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We give an overview over the usefulness of the concept of equivariance and invariance in the design of experiments for generalized linear models. In contrast to linear models here pairs of transformations have to be considered which act…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-20 Osama Idais , Rainer Schwabe

Model selection criteria are one of the most important tools in statistics. Proofs showing a model selection criterion is asymptotically optimal are tailored to the type of model (linear regression, quantile regression, penalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-17 Amaze Lusompa

A general class of models is proposed that is able to estimate the whole predictive distribution of a dependent variable $Y$ given a vector of explanatory variables $\xb$. The models exploit that the strength of explanatory variables to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-25 Gerhard Tutz

As the quantum computing community gravitates towards understanding the practical benefits of quantum computers, having a clear definition and evaluation scheme for assessing practical quantum advantage in the context of specific…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-12 Kaitlin Gili , Marta Mauri , Alejandro Perdomo-Ortiz

We propose two methods to evaluate the conditional Akaike information (cAI) for nonlinear mixed-effects models with no restriction on cluster size. Method 1 is designed for continuous data and includes formulae for the derivatives of fixed…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-22 Nan Zheng , Noel Cadigan , James T. Thorson

A Bayesian network is a widely used probabilistic graphical model with applications in knowledge discovery and prediction. Learning a Bayesian network (BN) from data can be cast as an optimization problem using the well-known…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-09-01 Zhenyu A. Liao , Charupriya Sharma , James Cussens , Peter van Beek

We consider the problem of predicting a response $Y$ from a set of covariates $X$ when test and training distributions differ. Since such differences may have causal explanations, we consider test distributions that emerge from…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-19 Rune Christiansen , Niklas Pfister , Martin Emil Jakobsen , Nicola Gnecco , Jonas Peters

We present a new model-based approach for testing systems that use sequences of actions and assertions as test vectors. Our solution includes a method for quantifying testing quality, a tool for generating high-quality test suites based on…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Achiya Elyasaf , Eitan Farchi , Oded Margalit , Gera Weiss , Yeshayahu Weiss

Bayesian model comparison requires the specification of a prior distribution on the parameter space of each candidate model. In this connection two concerns arise: on the one hand the elicitation task rapidly becomes prohibitive as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-02-16 Guido Consonni , Piero Veronese

This paper uses a minimum divergence framework to introduce a new way of calculating model weights that can be used to average probabilistic predictions from statistical and machine learning models. The method is general and can be applied…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-28 Olav Benjamin Vassend

Many statistical models are algebraic in that they are defined by polynomial constraints or by parameterizations that are polynomial or rational maps. This opens the door for tools from computational algebraic geometry. These tools can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Mathias Drton

A rich set of frequentist model averaging methods has been developed, but their applications have largely been limited to point prediction, as measuring prediction uncertainty in general settings remains an open problem. In this paper we…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-21 Zhongjun Qu , Wendun Wang , Xiaomeng Zhang

Many applications of generalised linear models (GLMs) can be improved by applying constraints that impose assumptions on the associations or improve consistency of the estimators. Yet, there are still barriers to the implementation and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-19 Pierre Masselot , Devon Nenon , Jacopo Vanoli , Zaid Chalabi , Antonio Gasparrini

In this paper I discuss truthful equilibria in common agency models. Specifically, I provide general conditions under which truthful equilibria are plausible, easy to calculate and efficient. These conditions generalize similar results in…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-08-03 Ilias Boultzis

A prediction model is most useful if it generalizes beyond the development data with external validations, but to what extent should it generalize remains unclear. In practice, prediction models are externally validated using data from very…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-11 Yilin Ning , Victor Volovici , Marcus Eng Hock Ong , Benjamin Alan Goldstein , Nan Liu

Fisheries scientists use regression models to estimate population quantities, such as biomass or abundance, for use in climate, habitat, stock, and ecosystem assessments. However, these models are sensitive to the chosen probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-13 Jillian C. Dunic , Jason Conner , Sean C. Anderson , James T. Thorson

A generalized exponential matrix based on the construction of kernel operators for generalized summability is defined and analyzing its main properties, generalizing the classical exponential matrix and fractional exponential matrix. This…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2023-05-08 Alberto Lastra , Cruz Prisuelos-Arribas

Two popular approaches for relating correlated measurements of a non-Gaussian response variable to a set of predictors are to fit a marginal model using generalized estimating equations and to fit a generalized linear mixed model by…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-23 Jeffrey J. Gory , Peter F. Craigmile , Steven N. MacEachern

Despite their simplicity, linear models perform well at time series forecasting, even when pitted against deeper and more expensive models. A number of variations to the linear model have been proposed, often including some form of feature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 William Toner , Luke Darlow

Regularized m-estimators are widely used due to their ability of recovering a low-dimensional model in high-dimensional scenarios. Some recent efforts on this subject focused on creating a unified framework for establishing oracle bounds,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-06 Eduardo F. Mendes , Gabriel J. P. Pinto