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Frequentist conditions for asymptotic suitability of Bayesian procedures focus on lower bounds for prior mass in Kullback-Leibler neighbourhoods of the data distribution. The goal of this paper is to investigate the flexibility in criteria…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-19 B. J. K. Kleijn , Y. Y. Zhao

One straightforward metric to evaluate a survival prediction model is based on the Mean Absolute Error (MAE) -- the average of the absolute difference between the time predicted by the model and the true event time, over all subjects.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-05 Shi-ang Qi , Neeraj Kumar , Mahtab Farrokh , Weijie Sun , Li-Hao Kuan , Rajesh Ranganath , Ricardo Henao , Russell Greiner

Gaussian Process Regression is a popular nonparametric regression method based on Bayesian principles that provides uncertainty estimates for its predictions. However, these estimates are of a Bayesian nature, whereas for some important…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-09 Christian Fiedler , Carsten W. Scherer , Sebastian Trimpe

We introduce a Gaussian process-based model for handling of non-stationarity. The warping is achieved non-parametrically, through imposing a prior on the relative change of distance between subsequent observation inputs. The model allows…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-06 David Tolpin

Gaussian process (GP) models have become a well-established frameworkfor the adaptive design of costly experiments, and notably of computerexperiments. GP-based sequential designs have been found practicallyefficient for various objectives,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-31 Julien Bect , François Bachoc , David Ginsbourger

Fiducial Inference, introduced by Fisher in the 1930s, has a long history, which at times aroused passionate disagreements. However, its application has been largely confined to relatively simple parametric problems. In this paper, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-28 Yifan Cui , Jan Hannig

A Bayesian non-parametric framework for studying time-to-event data is proposed, where the prior distribution is allowed to depend on an additional random source, and may update with the sample size. Such scenarios are natural, for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-06 Martin Bladt , Jorge González Cázares

Modelling real world systems involving humans such as biological processes for disease treatment or human behavior for robotic rehabilitation is a challenging problem because labeled training data is sparse and expensive, while high…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-16 Wenxin Xiao , Armin Lederer , Sandra Hirche

We introduce a general, flexible, parametric survival modelling framework which encompasses key shapes of hazard function (constant, increasing, decreasing, up-then-down, down-then-up), various common survival distributions (log-logistic,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-11 Kevin Burke , M. C. Jones , Angela Noufaily

We consider the nonparametric regression problem with multiple predictors and an additive error, where the regression function is assumed to be coordinatewise nondecreasing. We propose a Bayesian approach to make an inference on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-24 Kang Wang , Subhashis Ghosal

Bayesian learning using Gaussian processes provides a foundational framework for making decisions in a manner that balances what is known with what could be learned by gathering data. In this dissertation, we develop techniques for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-29 Alexander Terenin

Most of the consistency analyses of Bayesian procedures for variable selection in regression refer to pairwise consistency, that is, consistency of Bayes factors. However, variable selection in regression is carried out in a given class of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-07-30 Elías Moreno , Javier Girón , George Casella

Friction modeling has always been a challenging problem due to the complexity of real physical systems. Although a few state-of-the-art structured data-driven methods show their efficiency in nonlinear system modeling, deterministic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-28 Rui Dai , Giulio Evangelisti , Sandra Hirche

We present a survey of some of our recent results on Bayesian nonparametric inference for a multitude of stochastic processes. The common feature is that the prior distribution in the cases considered is on suitable sets of piecewise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-04 Denis Belomestny , Frank van der Meulen , Peter Spreij

While there have been a lot of recent developments in the context of Bayesian model selection and variable selection for high dimensional linear models, there is not much work in the presence of change point in literature, unlike the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-26 Nilabja Guha , Jyotishka Datta

Survival models are a popular tool for the analysis of time to event data with applications in medicine, engineering, economics, and many more. Advances like the Cox proportional hazard model have enabled researchers to better describe…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-16 Stefan Groha , Sebastian M Schmon , Alexander Gusev

Spatial Gaussian process regression models typically contain finite dimensional covariance parameters that need to be estimated from the data. We study the Bayesian estimation of covariance parameters including the nugget parameter in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-22 Cheng Li , Saifei Sun , Yichen Zhu

We consider a non-proportional hazards model where the regression coefficient is not constant but piecewise constant. Following Andersen and Gill (1982), we know that a knowledge of the changepoint leads to a relatively straightforward…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-11 Roxane Duroux , John O'Quigley

Gaussian process is one of the most popular non-parametric Bayesian methodologies for modeling the regression problem. It is completely determined by its mean and covariance functions. And its linear property makes it relatively…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-16 Wenqi Fang , Huiyun Li , Hui Huang , Shaobo Dang , Zhejun Huang , Zheng Wang

In this paper we introduce a mixture cure model with a linear hazard rate regression model for the event times. Cure models are statistical models for event times that take into account that a fraction of the population might never…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-26 Emil Aas Stoltenberg
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