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We consider weighted negatively reinforced urn schemes with finitely many colours. An urn scheme is called negatively reinforced, if the selection probability for a colour is proportional to the weight $w$ of the colour proportion, where…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-28 Gursharn Kaur

We derive a simple expression for the tail-asymptotics of an explosive birth process at a fixed observation time conditioned on non-explosion. Using the well-established exponential embedding, we apply this result to compute the tail…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-24 Thomas Gottfried , Stefan Grosskinsky

The Generalized P\'{o}lya Urn (GPU) is a popular urn model which is widely used in many disciplines. In particular, it is extensively used in treatment allocation schemes in clinical trials. In this paper, we propose a sequential…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Li-X. Zhang , Feifang Hu , Siu Hung Cheung

In this paper, we initiate the study of "Generalized Divide and Color Models". A very special interesting case of this is the "Divide and Color Model" (which motivates the name we use) introduced and studied by Olle H\"aggstr\"om. In this…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-15 Jeffrey E. Steif , Johan Tykesson

The P\'olya tree (PT) process is a general-purpose Bayesian nonparametric model that has found wide application in a range of inference problems. It has a simple analytic form and the posterior computation boils down to beta-binomial…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-09 Naoki Awaya , Li Ma

We study an urn process with two urns, initialized with a ball each. Balls are added sequentially, the urn being chosen independently with probability proportional to the $\alpha^{th}$ power $(\alpha >1)$ of the existing number of balls. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Svante Janson , Subhabrata Sen , Joel Spencer

We consider triangular P\'olya urns and show under very weak conditions a general strong limit theorem of the form $X_{ni}/a_{ni}\to \mathcal{X}_i$ a.s., where $X_{ni}$ is the number of balls of colour $i$ after $n$ draws; the constants…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-22 Svante Janson

Consider a number, finite or not, of urns each with fixed capacity $r$ and balls randomly distributed among them. An overflow is the number of balls that are assigned to urns that already contain $r$ balls. When $r=1$, using analytic…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-17 Raul Gouet , Paweł Hitczenko , Jacek Wesołowski

We study finite $l$-colourable structures with an underlying pregeometry. The probability measure that is used corresponds to a process of generating such structures (with a given underlying pregeometry) by which colours are first randomly…

Logic · Mathematics 2017-08-07 Ove Ahlman , Vera Koponen

In this work we consider the \emph{infinite color urn model} associated with a bounded increment random walk on $\Zbold^d$. This model was first introduced by Bandyopadhyay and Thacker (2013). We prove that the rate of convergence of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-23 Antar Bandyopadhyay , Debleena Thacker

In the present paper we prove that the probabilities of the P\'olya urn distribution (with negative replacement) satisfy a monotonicity property similar to that of the binomial distribution (P\'olya urn distribution with no replacement). As…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-30 Florenta Tripsa , Nicolae R. Pascu

Urn models play an important role to express various basic ideas in probability theory. Here we extend this urn model with tubes. An urn contains coloured balls, which can be drawn with probabilities proportional to the numbers of balls of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-07 Bart Jacobs

We consider predictive inference using a class of temporally dependent Dirichlet processes driven by Fleming--Viot diffusions, which have a natural bearing in Bayesian nonparametrics and lend the resulting family of random probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-28 Filippo Ascolani , Antonio Lijoi , Matteo Ruggiero

In classical urn models, one usually draws one ball with replacement at each time unit and then adds one ball of the same colour. Given a weight sequence $(w_k)_{k\in\N}$, the probability of drawing a ball of a certain colour is…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-18 Mickaël Launay

In this paper the class of mixed renewal processes (MRPs for short) with mixing parameter a random vector from \cite{lm6z3} (enlarging Huang's \cite{hu} original class) is replaced by the strictly more comprising class of all extended MRPs…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-20 N. D. Macheras , S. M. Tzaninis

We study evolving genealogies, i.e. processes that take values in the space of (marked) ultra-metric measure spaces and satisfy some sort of "consistency" condition. This condition is based on the observation that the genealogical distance…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-01 Max Grieshammer

A stochastic algorithm is proposed, finding the set of generalized means associated to a probability measure on a compact Riemannian manifold M and a continuous cost function on the product of M by itself. Generalized means include p-means…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-28 Marc Arnaudon , Laurent Miclo

Generalized Polya urn models can describe the dynamics of finite populations of interacting genotypes. Three basic questions these models can address are: Under what conditions does a population exhibit growth? On the event of growth, at…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Michel Benaim , Sebastian J. Schreiber , Pierre Tarres

We complete the study of the model introduced in [11]. It is a two-color urn model with multiple drawing and random (non-balanced) time-dependent reinforcement matrix. The number of sampled balls at each time-step is random. We identify the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-05 Irene Crimaldi , Pierre-Yves Louis , Ida G. Minelli

This paper proposes a new nonparametric Bayesian bootstrap for a mixture model, by developing the traditional Bayesian bootstrap. We first reinterpret the Bayesian bootstrap, which uses the P\'olya-urn scheme, as a gradient ascent algorithm…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-28 Fuheng Cui , Stephen G. Walker
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