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An increasing number of machine learning models have been deployed in domains with high stakes such as finance and healthcare. Despite their superior performances, many models are black boxes in nature which are hard to explain. There are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-01 Shivani Choudhary , Niladri Chatterjee , Subir Kumar Saha

The objective of the present paper is to develop a two-step methodology integrating system identification and numerical continuation for the experimental extraction of nonlinear normal modes (NNMs) under broadband forcing. The first step…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-04-28 J. P. Noël , L. Renson , C. Grappasonni , G. Kerschen

Bayesian model updating facilitates the calibration of analytical models based on observations and the quantification of uncertainties in model parameters such as stiffness and mass. This process significantly enhances damage assessment and…

Applications · Statistics 2024-08-06 Taro Yaoyama , Tatsuya Itoi , Jun Iyama

This article addresses the problem of efficient Bayesian inference in dynamic systems using particle methods and makes a number of contributions. First, we develop a correlated pseudo-marginal (CPM) approach for Bayesian inference in state…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-22 P. Choppala , D. Gunawan , J. Chen , M. -N. Tran , R. Kohn

Text-based sentiment indicators are widely used to monitor public and market mood, but weekly sentiment series are noisy by construction. A main reason is that the amount of relevant news changes over time and across categories. As a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-26 Ian Carbó Casals

In this paper we describe the solution of a stochastic bistable system from a dynamical perspective. We show how a single framework with variable noise can explain hysteresis at zero temperature and two-state coexistence in the presence of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-11-25 Mahendra K. Verma , Abhishek Kumar , Adhip Pattanayak

Deep learning methods for unsupervised registration often rely on objectives that assume a uniform noise level across the spatial domain (e.g. mean-squared error loss), but noise distributions are often heteroscedastic and input-dependent…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-19 Xiaoran Zhang , Daniel H. Pak , Shawn S. Ahn , Xiaoxiao Li , Chenyu You , Lawrence H. Staib , Albert J. Sinusas , Alex Wong , James S. Duncan

This report presents the modeling results for three systems, two numerical and one experimental. In the numerical examples, we use mathematical models previously obtained in the literature as the systems to be identified. The first…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-05 Lucas A. Tavares , Petrus E. O. G. B. Abreu , Luis A. Aguirre

In this paper, the problem of state estimation, in the context of both filtering and smoothing, for nonlinear state-space models is considered. Due to the nonlinear nature of the models, the state estimation problem is generally intractable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-24 Jarrad Courts , Adrian Wills , Thomas B. Schön

Empirical modelling often aims for the simplest model consistent with the data. A new technique is presented which quantifies the consistency of the model dynamics as a function of location in state space. As is well-known, traditional…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-10 Patrick E. McSharry , Leonard A. Smith

The conditions under which relaxation dynamics in the presence of quenched-in disorder lead to rate-independent hysteresis are discussed. The calculation of average hysteresis branches is reduced to the solution of the level-crossing…

Materials Science · Physics 2009-10-31 Giorgio Bertotti , Vittorio Basso , Alessandro Magni

Dynamical system state estimation and parameter calibration problems are ubiquitous across science and engineering. Bayesian approaches to the problem are the gold standard as they allow for the quantification of uncertainties and enable…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-11-12 Kairui Hao , Ilias Bilionis

A nonlinear dynamical system model that approximates a microscopic Gibbs field model for the yielding of a viscoplastic material subjected to varying external stress recently reported in [1] is presented. The predictions of the model are in…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2016-10-04 Sainudiin Raazesh , Moyers-Gonzalez Miguel , Burghelea Teodor

We present a method for the identification of continuous, spatiotemporal dynamics from experimental data. We use a model in the form of a partial differential equation and formulate an optimization problem for its estimation from data. The…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 H. Voss , M. J. Bünner , M. Abel

Problems of linear system identification have closed-form solutions, e.g., using least-squares or maximum-likelihood methods on input-output data. However, already the seemingly simplest problems of nonlinear system identification present…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-11 Svantje Voit , Gerald Enzner

We investigate a state estimation problem for the dynamical system described by uncertain linear operator equation in Hilbert space. The uncertainty is supposed to admit a set-membership description. We present explicit expressions for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2009-04-21 Serhiy Zhuk

This paper introduces a novel optimization-based approach for parametric nonlinear system identification. Building upon the prediction error method framework, traditionally used for linear system identification, we extend its capabilities…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-27 Léo Simpson , Jonas Asprion , Simon Muntwiler , Johannes Köhler , Moritz Diehl

The state space dynamics representation is the most general approach for nonlinear systems and often chosen for system identification. During training, the state trajectory can deform significantly leading to poor data coverage of the state…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-11 Hermann Klein , Max Heinz Herkersdorf , Oliver Nelles

Bicoherence analysis is a well established method for identifying the quadratic nonlinearity of stationary processes. However, it is often applied without checking the basic assumptions of stationarity and convergence. The classic…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-11-08 Peter Zsolt Poloskei , Gergely Papp , Gabor Por , Laszlo Horvath , Gergo I. Pokol

A method for sequential Bayesian inference of the static parameters of a dynamic state space model is proposed. The method is based on the observation that many dynamic state space models have a relatively small number of static parameters…

Computation · Statistics 2017-06-28 Arnab Bhattacharya , Simon Wilson