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This article presents new methodology for sample-based Bayesian inference when data are partitioned and communication between the parts is expensive, as arises by necessity in the context of "big data" or by choice in order to take…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-01 Marc Box

Reliable uncertainty estimates are an important tool for helping autonomous agents or human decision makers understand and leverage predictive models. However, existing approaches to estimating uncertainty largely ignore the possibility of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-22 Sangdon Park , Osbert Bastani , James Weimer , Insup Lee

Data augmentation methods have been shown to be a fundamental technique to improve generalization in tasks such as image, text and audio classification. Recently, automated augmentation methods have led to further improvements on image…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-17 Elizabeth Fons , Paula Dawson , Xiao-jun Zeng , John Keane , Alexandros Iosifidis

Multiple importance sampling (MIS) methods use a set of proposal distributions from which samples are drawn. Each sample is then assigned an importance weight that can be obtained according to different strategies. This work is motivated by…

Computation · Statistics 2015-05-21 Víctor Elvira , Luca Martino , David Luengo , Mónica F. Bugallo

Importance sampling is a widely used technique to reduce the variance of a Monte Carlo estimator by an appropriate change of measure. In this work, we study importance sam- pling in the framework of diffusion process and consider the change…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-28 Carsten Hartmann , Christof Schütte , Marcus Weber , Wei Zhang

Sparse additive models have attracted much attention in high-dimensional data analysis due to their flexible representation and strong interpretability. However, most existing models are limited to single-level learning under the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Xuelin Zhang , Xinyue Liu , Lingjuan Wu , Hong Chen

Computing averages over a target probability density by statistical re-weighting of a set of samples with a different distribution is a strategy which is commonly adopted in fields as diverse as atomistic simulation and finance. Here we…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2012-02-21 Michele Ceriotti , Guy A. R. Brain , Oliver Riordan , David E. Manolopoulos

The aim of this paper is to introduce a new Monte Carlo method based on importance sampling techniques for the simulation of stochastic differential equations. The main idea is to combine random walk on squares or rectangles methods with…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-22 Madalina Deaconu , Antoine Lejay

Importance sampling has been reported to produce algorithms with excellent empirical performance in counting problems. However, the theoretical support for its efficiency in these applications has been very limited. In this paper, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-08-10 Jose H. Blanchet

In this paper, we explore techniques centered around periodic sampling of model weights that provide convergence improvements on gradient update methods (vanilla \acs{SGD}, Momentum, Adam) for a variety of vision problems (classification,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-23 Samarth Tripathi , Jiayi Liu , Unmesh Kurup , Mohak Shah , Sauptik Dhar

Personalized models are essential in digital health because individuals exhibit substantial physiological and behavioral heterogeneity. Yet personalization is limited by scarce and noisy user-specific data. Most existing methods rely on…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Zhongqi Yang , Mahkameh Rasouli , Neda Mohseni , Yong Huang , Iman Azimi , Amir M. Rahmani

Reliability-oriented sensitivity analysis aims at combining both reliability and sensitivity analyses by quantifying the influence of each input variable of a numerical model on a quantity of interest related to its failure. In particular,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-25 Julien Demange-Chryst , François Bachoc , Jérôme Morio

In this work, we investigate the convergence properties of the backward regularized Wasserstein proximal (BRWP) method for sampling a target distribution. The BRWP approach can be shown as a semi-implicit time discretization for a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-12-18 Fuqun Han , Stanley Osher , Wuchen Li

This paper uses a minimum divergence framework to introduce a new way of calculating model weights that can be used to average probabilistic predictions from statistical and machine learning models. The method is general and can be applied…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-28 Olav Benjamin Vassend

This paper proposes a variational self-attention model (VSAM) that employs variational inference to derive self-attention. We model the self-attention vector as random variables by imposing a probabilistic distribution. The self-attention…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-03-11 Qiang Zhang , Shangsong Liang , Emine Yilmaz

The normalizing constant plays an important role in Bayesian computation, and there is a large literature on methods for computing or approximating normalizing constants that cannot be evaluated in closed form. When the normalizing constant…

Computation · Statistics 2020-09-02 Yuling Yao , Collin Cademartori , Aki Vehtari , Andrew Gelman

A key challenge in estimating causal effects from observational data is handling confounding and is commonly achieved through weighting methods that balance distribution of covariates between treatment and control groups. Weighting…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-23 Simion De , Jared D. Huling

Estimations of physical parameters using data usually involve non-uniform experimental efficiencies. In this article, a method of maximum likelihood fit is introduced using the efficiency as a weight, while the probability distribution…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-08-31 Chenxu Yu , Yanxi Zhang

The performance of Federated learning (FL) is negatively affected by device differences and statistical characteristics between participating clients. To address this issue, we introduce a deep unfolding network (DUN)-based technique that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-03 Shanika I Nanayakkara , Shiva Raj Pokhrel , Gang Li

We study the problem of estimating the sum of $n$ elements, each with weight $w(i)$, in a structured universe. Our goal is to estimate $W = \sum_{i=1}^n w(i)$ within a $(1 \pm \epsilon)$ factor using a sublinear number of samples, assuming…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Pinki Pradhan , Sampriti Roy
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