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Related papers: Exploring Spatial Coherence in Inter-annual Change…

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We develop a Random Forest model to estimate the species distribution of Asian elephants in India and study the inter and intra-annual spatiotemporal variability of habitats suitable for them. Climatic, topographic variables and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-16 P. Anjali , Deepak N. Subramani

A statistical analysis of precipitation at Rio Grande do Sul State was presented in this article. The aim of this work was to identify spatial and temporal patterns of maximum precipitation, which was achieved by fitting a theoretical…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-08 Cleber Souza Corrêa

In Bangladesh, a nation vulnerable to climate change, accurately quantifying the risk of extreme weather events is crucial for planning effective adaptation and mitigation strategies. Downscaling coarse climate model projections to finer…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-08-22 Anamitra Saha , Sai Ravela

We review the skill of thirty coupled climate models participating in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 in terms of reproducing properties of the seasonal cycle of precipitation over the major river basins of South and Southeast Asia…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-06-22 Shabeh ul Hasson , Salvatore Pascale , Valerio Lucarini , Jürgen Böhner

Importance of monsoon rainfall cannot be ignored as it affects round the year activities ranging from agriculture to industrial. Accurate rainfall estimation and prediction is very helpful in decision making in the sectors of water resource…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-20 Vikas Bajpai , Anukriti Bansal

Climate change is increasing the occurrence of extreme precipitation events, threatening infrastructure, agriculture, and public safety. Ensemble prediction systems provide probabilistic forecasts but exhibit biases and difficulties in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-09 Christopher Bülte , Sohir Maskey , Philipp Scholl , Jonas von Berg , Gitta Kutyniok

The sub-seasonal and synoptic-scale variability of the Indian summer monsoon rainfall are controlled primarily by monsoon intra-seasonal oscillations (MISO) and low pressure systems (LPS), respectively. The positive and negative phases of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-12-17 Akshaya C Nikumbh , A. Chakraborty , G. S. Bhat , Dargan M. W. Frierson

What is the role of soil moisture in maintaining the land ITCZ during the active phase of the monsoon? This question has been addressed in this study by using ERA5 reanalysis datasets, and then we evaluate the question in the CFS model-free…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-07-08 Pratibha Gautam , Rajib Chattopadhyay , Gill Martin , Susmitha Joseph , A. K. Sahai

Despite the importance of quantifying how the spatial patterns of extreme precipitation will change with warming, we lack tools to objectively analyze the storm-scale outputs of modern climate models. To address this gap, we develop an…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-12-04 Griffin Mooers , Tom Beucler , Mike Pritchard , Stephan Mandt

Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) has advanced significantly in recent decades but still faces challenges in accuracy, computational efficiency, and scalability. Data-driven weather models have shown great promise, sometimes surpassing…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-03-18 Animesh Choudhury , Jagabandhu Panda

Rainfall exhibits extreme variability at many space and time scales and calls for a statistical description. Based on an analysis of radar measurements of precipitation over the tropical oceans, we introduce a new probability law for the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-09-30 Prasun K. Kundu , Ravi K. Siddani

Motivated by the EVA 2025 Data Challenge, we address the problem of predicting extreme rainfall in the eastern United States using data from a large ensemble of climate model runs. The challenge focuses on three quantities of interest…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-20 Ryan Campbell , Kristina Grolmusova , Lydia Kakampakou , Jeongjin Lee

This study presents a comprehensive remote sensing analysis of rainfall patterns and selected hydropower reservoir water extent in two tropical monsoon countries, Vietnam and Sri Lanka. The aim is to understand the relationship between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-12 Punsisi Rajakaruna , Surajit Ghosh , Bunyod Holmatov

The Indian summer monsoon is a highly complex and critical weather system that directly affects the livelihoods of over a billion people across the Indian subcontinent. Accurate short-term forecasting remains a major scientific challenge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Apoorva Narula , Aastha Jain , Jatin Batra , MN Rajeevan , Sandeep Juneja

We study the spatio-temporal features of extremal sub-daily precipitation data over the Piave river basin in northeast Italy using a rich database of observed hourly rainfall. Empirical evidence suggests that both the marginal and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-26 Dáire Healy , Ilaria Prosdocimi , Isadora Antoniano-Villalobos

The computational cost of dynamical downscaling limits ensemble sizes in regional downscaling efforts. We present a newly developed generative-AI approach to greatly expand the scope of such downscaling, enabling fine-scale future changes…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-10 Neelesh Rampal , Peter B. Gibson , Steven C. Sherwood , Laura E. Queen , Hamish Lewis , Gab Abramowitz

Northern Chile is one of the most arid regions in the world, with precipitation mainly occurring during austral summer, between December and April 1966-2015. The aim of this study is to classify the main weather regimes derived from sea…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-09-04 Ó. Meseguer-Ruiz , N. Cortesi , J. A. Guijarro , P. Sarricolea

Vegetation in semi-arid ecosystems frequently organizes into spatially heterogeneous mosaics that regulate ecosystem functioning, productivity, and resilience. These patterns arise from local biological interactions, including facilitation…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-06 Àlex Giménez-Romero , Bernard A. Afful , Priscilla E. Greenwood , Manuel A. Matías , Luis F. Gordillo

With the intensification of global climate change, accurate prediction of weather indicators is of great significance in disaster prevention and mitigation, agricultural production, and transportation. Precipitation, as one of the key…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-30 Yuchen Wang , Pengfei Jia , Zhitao Shu , Keyan Liu , Abdul Rashid Mohamed Shariff

Long-term rainfall prediction is a challenging task especially in the modern world where we are facing the major environmental problem of global warming. In general, climate and rainfall are highly non-linear phenomena in nature exhibiting…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Ajith Abraham , Dan Steinberg
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