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The rise of ChatGPT has brought a notable shift to the AI sector, with its exceptional conversational skills and deep grasp of language. Recognizing its value across different areas, our study investigates ChatGPT's capacity to predict…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-14 Ummara Mumtaz , Summaya Mumtaz

Academics increasingly acknowledge the predictive power of social media for a wide variety of events and, more specifically, for financial markets. Anecdotal and empirical findings show that cryptocurrencies are among the financial assets…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-11-11 Meysam Alizadeh , Yasaman Asgari , Zeynab Samei , Sara Yari , Shirin Dehghani , Mael Kubli , Darya Zare , Juan Diego Bermeo , Veronika Batzdorfer , Fabrizio Gilardi

With the advent of fast-paced information dissemination and retrieval, it has become inherently important to resort to automated means of predicting stock market prices. In this paper, we propose Taureau, a framework that leverages Twitter…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-04-03 Nicholas Milikich , Joshua Johnson

COVID-19 has had a much larger impact on the financial markets compared to previous epidemics because the news information is transferred over the social networks at a speed of light. Using Twitter's API, we compiled a unique dataset with…

General Economics · Economics 2020-11-18 Rahul Goel , Lucas Javier Ford , Maksym Obrizan , Rajesh Sharma

Understanding the relationship between structure and sentiment is essential in highlighting future operations with online social networks. More specifically, within popular conversation on Twitter. This paper provides a development on the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-12-27 Joshua Midha

We examine how textual features in earnings press releases predict stock returns on earnings announcement days. Using over 138,000 press releases from 2005 to 2023, we compare traditional bag-of-words and BERT-based embeddings. We find that…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-07 Yuntao Wu , Ege Mert Akin , Charles Martineau , Vincent Grégoire , Andreas Veneris

Public announcement dates are used in the green bond literature to measure equity market reactions to upcoming green bond issues. We find a sizeable number of green bond announcements were pre-dated by anonymous information leakages on the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-07 Darren Shannon , Jin Gong , Barry Sheehan

In recent years, social media has become ubiquitous and important for social networking and content sharing. And yet, the content that is generated from these websites remains largely untapped. In this paper, we demonstrate how social media…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2015-03-13 Sitaram Asur , Bernardo A. Huberman

There is a general consensus of the good sensing and novelty characteristics of Twitter as an information media for the complex financial market. This paper investigates the permeability of Twittersphere, the total universe of Twitter users…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-20 Ana Fernández Vilas , Rebeca P. Díaz Redondo , Keeley Crockett , Majdi Owda , Lewis Evans

We study the relationship between social media output and National Football League (NFL) games, using a dataset containing messages from Twitter and NFL game statistics. Specifically, we consider tweets pertaining to specific teams and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-10-28 Shiladitya Sinha , Chris Dyer , Kevin Gimpel , Noah A. Smith

Tracking the volume of keywords in Internet searches, message boards, or Tweets has provided an alternative for following or predicting associations between popular interest or disease incidences. Here, we extend that research by examining…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2011-10-28 Serguei Saavedra , Jordi Duch , Brian Uzzi

The forecasting of political, economic, and public health indicators using internet activity has demonstrated mixed results. For example, while some measures of explicitly surveyed public opinion correlate well with social media proxies,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-07-14 Yi Li , Asieh Ahani , Haimao Zhan , Kevin Foley , Thayer Alshaabi , Kelsey Linnell , Peter Sheridan Dodds , Christopher M. Danforth , Adam Fox

Corporate earnings announcements unpack large bundles of public information that should, in efficient markets, trigger jumps in stock prices. Testing this implication is difficult in practice, as it requires noisy high-frequency data from…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-16 Kim Christensen , Allan Timmermann , Bezirgen Veliyev

In the last couple decades, social network services like Twitter have generated large volumes of data about users and their interests, providing meaningful business intelligence so organizations can better understand and engage their…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2017-12-01 Angela Lin

We examine the influence of Twitter promotion on cryptocurrency pump-and-dump events. By analyzing abnormal returns, trading volume, and tweet activity, we uncover that Twitter effectively garners attention for pump-and-dump schemes,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-06 David Ardia , Keven Bluteau

The availability of data on digital traces is growing to unprecedented sizes, but inferring actionable knowledge from large-scale data is far from being trivial. This is especially important for computational finance, where digital traces…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-05-13 David Garcia , Frank Schweitzer

Predicting stock price movements during Earnings Announcements (EAs) is a significant challenge due to market noise and high-impact price discontinuities. In this study, we evaluate whether pre-announcement news sentiment, firm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Manuel Noseda , Nathan Soldati , Marco Paina

A large number of studies on social media compare the behaviour of users from different political parties. As a basic step, they employ a predictive model for inferring their political affiliation. The accuracy of this model can change the…

I explore the relationship between investor emotions expressed on social media and asset prices. The field has seen a proliferation of models aimed at extracting firm-level sentiment from social media data, though the behavior of these…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-08 Domonkos F. Vamossy

Stock market forecasting is very important in the planning of business activities. Stock price prediction has attracted many researchers in multiple disciplines including computer science, statistics, economics, finance, and operations…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-07-23 Dev Shah , Haruna Isah , Farhana Zulkernine