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Tail dependence models for distributions attracted to a max-stable law are fitted using observations above a high threshold. To cope with spatial, high-dimensional data, a rank-based M-estimator is proposed relying on bivariate margins…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-01-12 John Einmahl , Anna Kiriliouk , Andrea Krajina , Johan Segers

The tail index, indicating the degree of fatness of the tail distribution, is an important component of extreme value theory since it dominates the asymptotic distribution of extreme values such as the sample maximum. In this paper, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-12 Moosup Kim , Sangyeol Lee

The 2d O(3) model is widely used as a toy model for ferromagnetism and for Quantum Chromodynamics. With the latter it shares --- among other basic aspects --- the property that the continuum functional integral splits into topological…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2018-12-12 Wolfgang Bietenholz , Philippe de Forcrand , Urs Gerber , Héctor Mejía-Díaz , Ilya O. Sandoval

We study the asymptotic behaviour of stationary densities of one-dimensional random diffeomorphisms, at the boundaries of their support, which correspond to deterministic fixed points of extremal diffeomorphisms. In particular, we show how…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-25 Jeroen S. W. Lamb , Guillermo Olicón-Méndez , Martin Rasmussen

When the steady states at infinity become unstable through a pattern forming bifurcation, a travelling wave may bifurcate into a modulated front which is time-periodic in a moving frame. This scenario has been studied by B.Sandstede and…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Thierry Gallay , Guido Schneider , Hannes Uecker

A popular theory of self-organized criticality relates driven dissipative systems to systems with conservation. This theory predicts that the stationary density of the abelian sandpile model equals the threshold density of the fixed-energy…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-06-10 Anne Fey , Lionel Levine , David B. Wilson

Large-deviations theory deals with tails of probability distributions and the rare events of random processes, for example spreading packets of particles. Mathematically, it concerns the exponential fall-of of the density of thin-tailed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-07-04 Erez Aghion , David A. Kessler , Eli Barkai

A random variable X is strictly stable if a sum of independent copies of X has the same distribution as X up to scaling, and is stable (in the broad sense) if the sum has the same distribution as X up to both scaling and shifting. Steutel…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-25 Matthew Aldridge

A new estimator is proposed for estimating the tail exponent of a heavy-tailed distribution. This estimator, referred to as the layered Hill estimator, is a generalization of the traditional Hill estimator, building upon a layered structure…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-20 Taegyu Kang , Takashi Owada

The degree of predictability of large avalanche events in the directed sandpile model is studied. A waiting time based prediction strategy which exploits the local anticorrelation of large events is discussed. With this strategy we show…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-08-05 Dhruv Shah

We consider inhomogeneous spatial random graphs on the real line. Each vertex carries an i.i.d. weight and edges are drawn such that short edges and edges to vertices with large weights occur with higher probability. This allows the study…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-08 Peter Gracar , Lukas Lüchtrath , Christian Mönch

There is an increasing interest to understand the dependence structure of a random vector not only in the center of its distribution but also in the tails. Extreme-value theory tackles the problem of modelling the joint tail of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-04 Anna Kiriliouk , Johan Segers , Michal Warchol

We show that in any dimension $d\ge1$, the cycle-length process of stationary random stirring (or, random interchange) on the lattice torus converges to the canonical Markovian split-and-merge process with the invariant (and reversible)…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-19 Dmitry Ioffe , Bálint Tóth

Products between phase-type distributed random variables and any independent, positive and continuous random variable are studied. Their asymptotic properties are established, and an expectation-maximization algorithm for their effective…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-25 Hansjoerg Albrecher , Martin Bladt , Mogens Bladt , Jorge Yslas

We study the stability of randomized Taylor schemes for ODEs. We consider three notions of probabilistic stability: asymptotic stability, mean-square stability, and stability in probability. We prove fundamental properties of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-10-26 Tomasz Bochacik

We present large deviations estimates in the supremum norm for a system of independent random walks superposed with a birth-and-death dynamics evolving on the discrete torus with $N$ sites. The scaling limit considered is the so-called…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-26 Tertuliano Franco , Luana A. Gurgel , Bernardo N. B. de Lima

The Abelian Sandpile Model is a discrete diffusion process defined on graphs (Dhar \cite{DD90}, Dhar et al. \cite{DD95}) which serves as the standard model of self-organized criticality. The transience class of a sandpile is defined as the…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2012-11-02 Ayush Choure , Sundar Vishwanathan

We consider a stochastic sandpile where the sand-grains of unstable sites are randomly distributed to the nearest neighbors. Increasing the value of the threshold condition the stochastic character of the distribution is lost and a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 S. Lubeck

We consider a two-node fluid network with batch arrivals of random size having a heavy-tailed distribution. We are interested in the tail asymptotics for the stationary distribution of a two-dimensional queue-length process. The tail…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-25 Sergey Foss , Masakiyo Miyazawa

Extreme events over large spatial domains may exhibit highly heterogeneous tail dependence characteristics, yet most existing spatial extremes models yield only one dependence class over the entire spatial domain. To accurately characterize…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-14 Muyang Shi , Likun Zhang , Mark D. Risser , Benjamin A. Shaby