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Related papers: Change-point detection for L\'evy processes

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This paper addresses the problem of detecting changes when only unnormalized pre- and post-change distributions are accessible. This situation happens in many scenarios in physics such as in ferromagnetism, crystallography,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-12 Arman Adibi , Sanjeev Kulkarni , H. Vincent Poor , Taposh Banerjee , Vahid Tarokh

Automated analysis of complex systems based on multiple readouts remains a challenge. Change point detection algorithms are aimed to locating abrupt changes in the time series behaviour of a process. In this paper, we present a novel change…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-05 Artem Ryzhikov , Mikhail Hushchyn , Denis Derkach

Algorithms are developed for the quickest detection of a change in statistically periodic processes. These are processes in which the statistical properties are nonstationary but repeat after a fixed time interval. It is assumed that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-07 Yousef Oleyaeimotlagh , Taposh Banerjee , Ahmad Taha , Eugene John

This paper develops a unified and computationally efficient method for change-point estimation along the time dimension in a non-stationary spatio-temporal process. By modeling a non-stationary spatio-temporal process as a piecewise…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-09 Zifeng Zhao , Ting Fung Ma , Wai Leong Ng , Chun Yip Yau

This paper addresses the issue of detecting change-points in multivariate time series. The proposed approach differs from existing counterparts by making only weak assumptions on both the change-points structure across series, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-14 Flore Harlé , Florent Chatelain , Cédric Gouy-Pailler , Sophie Achard

The problem of quickest change detection (QCD) under transient dynamics is studied, where the change from the initial distribution to the final persistent distribution does not happen instantaneously, but after a series of transient phases.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-13 Shaofeng Zou , Georgios Fellouris , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

For the most popular sequential change detection rules such as CUSUM, EWMA, and the Shiryaev-Roberts test, we develop integral equations and a concise numerical method to compute a number of performance metrics, including average detection…

Computation · Statistics 2011-09-15 George V. Moustakides , Aleksey S. Polunchenko , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

The problem of change-point estimation is considered under a general framework where the data are generated by unknown stationary ergodic process distributions. In this context, the consistent estimation of the number of change-points is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-02-15 Azaden Khaleghi , Daniil Ryabko

A change point detection (CPD) framework assisted by a predictive machine learning model called "Predict and Compare" is introduced and characterised in relation to other state-of-the-art online CPD routines which it outperforms in terms of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Anna-Christina Glock , Florian Sobieczky , Johannes Fürnkranz , Peter Filzmoser , Martin Jech

We consider the problem of detecting abrupt changes (i.e., large jump discontinuities) in the rate function of a point process. The rate function is assumed to be fully unknown, non-stationary, and may itself be a random process that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-16 Anna Brandenberger , Elchanan Mossel , Anirudh Sridhar

In this work, we aim to provide a new and efficient recursive detection method for temporarily monitored signals. Motivated by the case of the propagation of an event over a field of sensors, we assumed that the change in the statistical…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-17 V. Watson , F. Septier , P. Armand , C. Duchenne

A novel sequential change detection problem is proposed, in which the goal is to not only detect but also accelerate the change. Specifically, it is assumed that the sequentially collected observations are responses to treatments selected…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-24 Yanglei Song , Georgios Fellouris

This paper considers the problem of joint change detection and identification assuming multiple composite postchange hypotheses. We propose a multihypothesis changepoint detection-identification procedure that controls the probabilities of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-12 Serguei Pergamenchtchikov , Alexander Tartakovsky , Valentin Spivak

Detecting abrupt changes in real-time data streams from scientific simulations presents a challenging task, demanding the deployment of accurate and efficient algorithms. Identifying change points in live data stream involves continuous…

Time-varying random objects have been increasingly encountered in modern data analysis. Moreover, in a substantial number of these applications, periodic behaviour of the random objects has been observed. We develop a novel procedure to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-27 Jiazhen Xu , Andrew T. A. Wood , Tao Zou

In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the properties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly start…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-03 Michael Vogt , Holger Dette

Change point detection in time series aims to identify moments when the probability distribution of time series changes. It is widely applied in many areas, such as human activity sensing and medical science. In the context of multivariate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Shanyun Gao , Raghavendra Addanki , Tong Yu , Ryan A. Rossi , Murat Kocaoglu

This paper proposes a new minimum description length procedure to detect multiple changepoints in time series data when some times are a priori thought more likely to be changepoints. This scenario arises with temperature time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-14 Yingbo Li , Robert Lund , Anuradha Hewaarachchi

Changes in the statistical properties of a stochastic process are typically assumed to occur via change-points, which demark instantaneous moments of complete and total change in process behavior. In cases where these transitions occur…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-06 Chris Browne

Robust change-point detection for large-scale data streams has many real-world applications in industrial quality control, signal detection, biosurveillance. Unfortunately, it is highly non-trivial to develop efficient schemes due to three…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-18 Ruizhi Zhang , Yajun Mei , Jianjun Shi