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This study focuses on investigating the manner in which a prompt quarantine measure suppresses epidemics in networks. A simple and ideal quarantine measure is considered in which an individual is detected with a probability immediately…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-08-16 Takehisa Hasegawa , Koji Nemoto

We study the relative importance of two key control measures for epidemic spreading: endogenous social self-distancing and exogenous imposed quarantine. We use the framework of adaptive networks, moment-closure, and ordinary differential…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-22 Leonhard Horstmeyer , Christian Kuehn , Stefan Thurner

We analyze an optimal control version of a simple SIRS epidemiology model. The policy maker can adopt policies to diminish the contact rate between infected and susceptible individuals, at a specific economic cost. The arrival of a vaccine…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-09 Evangelos Magirou

This paper is based on the observation that, during Covid-19 epidemic, the choice of which individuals should be tested has an important impact on the effectiveness of selective confinement measures. This decision problem is closely related…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-24 Matthias Pezzutto , Nicolas Bono Rossello , Luca Schenato , Emanuele Garone

This paper presents a study on a compartmental epidemic model for COVID-19, examining the stability of its equilibrium points upon the introduction of vaccination as a strategy to mitigate the spread of the disease. Initially, the SIQR…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-05-29 Leonardo R. S. Rodrigues , Felipe Gabrielli

Motivated by the issue of COVID-19 mitigation, in this work we tackle the general problem of optimally controlling an epidemic outbreak of a communicable disease structured by time since exposure, by the aid of two types of control…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-05-13 Alberto d'Onofrio , Mimmo Iannelli , Piero Manfredi , Gabriela Marinoschi

We review the optimal control of systems modeling the dynamics of tuberculosis. Time dependent control functions are introduced in the mathematical models, representing strategies for the improvement of the treatment and cure of active…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-08-18 Cristiana J. Silva , Delfim F. M. Torres

We apply optimal control theory to a tuberculosis model given by a system of ordinary differential equations. Optimal control strategies are proposed to minimize the cost of interventions. Numerical simulations are given using data from…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-07-23 Cristiana J. Silva , Delfim F. M. Torres

The Ebola virus is currently one of the most virulent pathogens for humans. The latest major outbreak occurred in Guinea, Sierra Leonne and Liberia in 2014. With the aim of understanding the spread of infection in the affected countries, it…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-26 Amira Rachah , Delfim F. M. Torres

In this paper, we consider an optimal distributed control problem for a reaction-diffusion-based SIR epidemic model with human behavioral effects. We develop a model wherein non-pharmaceutical intervention methods are implemented, but a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-02-11 Marcelo Bongarti , Christian Parkinson , Weinan Wang

In this work, we develop a spatial SEIAR-type epidemic model considering a quarantined population (denoted as Q), which we call the SQEIAR model. The dynamics of the SQEIAR model are described by six Partial Differential Equations (PDEs)…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-01-27 Elghandouri Mohammed , Ezzinbi Khalil , Youness Mezzan

The novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 and resulting COVID-19 disease have had an unprecedented spread and continue to cause an increasing number of fatalities worldwide. While vaccines are still under development, social distancing, extensive…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-02 Calvin Tsay , Fernando Lejarza , Mark A. Stadtherr , Michael Baldea

In this paper, an SIR epidemic model with variable size of population is considered. We study optimal control problem for an SIR model with "vaccination" and "treatment" as controls. It is shown that an optimal control exists. We have…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-12-28 Olga Klimenkova

We study the global stability issue of the reaction-convection-diffusion cholera epidemic PDE model and show that the basic reproduction number serves as a threshold parameter that predicts whether cholera will persist or become globally…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2017-01-06 Kazuo Yamazaki , Xueying Wang

Mathematical modelling can help to explain the nature and dynamics of infection transmissions, as well as support a policy for implementing those strategies that are most likely to bring public health and economic benefits. The paper…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-09-01 Roman Denysiuk , Cristiana J. Silva , Delfim F. M. Torres

This paper deals with an SIR model with saturated incidence rate affected by inhibitory effect and saturated treatment function. Two control functions have been used, one for vaccinating the susceptible population and other for the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-07-17 Jayanta Kumar Ghosh , Uttam Ghosh , M. H. A. Biswas , Susmita Sarkar

We propose a versatile model with a flexible choice of control for an early-pandemic outbreak prevention when vaccine/drug is not yet available. At that stage, control is often limited to non-medical interventions like social distancing and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-14 Alexandra Smirnova , Xiaojing Ye

In this article we propose a compartmental model for the dynamics of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19). We take into account the presence of asymptomatic infections and the main policies that have been adopted so far to contain the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-18 M. Soledad Aronna , Roberto Guglielmi , Lucas M. Moschen

As the COVID19 spreads across the world, prevention measures are becoming the essential weapons to combat the pandemic in the period of crisis. The lockdown measure is the most controversial one as it imposes an overwhelming impact on our…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-12 Yuting Fu , Haitao Xiang , Hanqing Jin , Ning Wang

We give the explicit solution of the optimal control problem which consists in minimizing the epidemic peak in the SIR model when the control is an attenuation factor of the infectious rate, subject to a L 1 budget constraint. The optimal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-14 Emilio Molina , Alain Rapaport