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Background: Uncertainty quantification for nuclear theories has gained a more prominent role in the field, with more and more groups attempting to understand the uncertainties on their calculations. However, recent studies have shown that…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2021-12-03 M. Catacora-Rios , G. B. King , A. E. Lovell , F. M. Nunes

Being able to rigorously quantify the uncertainties in reaction models is crucial to moving this field forward. Even though Bayesian methods are becoming increasingly popular in nuclear theory, they are yet to be implemented and applied in…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2018-07-18 A. E. Lovell , F. M. Nunes

Uncertainty quantification has become increasingly more prominent in nuclear physics over the past several years. In few-body reaction theory, there are four main sources that contribute to the uncertainties in the calculated observables:…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2020-12-17 A. E. Lovell , F. M. Nunes , M. Catacora-Rios , G. B. King

Propagation of uncertainties from two-nucleon potential parameters to three-nucleon observables, that is statistical errors for the neutron-deuteron elastic scattering and the deuteron breakup reaction at neutron laboratory energies up to…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2020-03-16 Yu. Volkotrub , J. Golak , R. Skibiński , K. Topolnicki , H. Witała , E. Epelbaum , H. Krebs , P. Reinert

A substantial fraction of systematic uncertainties in neutrino oscillation experiments stem from the lack of precision in modeling the nuclear target in neutrino-nucleus interactions. Whilst this has driven significant progress in the…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2025-01-15 J. Chakrani , S. Dolan , M. Buizza Avanzini , A. Ershova , L. Koch , K. McFarland , G. D. Megias , L. Munteanu , L. Pickering , K. Skwarczynski , V. Q. Nguyen , C. Wret

Optical-model potentials (OMPs) continue to play a key role in nuclear reaction calculations. However, the uncertainty of phenomenological OMPs in widespread use -- inherent to any parametric model trained on data -- has not been fully…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2023-01-06 C. D. Pruitt , J. E. Escher , R. Rahman

The effects of the nuclear structure uncertainties on the description of processes induced by coherent scattering of neutrinos on nuclei are investigated. A reference calculation based on a specific nuclear model is defined and the cross…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2020-05-06 G. Co' , M. Anguiano , A. M. Lallena

The uncertainty quantifications of theoretical results are of great importance to make meaningful comparisons of those results with experimental data and to make predictions in experimentally unknown regions. By quantifying uncertainties,…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2018-12-10 Sota Yoshida , Noritaka Shimizu , Tomoaki Togashi , Takaharu Otsuka

A statistical method is presented to evaluate the uncertainty bands in the optical nucleus-nucleus potential and in differential cross sections. The starting point is the least square fit of a set of experimental values of elastic…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2025-07-17 O. C. B. Santos , J. Gómez-Camacho

Charge-exchange reactions are versatile probes for nuclear structure. In particular, when populating isobaric analog states, these reactions are used to study isovector nuclear densities and neutron skins. The quality of the information…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2024-09-17 A. J. Smith , C. Hebborn , F. M. Nunes , R. G. T. Zegers

We develop for the first time a microscopic global nucleon-nucleus optical potential with quantified uncertainties suitable for analyzing nuclear reaction experiments at next-generation rare-isotope beam facilities. Within the improved…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2021-11-10 T. R. Whitehead , Y. Lim , J. W. Holt

In the analysis of elastic-scattering experimental data, optical-model parameters (usually, depths of real and imaginary potentials) are fitted and conclusions are drawn analyzing their variations at bombardment energies close to the…

Nuclear Experiment · Physics 2015-03-16 Daniel Abriola , A. Arazi , J. Testoni , F. Gollan , G. V. Martí

One-neutron knockout reactions have been widely used to extract information about the single-particle structure of nuclei from the valley of stability to the driplines. The interpretation of knockout data relies on reaction models, where…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2023-07-19 Chloë Hebborn , T. R. Whitehead , Amy E. Lovell , Filomena M. Nunes

Nuclear density functional theory (DFT) is one of the main theoretical tools used to study the properties of heavy and superheavy elements, or to describe the structure of nuclei far from stability. While on-going efforts seek to better…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2015-12-23 N. Schunck , J. D. McDonnell , D. Higdon , J. Sarich , S. M. Wild

Recent work has studied the uncertainty in predictions for A(d,p)B reactions using the distorted-wave Born approximation (DWBA), coming from the parameterization of the effective dA interactions [Lovell et al., Phys. Rev. C 95, 024611].…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2019-04-03 G. B. King , A. E. Lovell , F. M. Nunes

Previous work quantified the uncertainty associated with the optical potentials between the nucleons and the target. In this study, we extend that work by also including the parameters of the mean field associated with the overlap function…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2023-08-16 M. Catacora-Rios , Amy E. Lovell , Filomena M. Nunes

Sources of uncertainty are reviewed for calculated atomic and molecular data that are important for plasma modeling: atomic and molecular structure and cross sections for electron-atom, electron-molecule, and heavy particle collisions. We…

Relevant uncertainties on theoretical atomic data are vital to determine the accuracy of plasma diagnostics in a number of areas including in particular the astrophysical study. We present a new calculation of the uncertainties on the…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2022-01-19 Liyi Gu , Chintan Shah , Ruitian Zhang

Neutrino-nucleus elastic scattering provides a unique laboratory to study the quantum mechanical coherency effects in electroweak interactions, towards which several experimental programs are being actively pursued. We report results of our…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2016-06-10 S. Kerman , V. Sharma , M. Deniz , H. T. Wong , J. -W. Chen , H. B. Li , S. T. Lin , C. -P. Liu , Q. Yue

Conformal prediction is a distribution-free and model-agnostic uncertainty-quantification method that provides finite-sample prediction intervals with guaranteed coverage. In this work, for the first time, we apply conformal-prediction to…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2026-02-02 Habib Yousefi Dezdarani , Ryan Curry , Alexandros Gezerlis
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