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Survival analysis (SA) is an active field of research that is concerned with time-to-event outcomes and is prevalent in many domains, particularly biomedical applications. Despite its importance, SA remains challenging due to small-scale…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-16 Philipp Kopper , Simon Wiegrebe , Bernd Bischl , Andreas Bender , David Rügamer

Infectious diseases are studied to understand their spreading mechanisms, to evaluate control strategies and to predict the risk and course of future outbreaks. Because people only interact with a small number of individuals, and because…

Applications · Statistics 2018-09-05 Ritabrata Dutta , Antonietta Mira , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

I present IGAN (Inferent Generative Adversarial Networks), a neural architecture that learns both a generative and an inference model on a complex high dimensional data distribution, i.e. a bidirectional mapping between data samples and a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Luc Vignaud

Exponential random graph models are a class of widely used exponential family models for social networks. The topological structure of an observed network is modelled by the relative prevalence of a set of local sub-graph configurations…

Computation · Statistics 2013-01-21 Alberto Caimo , Nial Friel

Inference models are a key component in scaling variational inference to deep latent variable models, most notably as encoder networks in variational auto-encoders (VAEs). By replacing conventional optimization-based inference with a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-26 Joseph Marino , Yisong Yue , Stephan Mandt

The evolution of communities in dynamic (time-varying) network data is a prominent topic of interest. A popular approach to understanding these dynamic networks is to embed the dyadic relations into a latent metric space. While methods for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-18 Joshua Daniel Loyal , Yuguo Chen

Interpretability of learning-to-rank models is a crucial yet relatively under-examined research area. Recent progress on interpretable ranking models largely focuses on generating post-hoc explanations for existing black-box ranking models,…

A Bayesian network is a widely used probabilistic graphical model with applications in knowledge discovery and prediction. Learning a Bayesian network (BN) from data can be cast as an optimization problem using the well-known…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-11-14 Zhenyu A. Liao , Charupriya Sharma , James Cussens , Peter van Beek

Modeling nonstationary processes is of paramount importance to many scientific disciplines including environmental science, ecology, and finance, among others. Consequently, flexible methodology that provides accurate estimation across a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-13 Wen-Hsi Yang , Scott H. Holan , Christopher K. Wikle

The lack of interpretability is an inevitable problem when using neural network models in real applications. In this paper, an explainable neural network based on generalized additive models with structured interactions (GAMI-Net) is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-03 Zebin Yang , Aijun Zhang , Agus Sudjianto

Regression models are popular tools in empirical sciences to infer the influence of a set of variables onto a dependent variable given an experimental dataset. In neuroscience and cognitive psychology, Generalized Linear Models (GLMs)…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-04 Vincent Adam , Alexandre Hyafil

Deep generative networks provide a powerful tool for modeling complex data in a wide range of applications. In inverse problems that use these networks as generative priors on data, one must often perform inference of the inputs of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-21 Alyson K. Fletcher , Sundeep Rangan

We propose a Bayesian propensity score-augmented latent factor model for causal inference with time-series cross-sectional data. The framework explicitly models the treatment assignment mechanism by incorporating latent factor loadings,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-27 Licheng Liu

We propose an autoregressive framework for modelling dynamic networks with dependent edges. It encompasses models that accommodate, for example, transitivity, degree heterogenenity, and other stylized features often observed in real network…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-25 Jinyuan Chang , Qin Fang , Eric D. Kolaczyk , Peter W. MacDonald , Qiwei Yao

Estimating conditional independence graphs from high-dimensional Gaussian data is challenging because methods must detect relevant edges while rigorously controlling statistical errors. We propose a Bayesian framework based on a prior…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-21 Roland B. Sogan , Tabea Rebafka , Fanny Villers

Selective inference aims at providing valid inference after a data-driven selection of models or hypotheses. It is essential to avoid overconfident results and replicability issues. While significant advances have been made in this area for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-14 Matteo D'Alessandro , Magne Thoresen

Regression models applied to network data where node attributes are the dependent variables poses a methodological challenge. As has been well studied, naive regression neither properly accounts for community structure, nor does it account…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-16 Riddhi Pratim Ghosh , Jukka-Pekka Onnela , Ian Barnett

The Pachinko Allocation Machine (PAM) is a deep topic model that allows representing rich correlation structures among topics by a directed acyclic graph over topics. Because of the flexibility of the model, however, approximate inference…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-04-24 Akash Srivastava , Charles Sutton

Adoption of deep neural networks in fields such as economics or finance has been constrained by the lack of interpretability of model outcomes. This paper proposes a generative neural network architecture - the parameter encoder neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-11 Johann Pfitzinger

This paper develops the inferential theory for latent factor models estimated from large dimensional panel data with missing observations. We propose an easy-to-use all-purpose estimator for a latent factor model by applying principal…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-11 Ruoxuan Xiong , Markus Pelger
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