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We find the asymptotic distribution of the multi-dimensional multi-scale and kernel estimators for high-frequency financial data with microstructure. Sampling times are allowed to be asynchronous and endogenous. In the process, we show that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-05 Markus Bibinger , Per A. Mykland

We provide a theoretical foundation for non-parametric estimation of functions of random variables using kernel mean embeddings. We show that for any continuous function $f$, consistent estimators of the mean embedding of a random variable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-04 Carl-Johann Simon-Gabriel , Adam Ścibior , Ilya Tolstikhin , Bernhard Schölkopf

Consider a Gaussian nonparametric regression problem having both an unknown mean function and unknown variance function. This article presents a class of difference-based kernel estimators for the variance function. Optimal convergence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Lawrence D. Brown , M. Levine

Many causal estimands, such as average treatment effects under unconfoundedness, can be written as continuous linear functionals of an unknown regression function. We study a weighting estimator that sets weights by a minimax procedure:…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-21 Jing Kong

We consider the robust adaptive nonparametric estimation problem for a periodic function observed in the framework of a continuous time regression model with semimartingale noises.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-26 Evgeny A. Pchelintsev , Serguei M. Pergamenshchikov , Maria A. Povzun

Imputation is a popular technique for handling missing data. We consider a nonparametric approach to imputation using the kernel ridge regression technique and propose consistent variance estimation. The proposed variance estimator is based…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-02 Hengfang Wang , Jae-Kwang Kim

In this paper, we consider the problem of estimating a conditional density in moderately large dimensions. Much more informative than regression functions, conditional densities are of main interest in recent methods, particularly in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-22 Minh-Lien Jeanne Nguyen

We investigate the estimation of parameters in the random coefficient autoregressive model. We consider a nonstationary RCA process and show that the innovation variance parameter cannot be estimated by the quasi-maximum likelihood method.…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-03-03 Istvan Berkes , Lajos Horvath , Shiqing Ling

We constuct a sequential adaptive procedure for estimating the autoregressive function at a given point in nonparametric autoregression models with Gaussian noise. We make use of the sequential kernel estimators. The optimal adaptive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-12 Ouerdia Arkoun

Time series forecasting remains a critical challenge across numerous domains, yet the effectiveness of complex models often varies unpredictably across datasets. Recent studies highlight the surprising competitiveness of simple linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Zheng Wang , Kaixuan Zhang , Wanfang Chen , Xiaonan Lu , Longyuan Li , Tobias Schlagenhauf

In this article, we introduce a conditional marginal model for longitudinal data, in which the residuals form a martingale difference sequence. This model allows us to consider a rich class of estimating equations, which contains several…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-07-15 R. M. Balan , L. Dumitrescu , I. Schiopu-Kratina

In this paper an autoregressive time series model with conditional heteroscedasticity is considered, where both conditional mean and conditional variance function are modeled nonparametrically. A test for the model assumption of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-12 Marie Hušková , Natalie Neumeyer , Tobias Niebuhr , Leonie Selk

The paper considers nonparametric kernel density/regression estimation from a stochastic optimization point of view. The estimation problem is represented through a family of stochastic optimization problems. Recursive constrained…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-05 Vladimir Norkin , Vladimir Kirilyuk

We study the problem of robust time series analysis under the standard auto-regressive (AR) time series model in the presence of arbitrary outliers. We devise an efficient hard thresholding based algorithm which can obtain a consistent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-07-04 Kush Bhatia , Prateek Jain , Parameswaran Kamalaruban , Purushottam Kar

This paper considers a general class of nonparametric time series regression models where the regression function can be time-dependent. We establish an asymptotic theory for estimates of the time-varying regression functions. For this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Ting Zhang , Wei Biao Wu

Extending the ideas of [7], this paper aims at providing a kernel based non-parametric estimation of a new class of time varying AR(1) processes (Xt), with local stationarity and periodic features (with a known period T), inducing the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-13 Jean-Marc Bardet , Paul Doukhan

We consider kernel smoothed Grenander-type estimators for a monotone hazard rate and a monotone density in the presence of randomly right censored data. We show that they converge at rate $n^{2/5}$ and that the limit distribution at a fixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-18 Hendrik P. Lopuhaä , Eni Musta

In this paper, we introduce a robust nonparametric density estimator combining the popular Kernel Density Estimation method and the Median-of-Means principle (MoM-KDE). This estimator is shown to achieve robustness to any kind of anomalous…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-01 Pierre Humbert , Batiste Le Bars , Ludovic Minvielle , Nicolas Vayatis

This paper proposes a density-weighted average derivative estimator based on two noisy measures of a latent regressor. Both measures have classical errors with possibly asymmetric distributions. We show that the proposed estimator achieves…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-09-14 Hao Dong , Yuya Sasaki

This paper develops a general asymptotic theory of series estimators for spatial data collected at irregularly spaced locations within a sampling region $R_n \subset \mathbb{R}^d$. We employ a stochastic sampling design that can flexibly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-03 Daisuke Kurisu , Yasumasa Matsuda