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This article deals with the spatio-temporal sensors deployment in order to maximize detection probability of an intelligent and randomly moving target in an area under surveillance. Our work is based on the rare events simulation framework.…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2017-02-24 Chouchane Mathieu , Paris Sébastien , Le Gland François , Ouladsine Mustapha

The efficient calculation of rare-event kinetics in complex dynamical systems, such as the rate and pathways of ligand dissociation from a protein, is a generally unsolved problem. Markov state models can systematically integrate ensembles…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2016-02-03 Benjamin Trendelkamp-Schroer , Frank Noe

Stochastic spreading models defined on complex network topologies are used to mimic the diffusion of diseases, information, and opinions in real-world systems. Existing theoretical approaches to the characterization of the models in terms…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-01-15 Dario Mazzilli , Filippo Radicchi

It is increasingly common to encounter data from dynamic processes captured by static cross-sectional measurements over time, particularly in biomedical settings. Recent attempts to model individual trajectories from this data use optimal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-28 Alexander Tong , Jessie Huang , Guy Wolf , David van Dijk , Smita Krishnaswamy

Sampling the collective, dynamical fluctuations that lead to nonequilibrium pattern formation requires probing rare regions of trajectory space. Recent approaches to this problem based on importance sampling, cloning, and spectral…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-02-14 Jiawei Yan , Hugo Touchette , Grant M. Rotskoff

We explore the usage of meta-learning to derive the causal direction between variables by optimizing over a measure of distribution simplicity. We incorporate a stochastic graph representation which includes latent variables and allows for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-11 Justin Wong , Dominik Damjakob

Accurate and efficient estimation of rare events probabilities is of significant importance, since often the occurrences of such events have widespread impacts. The focus in this work is on precisely quantifying these probabilities, often…

Computation · Statistics 2019-09-11 Hamed Nikbakht , Konstantinos G. Papakonstantinou

Stochastic thermodynamics provides the framework to analyze thermodynamic laws and quantities along individual trajectories of small but fully observable systems. If the observable level fails to capture all relevant degrees of freedom,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-07-01 Julius Degünther , Jann van der Meer , Udo Seifert

In this paper we consider a recently developed distributed optimization algorithm based on gradient tracking. We propose a system theory framework to analyze its structural properties on a preliminary, quadratic optimization set-up.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-03 Michelangelo Bin , Ivano Notarnicola , Lorenzo Marconi , Giuseppe Notarstefano

We use importance sampling in a redefined way to highlight and investigate rare events in the form of trajectories trapped inside a target coherent set. We take a transfer operator approach to finding these sets on a reconstructed…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2020-10-16 Meagan Carney , Holger Kantz

We formulate the statistics of the discrete multicomponent fragmentation event using a methodology borrowed from statistical mechanics. We generate the ensemble of all feasible distributions that can be formed when a single integer…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-07-03 Themis Matsoukas

Stochastic approximation is a framework unifying many random iterative algorithms occurring in a diverse range of applications. The stability of the process is often difficult to verify in practical applications and the process may even be…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-10 Christophe Andrieu , Matti Vihola

Metastability is a physical phenomenon ubiquitous in first order phase transitions. A fruitful mathematical way to approach this phenomenon is the study of rare transitions Markov chains. For Metropolis chains associated with Statistical…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-30 Emilio Cirillo , Francesca Nardi , Julien Sohier

Clustering is the propensity of nodes that share a common neighbour to be connected. It is ubiquitous in many networks but poses many modelling challenges. Clustering typically manifests itself by a higher than expected frequency of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-01-07 Martin Ritchie , Luc Berthouze , Istvan Z. Kiss

We present a unified framework for solving trajectory optimization problems in a derivative-free manner through the use of sequential convex programming. Traditionally, nonconvex optimization problems are solved by forming and solving a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-01 Kevin Tracy , John Z. Zhang , Jon Arrizabalaga , Stefan Schaal , Yuval Tassa , Tom Erez , Zachary Manchester

In machine learning, there is renewed interest in neural network ensembles (NNEs), whereby predictions are obtained as an aggregate from a diverse set of smaller models, rather than from a single larger model. Here, we show how to define…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-05-11 Jamie F. Mair , Dominic C. Rose , Juan P. Garrahan

Learning the structure of Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs) presents a significant challenge due to the vast combinatorial search space of possible graphs, which scales exponentially with the number of nodes. Recent advancements have redefined…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-01 Klea Ziu , Slavomír Hanzely , Loka Li , Kun Zhang , Martin Takáč , Dmitry Kamzolov

We define a new stochastic process on general simplicial complexes which allows to study their spectral and homological properties. Some results for random walks on graphs are shown to hold in this general setting. As an application, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-18 Ron Rosenthal

We introduce a mean-field framework for the study of systems of interacting particles sharing a conserved quantity. The work generalises and unites the existing fields of asset-exchange models, often applied to socio-economic systems, and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-06-14 Dominic T Robson , Andreas CW Baas , Alessia Annibale

Diffusions are a successful technique to sample from high-dimensional distributions. The target distribution can be either explicitly given or learnt from a collection of samples. They implement a diffusion process whose endpoint is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Andrea Montanari