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A scheme is proposed to improve the performance of the ensemble-based Kalman Filters during the initial spin-up period. By applying the no-cost ensemble Kalman Smoother, this scheme allows the model solutions for the ensemble to be "running…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2008-06-03 Eugenia Kalnay , Shu-Chih Yang

This paper presents two novel ensemble domain decomposition methods for fast-solving the Stokes-Darcy coupled models with random hydraulic conductivity and body force. To address such random systems, we employ the Monte Carlo (MC) method to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-08-13 Chunchi Liu , Yao Rong , Yizhong Sun , Jiaping Yu , Haibiao Zheng

Monte Carlo methods are widely used in particle physics to integrate and sample probability distributions (differential cross sections or decay rates) on multi-dimensional phase spaces. We present a Neural Network (NN) algorithm optimized…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2020-10-21 Matthew D. Klimek , Maxim Perelstein

Practitioners have access to an abundance of language models and prompting strategies for solving many language modeling tasks; yet prior work shows that modeling performance is highly sensitive to both choices. Classical machine learning…

In this work we propose a hierarchy of Monte Carlo methods for sampling equilibrium properties of stochastic lattice systems with competing short and long range interactions. Each Monte Carlo step is composed by two or more sub - steps…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-05-30 Evangelia Kalligiannaki , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Petr Plechac , Dionisios G Vlachos

Multilevel sampling methods, such as multilevel and multifidelity Monte Carlo, multilevel stochastic collocation, or delayed acceptance Markov chain Monte Carlo, have become standard uncertainty quantification (UQ) tools for a wide class of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-01 Josef Martínek , Erin Carson , Robert Scheichl

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods comprise one of the most successful approaches to approximate Bayesian filtering. However, SMC without good proposal distributions struggle in high dimensions. We propose nested sequential Monte Carlo…

Computation · Statistics 2016-12-30 Christian A. Naesseth , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

Metasurfaces, consisting of large arrays of interacting subwavelength scatterers, pose significant challenges for general-purpose computational methods due to their large electric dimensions and multiscale nature. This paper introduces an…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-10-07 Emanuele Corsaro , Giovanni Miano , Antonello Tamburrino , Salvatore Ventre , Carlo Forestiere

Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) is a recently proposed variation of Monte Carlo (MC) simulation that achieves variance reduction by simulating the governing equations on a series of spatial (or temporal) grids with increasing resolution.…

Computation · Statistics 2017-04-26 Hillary Fairbanks , Alireza Doostan , Christian Ketelsen , Gianluca Iaccarino

Bayesian data analysis is widely used across many disciplines, and representative examples in materials science include spectral analysis and sparse modeling. In such applications, the underlying models often become complex and yield…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Tomohiro Nabika , Kenji Nagata , Shun Katakami , Masaichiro Mizumaki , Masato Okada

In this paper, we propose a new stochastic optimization algorithm for Bayesian inference based on multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) methods. In Bayesian statistics, biased estimators of the model evidence have been often used as stochastic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-26 Kei Ishikawa , Takashi Goda

The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is a Monte Carlo based implementation of the Kalman filter (KF) for extremely high-dimensional, possibly nonlinear and non-Gaussian state estimation problems. Its ability to handle state dimensions in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-12 Michael Roth , Gustaf Hendeby , Carsten Fritsche , Fredrik Gustafsson

The present research work proposes advancement for Data Assimilation strategies using Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN). More precisely, multi-fidelity and multi-level algorithms for the Ensemble Kalman Filter are enhanced by CNN tools,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-07-21 Tom Moussie , Paolo Errante , Marcello Meldi

We introduce the energy-stepping Monte Carlo (ESMC) method, a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm based on the conventional dynamical interpretation of the proposal stage but employing an energy-stepping integrator. The…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2023-12-13 Ignacio Romero , Michael Ortiz

In this paper a novel modification of the multilevel Monte Carlo approach, allowing for further significant complexity reduction, is proposed. The idea of the modification is to use the method of control variates to reduce variance at level…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-14 Denis Belomestny , Tigran Nagapetyan

In this paper we consider the filtering of partially observed multi-dimensional diffusion processes that are observed regularly at discrete times. This is a challenging problem which requires the use of advanced numerical schemes based upon…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Ajay Jasra , Mohamed Maama , Hernando Ombao

To conduct Bayesian inference with large data sets, it is often convenient or necessary to distribute the data across multiple machines. We consider a likelihood function expressed as a product of terms, each associated with a subset of the…

Computation · Statistics 2020-04-09 Lewis J. Rendell , Adam M. Johansen , Anthony Lee , Nick Whiteley

As the size of engineered systems grows, problems in reliability theory can become computationally challenging, often due to the combinatorial growth in the cut sets. In this paper we demonstrate how Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) - a…

Computation · Statistics 2017-03-14 Louis J. M. Aslett , Tigran Nagapetyan , Sebastian J. Vollmer

Recent advancements in low-cost ensemble learning have demonstrated improved efficiency for image classification. However, the existing low-cost ensemble methods show relatively lower accuracy compared to conventional ensemble learning. In…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-08-06 Hojung Lee , Jong-Seok Lee

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods are a widely used set of computational tools for inference in non-linear non-Gaussian state-space models. We propose a new SMC algorithm to compute the expectation of additive functionals recursively.…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-12-27 Pierre Del Moral , Arnaud Doucet , Sumeetpal Singh