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We present a new model, Predictive State Recurrent Neural Networks (PSRNNs), for filtering and prediction in dynamical systems. PSRNNs draw on insights from both Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) and Predictive State Representations (PSRs),…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-20 Carlton Downey , Ahmed Hefny , Boyue Li , Byron Boots , Geoffrey Gordon

With an increasing amount of observations on the dynamics of many complex systems, it is required to reveal the underlying mechanisms behind these complex dynamics, which is fundamentally important in many scientific fields such as climate,…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-03-19 Zhendong Yu , Haiping Huang

Surrogate testing techniques have been used widely to investigate the presence of dynamical nonlinearities, an essential ingredient of deterministic chaotic processes. Traditional surrogate testing subscribes to statistical hypothesis…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-07-18 Radhakrishnan Nagarajan

We analyze the input-output behavior of residual networks from a dynamical system point of view by disentangling the residual dynamics from the output activities before the classification stage. For a network with simple skip connections…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-05-12 Fereshteh Lagzi

Many real-world complex systems, such as epidemic spreading networks and ecosystems, can be modeled as networked dynamical systems that produce multivariate time series. Learning the intrinsic dynamics from observational data is pivotal for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Yanna Ding , Zijie Huang , Malik Magdon-Ismail , Jianxi Gao

This article introduces a novel Bayesian method for asynchronous change-point detection in multivariate time series. This method allows for change-points to occur earlier in some (leading) series followed, after a short delay, by…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-28 Carson McKee , Maria Kalli

In this paper, we propose a Bayesian switching dynamical model for segmentation of 3D pose data over time that uncovers interpretable patterns in the data and is generative. Our model decomposes highly correlated skeleton data into a set of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-06-22 Amirreza Farnoosh , Sarah Ostadabbas

In this work we present a novel recurrent neural network architecture designed to model systems characterized by multiple characteristic timescales in their dynamics. The proposed network is composed by several recurrent groups of neurons…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2017-01-19 Filippo Maria Bianchi , Michael Kampffmeyer , Enrico Maiorino , Robert Jenssen

We consider the modeling, stability analysis and controller design problems for discrete-time LTI systems with state feedback, when the actuation signal is subject to switching propagation delays, due to e.g. the routing in a multi-hop…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-01-09 R. M. Jungers , A. D'Innocenzo , M. D. Di Benedetto

The aim of this work is to investigate the use of Incrementally Input-to-State Stable ($\delta$ISS) deep Long Short Term Memory networks (LSTMs) for the identification of nonlinear dynamical systems. We show that suitable sufficient…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-28 Fabio Bonassi , Alessio La Bella , Giulio Panzani , Marcello Farina , Riccardo Scattolini

Networks observed in real world like social networks, collaboration networks etc., exhibit temporal dynamics, i.e. nodes and edges appear and/or disappear over time. In this paper, we propose a generative, latent space based, statistical…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-11-08 Shubham Gupta , Gaurav Sharma , Ambedkar Dukkipati

We show that a neural network originally designed for language processing can learn the dynamical rules of a stochastic system by observation of a single dynamical trajectory of the system, and can accurately predict its emergent behavior…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-02-18 Corneel Casert , Isaac Tamblyn , Stephen Whitelam

The response time of physical computational elements is finite, and neurons are no exception. In hierarchical models of cortical networks each layer thus introduces a response lag. This inherent property of physical dynamical systems…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-28 Paul Haider , Benjamin Ellenberger , Laura Kriener , Jakob Jordan , Walter Senn , Mihai A. Petrovici

Complex systems span multiple spatial and temporal scales, making their dynamics challenging to understand and predict. This challenge is especially daunting when one wants to study localized and/or rare events. Advances in dynamical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-22 Chenyu Dong , Gabriele Messori , Davide Faranda , Adriano Gualandi , Valerio Lucarini , Gianmarco Mengaldo

Motivation: Several different threads of research have been proposed for modeling and mining temporal data. On the one hand, approaches such as dynamic Bayesian networks (DBNs) provide a formal probabilistic basis to model relationships…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-04-15 Debprakash Patnaik , Srivatsan Laxman , Naren Ramakrishnan

Data-driven models for predicting dynamic responses of linear and nonlinear systems are of great importance due to their wide application from probabilistic analysis to inverse problems such as system identification and damage diagnosis. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-29 Soheil Sadeghi Eshkevari , Martin Takáč , Shamim N. Pakzad , Majid Jahani

Deep networks are commonly used to model dynamical systems, predicting how the state of a system will evolve over time (either autonomously or in response to control inputs). Despite the predictive power of these systems, it has been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-20 Gaurav Manek , J. Zico Kolter

Unintentional falls can cause severe injuries and even death, especially if no immediate assistance is given. The aim of Fall Detection Systems (FDSs) is to detect an occurring fall. This information can be used to trigger the necessary…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-10-05 Mirto Musci , Daniele De Martini , Nicola Blago , Tullio Facchinetti , Marco Piastra

Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) have become the state-of-the-art choice for extracting patterns from temporal sequences. However, current RNN models are ill-suited to process irregularly sampled data triggered by events generated in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-01 Daniel Neil , Michael Pfeiffer , Shih-Chii Liu

Differential equations are a ubiquitous tool to study dynamics, ranging from physical systems to complex systems, where a large number of agents interact through a graph with non-trivial topological features. Data-driven approximations of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-04-26 Vaiva Vasiliauskaite , Nino Antulov-Fantulin