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Prevalence mapping in low resource settings is an increasingly important endeavor to guide policy making and to spatially and temporally characterize the burden of disease. We will focus our discussion on consideration of the complex design…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-15 Jon Wakefield , Daniel Simpson , Jessica Godwin

The study of social networks --- where people are located, geographically, and how they might be connected to one another --- is a current hot topic of interest, because of its immediate relevance to important applications, from devising…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-06-29 Shandeepa Wickramasinghe , Onyekachukwu Onyerikwu , Jie Sun , Daniel ben-Avraham

The cohesive collective motion (flocking, swarming) of autonomous agents is ubiquitously observed and exploited in both natural and man-made settings, thus, minimal models for its description are essential. In a model with continuous space…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-01-12 Illes J. Farkas , Jeromos Kun , Yi Jin , Gaoqi He , Mingliang Xu

In nature, most microbial populations have complex spatial structures that can affect their evolution. Evolutionary graph theory predicts that some spatial structures modelled by placing individuals on the nodes of a graph affect the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-30 Alia Abbara , Lisa Pagani , Celia García-Pareja , Anne-Florence Bitbol

Autonomous agents rely on sensor data to construct representations of their environments, essential for predicting future events and planning their actions. However, sensor measurements suffer from limited range, occlusions, and sensor…

This paper is mainly devoted to lay an empirical foundation for further research on complex spatial dynamics of two-population interaction. Based on the US population census data, a rural and urban population interaction model is developed.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-06-14 Yanguang Chen , Feng Xu

The spatial heterogeneity of cities -- the uneven distribution of population and activities -- is fundamental to urban dynamics and related to critical issues such as infrastructure overload, housing affordability, and social inequality.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-11-14 Hao Huang , Yuming Lin , Jiazhen Liu

Pedestrian trajectory prediction is a challenging task because of the complexity of real-world human social behaviors and uncertainty of the future motion. For the first issue, existing methods adopt fully connected topology for modeling…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-07-25 Lidan Zhang , Qi She , Ping Guo

Spatiotemporal modeling of economic aggregates is increasingly relevant in regional science due to the presence of both spatial spillovers and temporal dynamics. Traditional temporal disaggregation methods, such as Chow-Lin, often ignore…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-18 A. Tobar , A. Mir , R. Alberich , I. Garcia Mosquera , M. Miró , NA. Cruz

We describe a general strategy for sampling configurations from a given (Gibbs-Boltzmann or other) distribution. It is {\it not} based on the Metropolis concept of establishing a Markov process whose stationary state is the wanted…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 P. Grassberger , W. Nadler

Spatio-temporal forecasting is challenging attributing to the high nonlinearity in temporal dynamics as well as complex location-characterized patterns in spatial domains, especially in fields like weather forecasting. Graph convolutions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-14 Haitao Lin , Zhangyang Gao , Yongjie Xu , Lirong Wu , Ling Li , Stan. Z. Li

Common cluster models for multi-type point processes model the aggregation of points of the same type. In complete contrast, in the study of Anglo-Saxon settlements it is hypothesized that administrative clusters involving complementary…

Applications · Statistics 2015-07-03 Giacomo Zanella

We consider a stochastic individual-based population model with competition, trait-structure affecting reproduction and survival, and changing environment. The changes of traits are described by jump processes, and the dynamics can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-17 Benoît Henry , Sylvie Méléard , Viet Chi Tran

The building of mathematical and computer models of cities has a long history. The core elements are models of flows (spatial interaction) and the dynamics of structural evolution. In this article, we develop a stochastic model of urban…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-10 L. Ellam , M. Girolami , G. A. Pavliotis , A. Wilson

Epidemics are often modelled using non-linear dynamical systems observed through partial and noisy data. In this paper, we consider stochastic extensions in order to capture unknown influences (changing behaviors, public interventions,…

Applications · Statistics 2012-11-06 Joseph Dureau , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos , Marc Baguelin

Despite the extensive collection of individual mobility data over the past decade, fueled by the widespread use of GPS-enabled personal devices, the existing statistical literature on estimating human spatial mobility patterns from…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-03 Malcolm Wolff , Adrian Dobra , Anton H. Westveld , Grace S. Chiu

We consider birth and death stochastic dynamics of particle systems with attractive interaction. The heuristic generator of the dynamics has a constant birth rate and density dependent decreasing death rate. The corresponding statistical…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-18 Dmitri Finkelshtein , Yuri Kondratiev , Oleksandr Kutoviy , Elena Zhizhina

We introduce the Contextual Graph Markov Model, an approach combining ideas from generative models and neural networks for the processing of graph data. It founds on a constructive methodology to build a deep architecture comprising layers…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-26 Davide Bacciu , Federico Errica , Alessio Micheli

We study a stochastic model of urban growth generating spatial distributions of population densities at an intermediate mesoscopic scale. The model is based on the antagonist interplay between the two opposite abstract processes of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-11-21 Juste Raimbault

Positioning data offer a remarkable source of information to analyze crowds urban dynamics. However, discovering urban activity patterns from the emergent behavior of crowds involves complex system modeling. An alternative approach is to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-01-23 Antonio L. Alfeo , Mario G. C. A. Cimino , Sara Egidi , Bruno Lepri , Alex Pentland , Gigliola Vaglini