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A model is presented in this work for simulating endogenously the evolution of the marginal costs of production of energy carriers from non-renewable resources, their consumption, depletion pathways and timescales. Such marginal costs can…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-11-11 Jean-Francois Mercure , Pablo Salas

This paper studies the problem of optimally extracting nonrenewable natural resources. Taking into account the fact that the market values of the main natural resources i.e. oil, natural gas, copper,..., etc, fluctuate randomly following…

General Economics · Economics 2018-07-23 Moustapha Pemy

Unconstrained CO2 emission from fossil fuel burning has been the dominant cause of observed anthropogenic global warming. The amounts of "proven" and potential fossil fuel reserves are uncertain and debated. Regardless of the true values,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2008-08-04 P. A. Kharecha , J. E. Hansen

An increase in energy production from renewable energy sources is viewed as a crucial achievement in most industrialized countries. The higher variability of power production via renewables leads to a rise in ancillary service costs over…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-25 Mario Mureddu , Hildegard Meyer-Ortmanns

Recent increases in basic food prices are severely impacting vulnerable populations worldwide. Proposed causes such as shortages of grain due to adverse weather, increasing meat consumption in China and India, conversion of corn to ethanol…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-09-23 Marco Lagi , Yavni Bar-Yam , Karla Z. Bertrand , Yaneer Bar-Yam

This paper takes a fresh look at the economic theory that is motivation for pricing models, such as critical peak pricing (CPP), or surge pricing, and the demand response models advocated by policy makers and in the power systems…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-30 Hala Ballouz , Joel Mathias , Sean Meyn , Robert Moye , Joseph Warrington

A fundemantal and unanswered question for the widely shared goal of electrifying passenger vehicles is how the price of electricity, which can vary greatly across countries and regions, affects buying behavior. I make use of a natural…

General Economics · Economics 2023-04-05 Johannes Mauritzen

We provide a theoretical framework to examine how carbon pricing policies influence inflation and to estimate the policy-driven impact on goods prices from achieving net-zero emissions. Firms control emissions by adjusting production,…

General Economics · Economics 2025-01-29 René Aïd , Maria Arduca , Sara Biagini , Luca Taschini

We propose a term structure power price model that, in contrast to widely accepted no-arbitrage based approaches, accounts for the non-storable nature of power. It belongs to a class of equilibrium game theoretic models with players divided…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-08-12 Miha Troha , Raphael Hauser

The marginal price of electricity traditionally depends on the dual variables associated with relevant optimization goals. Particularly, in the optimal power flow realm, prices represent the cost of supplying an additional unit of power at…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-06-29 Kyri Baker

Energy has always been the driving force in the technological and economic development of societies. The consumption of a significant amount of energy is required to provide basic living conditions of developed countries (heating,…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2017-02-21 Sofoklis Makridis

In the first part of this paper (Sections 1-4), we study a standard exchange economy model with Cobb-Douglas type consumers and give a necessary and sufficient condition for the existence of an odd period cycle in the Walras-Samuelson…

General Economics · Economics 2024-04-16 Tomohiro Uchiyama

This work examines how the dependence structures between energy futures asset prices differ in two periods identified before and after the 2008 global financial crisis. These two periods were characterised by a difference in the number of…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-31 Clara Grazian , Alex McInnes

The behavior of complex systems is one of the most intriguing phenomena investigated by recent science; natural and artificial systems offer a wide opportunity for this kind of analysis. The energy conversion is both a process based on…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-05-01 Luciano Celi , Claudio Della Volpe , Luca Pardi , Stefano Siboni

The analysis of dollar inflation performed by the authors through the approximation of empirical data for 1913-2012 with a power-law function with an accelerating log-periodic oscillation superimposed over it has made it possible to detect…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-07-18 Askar Akaev , Andrey Korotayev , Alexey Fomin

This paper studies the optimal extraction policy of an oil field as well as the efficient taxation of the revenues generated. Taking into account the fact that the oil price in worldwide commodity markets fluctuates randomly following…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-04-18 Moustapha Pemy

It is still common wisdom amongst economists, politicians and lay people that economic growth is a necessity of our social systems, at least to avoid distributional conflicts. This paper challenges such belief moving from a purely physical…

General Economics · Economics 2020-05-11 Angelo Tartaglia

Markets have internal dynamics leading to excess volatility and other phenomena that are difficult to explain using rational expectations models. This paper studies these using a nonequilibrium price formation rule, developed in the context…

adap-org · Physics 2015-06-30 J. Doyne Farmer

We study a large economy in which firms cannot compute exact solutions to the non-linear equations that characterize the equilibrium price at which they can sell future output. Instead, firms use polynomial expansions to approximate prices.…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-08 Wolfgang Kuhle

In this paper, we use a newly constructed dataset to study the geographic distribution of fuel price across the US at a very high resolution. We study the influence of socio-economic variables through different and complementary statistical…

Applications · Statistics 2019-11-22 Antonin Bergeaud , Juste Raimbault