption we prove that reachability in fixed time for nonlinear control systems is robust under control sampling.

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-06-22 Loïc Bourdin , Emmanuel Trélat

This paper concerns about the limiting distributions of change point estimators, in a high-dimensional linear regression time series context, where a regression object $(y_t, X_t) \in \mathbb{R} \times \mathbb{R}^p$ is observed at every…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-03 Haotian Xu , Daren Wang , Zifeng Zhao , Yi Yu

Information in the time distribution of points in a state space reconstructed from observed data yields a test for ``nonstationarity''. Framed in terms of a statistical hypothesis test, this numerical algorithm can discern whether some…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 Matthew B. Kennel

We address the computational challenge of finding the robust sequential change-point detection procedures when the pre- and post-change distributions are not completely specified. Earlier works [veeravalli 1994] and [Unnikrishnan 2011]…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-14 Yang Cao , Yao Xie

In a missing-data setting, we have a sample in which a vector of explanatory variables x_i is observed for every subject i, while scalar outcomes y_i are missing by happenstance on some individuals. In this work we propose robust estimates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-09-20 Mariela Sued , Victor J. Yohai

In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the properties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly start…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-03 Michael Vogt , Holger Dette

We propose novel methods for change-point testing for nonparametric estimators of expected shortfall and related risk measures in weakly dependent time series. We can detect general multiple structural changes in the tails of marginal…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-07 Lin Fan , Junting Duan , Peter W. Glynn , Markus Pelger

We consider change point detection for the volatility in second order linear parabolic stochastic partial differential equations based on high frequency spatio-temporal data. We give a test statistic to detect changes in the volatility…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-02 Yozo Tonaki , Yusuke Kaino , Masayuki Uchida

There exist several methods developed for the canonical change point problem of detecting multiple mean shifts, which search for changes over sections of the data at multiple scales. In such methods, estimation of the noise level is often…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-07 Euan T. McGonigle , Haeran Cho

Changepoint localization aims to provide confidence sets for a changepoint (if one exists). Existing methods either relying on strong parametric assumptions or providing only asymptotic guarantees or focusing on a particular kind of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-18 Swapnaneel Bhattacharyya , Aaditya Ramdas

Change point detection is a typical task that aim to find changes in time series and can be tackled with two-sample test. Copula Entropy is a mathematical concept for measuring statistical independence and a two-sample test based on it was…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-14 Jian Ma

Changepoint analysis deals with unsupervised detection and/or estimation of time-points in time-series data, when the distribution generating the data changes. In this article, we consider \emph{offline} changepoint detection in the context…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-12-03 Avinandan Bose , Soumendu Sundar Mukherjee

Change point estimation in its offline version is traditionally performed by optimizing over the data set of interest, by considering each data point as the true location parameter and computing a data fit criterion. Subsequently, the data…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-10 Zhiyuan Lu , Moulinath Banerjee , George Michailidis

We propose a novel and unified framework for change-point estimation in multivariate time series. The proposed method is fully nonparametric, enjoys effortless tuning and is robust to temporal dependence. One salient and distinct feature of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-12 Zifeng Zhao , Feiyu Jiang , Xiaofeng Shao

A common approach to detect multiple changepoints is to minimise a measure of data fit plus a penalty that is linear in the number of changepoints. This paper shows that the general finite sample behaviour of such a method can be related to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-15 Chao Zheng , Idris A. Eckley , Paul Fearnhead

High-dimensional changepoint inference that adapts to various change patterns has received much attention recently. We propose a simple, fast yet effective approach for adaptive changepoint testing. The key observation is that two…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-03 Guanghui Wang , Long Feng

We consider a multi-period stochastic control problem where the multivariate driving stochastic factor of the system has known marginal distributions but uncertain dependence structure. To solve the problem, we propose to implement the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-13 Erhan Bayraktar , Tao Chen

In this paper we propose a new approach for sequential monitoring of a parameter of a $d$-dimensional time series, which can be estimated by approximately linear functionals of the empirical distribution function. We consider a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-26 Holger Dette , Josua Gösmann

We introduce a powerful scan statistic and the corresponding test for detecting the presence and pinpointing the location of a change point within the distribution of a data sequence with the data elements residing in a separable metric…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Paromita Dubey , Minxing Zheng

While a substantial literature on structural break change point analysis exists for univariate time series, research on large panel data models has not been as extensive. In this paper, a novel method for estimating panel models with…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-09-24 Oualid Bada , Alois Kneip , Dominik Liebl , Tim Mensinger , James Gualtieri , Robin C. Sickles